August 20, 2015 - Biden Tops Trump In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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  • FLORIDA: Biden 45 - Trump 42
  • OHIO: Biden 48 - Trump 38
  • PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 48 - Trump 40
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are clear winners in the Democratic and Republican primaries in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, but Vice President Joseph Biden runs as well as or better than Clinton against top Republicans in general election matchups in these key swing states, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

While they lead in the race for the nomination, Clinton and Trump have the worst overall favorability ratings among all voters of any of the leading candidates, and the lowest scores for being honest and trustworthy, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida both run better than Trump against Clinton, Biden or U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.

If Trump makes a third-party run, results are:
  • Florida - Clinton at 37 percent, with 36 percent for Bush and 19 percent for Trump;
  • Ohio - Clinton over Bush 37 - 27 percent, with 23 percent for Trump;
  • Pennsylvania - Clinton tops Bush 37 - 29 percent, with Trump at 24 percent.
"Vice President Joseph Biden, who is spending his time in seclusion, contemplating whether to take on Secretary Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries for president, has some new information to consider," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"In head-to-head matchups against the three leading contenders for the Republican nomination, he runs as well or slightly better than she does."

"Hillary Clinton's poll numbers are like a leaky faucet: drip...drip... drip. She is now getting less than half the vote in all three states' Democratic primaries," Brown added. "Perhaps most telling is how poorly she scores when all voters in these three key states are asked about her empathy, honesty and temperament. In Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania she averages a negative 37 - 55 percent favorability. Donald Trump is in the same leaky boat, averaging a negative 34 - 53 percent favorability. The good news for Clinton is that she remains far ahead of U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Biden in the three Democratic primary contests. "The first Republican debate mattered," said Brown. "Gov. Jeb Bush got middling debate grades and slips in the GOP horse race. Yet he does very well when voters rate the leading Republican candidates on personal characteristics. He scores best on honesty, empathy and temperament to handle an international crisis, while finishing a close second to Trump on leadership. "Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker gets very low debate grades and all but disappears from the Republican primary list."

Florida

Clinton has 48 percent of Florida Democrats, followed by 15 percent for Sanders and 11 percent for Biden, with 17 percent undecided.

Among Republicans, Trump gets 21 percent, with 17 percent for Bush and 11 percent each for Rubio and Ben Carson. No other candidate tops 7 percent, with 8 percent undecided.

In general election matchups in Florida:
  • Bush tops Clinton 49 - 38 percent and Rubio leads 51 - 39 percent while Trump gets 43 percent to Clinton's 41 percent.
  • Bush leads Biden 51 - 38 percent, with Rubio up 48 - 42 percent. Biden gets 45 percent to Trump's 42 percent.
  • Sanders trails Bush 54 - 35 percent and loses 52 - 36 percent to Rubio and 45 - 41 percent to Trump.
Clinton gets a negative 37 - 55 percent favorability rating and voters say 64 - 32 percent she is not honest and trustworthy. Biden gets a split 44 - 43 percent favorability rating and voters say 52 - 40 percent he is honest and trustworthy.

Trump gets a negative 36 - 50 percent favorability rating and voters say 53 - 39 percent he is not honest and trustworthy. Bush gets a 53 - 39 percent favorability and voters say 64 - 28 percent he is honest and trustworthy. Rubio gets a 52 - 35 percent favorability and voters say 58 - 30 percent he is honest and trustworthy. "In the battle of Floridians, former Gov. Jeb Bush is holding off U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, and the former mentor to Rubio scores higher when voters rate the two men's personal qualities," Brown said.

Ohio

Ohio Democrats go 47 percent for Clinton, 17 percent for Sanders and 14 percent for Biden, with 12 percent undecided.

Gov. John Kasich gets 27 percent of Republicans, with 21 percent for Trump and 7 percent each for Rubio and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas. No other candidate tops 6 percent, with 11 percent undecided.

In general election matchups:

Clinton gets 41 percent to 39 percent for Bush. Rubio has 42 percent to Clinton's 40 percent while Clinton tops Trump 43 - 38 percent.

Biden gets 42 percent to Bush's 39 percent and gets 42 percent to Rubio's 41 percent. Biden beats Trump 48 - 38 percent.

Sanders trails Bush 42 - 36 percent and loses 42 - 34 percent to Rubio. Sanders gets 42 percent to Trump's 40 percent.

Ohio voters give Clinton a negative 36 - 54 percent favorability rating and say 60 - 34 percent she is not honest and trustworthy. Biden gets a split 45 - 42 percent favorability rating and voters say 59 - 33 percent he is honest and trustworthy.

Trump gets a negative 32 - 54 percent favorability rating and voters say 53 - 37 percent he is not honest and trustworthy. Bush gets a negative 39 - 43 percent favorability and voters say 54 - 35 percent he is honest and trustworthy. Rubio gets a 40 - 21 percent favorability and voters say 45 - 24 percent he is honest and trustworthy.

"Ohio is important, but if Gov. John Kasich is going to be a serious candidate for the Republican nomination he must broaden his appeal," said Brown. "In Pennsylvania and Florida more than half the voters don't know enough about Kasich to have an opinion about him."

Pennsylvania

Clinton leads among Pennsylvania Democrats with 45 percent, followed by 19 percent for Sanders and 17 percent for Biden, with 12 percent undecided.

Trump leads among Republicans with 24 percent, followed by 13 percent for Carson and 10 percent for Rubio. No other candidate tops 7 percent, with 9 percent undecided. In general election matchups:

Bush gets 43 percent to 40 percent for Clinton. Rubio tops Clinton 47 - 40 percent while Clinton beats Trump 45 - 40 percent.

Bush is at 43 percent to Biden's 42 percent. Rubio has 44 percent to Biden's 41 percent. Biden beats Trump 48 - 40 percent.

Sanders trails Bush 44 - 36 percent and loses 45 - 33 percent to Rubio. Sanders gets 44 percent to Trump's 41 percent.

Pennsylvania voters give Clinton a negative 38 - 55 percent favorability rating and say 63 - 32 percent she is not honest and trustworthy. Biden gets a split 46 - 43 percent favorability rating and voters say 61 - 31 percent he is honest and trustworthy.

Trump gets a negative 34 - 55 percent favorability rating and voters say 53 - 40 percent he is not honest and trustworthy. Bush gets a divided 41 - 43 percent favorability and voters say 54 - 36 percent he is honest and trustworthy. Rubio gets a 46 - 22 percent favorability and voters say 49 - 23 percent he is honest and trustworthy. "Donald Trump may have the raw horserace numbers, but below the surface there is a looming problem: Pennsylvania voters give him stunningly bad numbers on trust, honesty and favorability," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"And although she is the Democratic front runner, Hillary Clinton's overall numbers are not much better than Trump's.

"Who gets the love? The one guy who hasn't declared. Vice President Joseph Biden, a Scranton boy made good, is perhaps becoming a more important player in the 2016 presidential race, with a solid grip on the 'from the gut' support of Pennsylvanians."

From August 7 - 18 Quinnipiac University surveyed:

1,093 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. The survey includes 477 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points and 345 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5.3 percentage points.

1,096 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. The survey includes 371 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5.1 percentage points and 353 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5.2 percentage points.

1,085 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. The survey includes 443 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points and 462 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points.

Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Bush                 17%     5%     6%
Carson               11      6     13
Christie              1      1      2
Cruz                  7      7      5
Fiorina               7      5      7
Gilmore               -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -
Huckabee              4      3      2
Jindal                1      -      1
Kasich                3     27      3
Pataki                -      -      -
Paul                  4      2      5
Perry                 -      -      -
Rubio                11      7     10
Santorum              -      2      4
Trump                21     21     24
Walker                4      2      5
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      2
DK/NA                 8     11      9
 
 
2. (If Registered Republican) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Bush                 17%    12%    22%
Carson                5      5      5
Christie             16     15     18
Cruz                  5      6      7
Fiorina               4      4      5
Gilmore               7      7      8
Graham               10     11     11
Huckabee              8      7      8
Jindal                9      4      6
Kasich                6      7      7
Pataki               11      8      8
Paul                 17     16     14
Perry                 8      8      8
Rubio                 7      5      6
Santorum              9      8      9
Trump                29     31     36
Walker                5      5      6
No/No one            23     25     23
DK/NA                 9     10      7
 
 
3. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                11%    14%    17%
Chafee                -      -      -
Clinton              48     47     45
O'Malley              1      -      1
Sanders              15     17     19
Webb                  1      1      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      6      3
DK/NA                17     12     12
 
 
4. (If Registered Democrat) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                12%     9%     9%
Chafee               11      8      9
Clinton              14     14     15
O'Malley             11      8      9
Sanders              11      7      8
Webb                 10      7      9
No/No one            42     51     50
DK/NA                23     18     20
 
 
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              38%    41%    40%
Bush                 49     39     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      4      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      7     10      9
DK/NA                 3      6      4
 
 
6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              39%    40%    40%
Rubio                51     42     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      7      5
DK/NA                 3      8      6
 
 
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              41%    43%    45%
Trump                43     38     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      9     10      9
DK/NA                 4      6      3
 
 
8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                38%    42%    42%
Bush                 51     39     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      9      7
DK/NA                 3      6      6
 
 
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                42%    42%    41%
Rubio                48     41     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      7      6
DK/NA                 3      8      7
 
 
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                45%    48%    48%
Trump                42     38     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      7      7      7
DK/NA                 4      4      3
 
 
11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Sanders              35%    36%    36%
Bush                 54     42     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      4      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      9      8
DK/NA                 3     10      9
 
 
12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Sanders              36%    34%    33%
Rubio                52     42     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      8      6
DK/NA                 6     13     12
 
 
13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Sanders              41%    42%    44%
Trump                45     40     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      7      7      6
DK/NA                 5      7      6
 
 
14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Jeb Bush the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              37%    37%    37%
Bush                 36     27     29
Trump                19     23     24
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      5      4
DK/NA                 3      6      4
 
 
Q15-37. Florida Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable).
                     FLORIDA REGISTERED VOTERS.........
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Fiorina              34     11     54     -      23
Carson               38     17     44     -      21
Rubio                52     35     12     1      17
Kasich               28     11     60     1      17
Bush                 53     39      7     1      14
Huckabee             41     33     25     1       8
Biden                44     43     12     1       1
Walker               28     27     43     2       1
Cruz                 31     32     36     1      -1
Sanders              28     31     41     -      -3
Jindal               22     26     51     -      -4
Chafee                7     11     81     1      -4
Gilmore               5      9     86     -      -4
Webb                  7     12     80     -      -5
Pataki               12     20     68     -      -8
O'Malley              6     16     77     1      -10
Santorum             24     35     40     1      -11
Perry                28     39     32     1      -11
Paul                 27     41     31     1      -14
Trump                36     50     12     2      -14
Christie             32     47     20     1      -15
Clinton              37     55      7     1      -18
Graham               14     38     45     3      -24
 
                     FLORIDA REPUBLICANS...............
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Rubio                87      8      4     1      79
Bush                 81     15      4     -      66
Huckabee             70     13     17     1      57
Carson               61      5     34     -      56
Fiorina              57      5     37     -      52
Walker               59     10     31     -      49
Kasich               48      4     48     -      44
Cruz                 56     14     29     1      42
Jindal               45     11     43     1      34
Perry                56     22     21     1      34
Trump                55     30     12     3      25
Santorum             45     21     33     -      24
Christie             52     30     16     2      22
Paul                 38     33     27     1       5
Pataki               18     17     64     -       1
Gilmore               6      6     88     -       0
Graham               26     29     43     2      -3
 
                     FLORIDA DEMOCRATS...............
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Biden                80     10      9     -     70
Clinton              80     15      4     1     65
Sanders              51      7     41     1     44
O'Malley             11      6     81     1      5
Chafee               10      9     81     1      1
Webb                 10     17     73     -     -7
 
 
Q15-37. Ohio Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable).
                     OHIO REGISTERED VOTERS.............
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Kasich               55     27     17      1     28
Carson               35     13     51      1     22
Rubio                40     21     37      1     19
Fiorina              24     13     62      1     11
Sanders              30     26     43      1      4
Biden                45     42     11      2      3
Jindal               17     19     63      1     -2
Huckabee             33     37     29      1     -4
Bush                 39     43     17      2     -4
Gilmore               3     8      88      1     -5
Webb                  4     9      86      1     -5
Walker               21     28     51      -     -7
Cruz                 25     33     41      1     -8
Chafee                2     10     87      -     -8
Pataki                7     16     76      1     -9
O'Malley              4     13     83      -     -9
Santorum             19     35     45      1     -16
Christie             27     43     29      1     -16
Paul                 22     38     38      2     -16
Clinton              36     54      8      2     -18
Perry                18     38     43      1     -20
Trump                32     54     11      3     -22
Graham                8     35     57      1     -27
 
                     OHIO REPUBLICANS...................
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Rubio                74      5     21      -     69
Kasich               76     14     10      -     62
Carson               65      4     31      -     61
Huckabee             70     13     16      1     57
Bush                 67     17     14      2     50
Cruz                 50     12     37      1     38
Fiorina              43      8     49      -     35
Walker               47     13     40      -     34
Jindal               37      9     54      -     28
Santorum             38     16     44      1     22
Trump                53     33     11      3     20
Perry                40     23     34      2     17
Christie             44     30     25      1     14
Pataki               11     17     71      -     -6
Gilmore               3     11     85      1     -8
Paul                 28     45     25      2     -17
Graham               13     32     53      1     -19
 
                     OHIO DEMOCRATS...................
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Biden                79     10     11      1     69
Clinton              77     11     10      2     66
Sanders              52      5     43      1     47
O'Malley              7      7     85      -      0
Chafee                6      7     87      1     -1
Webb                  6     12     80      2     -6
 
 
Q15-37. Pennsylvania Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable).
                     PENNSYLVANIA REGISTERED VOTERS ...
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Rubio                46     22     32     -      24
Carson               35     16     49     1      19
Kasich               28     13     58     -      15
Fiorina              28     16     57     -      12
Biden                46     43     10     1       3
Jindal               22     22     56     -       0
Walker               26     26     48     1       0
Huckabee             36     37     26     1      -1
Sanders              28     29     43     1      -1
Bush                 41     43     14     2      -2
Cruz                 29     32     38     1      -3
Chafee                6     10     83     -      -4
Gilmore               2      7     90     1      -5
Webb                  8     14     77     -      -6
Santorum             34     42     24     1      -8
O'Malley              9     18     72     1      -9
Pataki               11     22     66     1      -11
Christie             34     50     16     1      -16
Paul                 27     43     29     1      -16
Clinton              38     55      5     2      -17
Graham               13     31     55     1      -18
Perry                21     41     38     -      -20
Trump                34     55      9     2      -21
                     PENNSYLVANIA......................
                     REPUBLICANS.......................
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Rubio                73      6     21     -      67
Carson               67      3     30     -      64
Cruz                 56     10     34     1      46
Bush                 65     22      9     3      43
Jindal               43      7     50     1      36
Santorum             58     21     21     -      37
Kasich               41      7     52     -      34
Fiorina              45     10     45     -      35
Huckabee             57     24     18     -      33
Walker               44     13     41     1      31
Trump                52     33     13     1      19
Perry                34     23     42     1      11
Christie             45     36     19     -       9
Paul                 42     34     24     1       8
Graham               24     26     50     -      -2
Gilmore               4      9     86     1      -5
Pataki               12     21     64     2      -9
                     PENNSYLVANIA......................
                     DEMOCRATS.........................
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Biden                87      5      8     -      82
Clinton              81     11      5     3      70
Sanders              42      8     50     1      34
Chafee               10      8     82     -       2
O'Malley             16     14     69     1       2
Webb                 13     15     71     1      -2
 
 
15. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            37%    36%    38%
Unfavorable          55     54     55
Hvn't hrd enough      7      8      5
REFUSED               1      2      2
 
 
16. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            36%    32%    34%
Unfavorable          50     54     55
Hvn't hrd enough     12     11      9
REFUSED               2      3      2
 
 
17. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            53%    39%    41%
Unfavorable          39     43     43
Hvn't hrd enough      7     17     14
REFUSED               1      2      2
 
 
18. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            38%    35%    35%
Unfavorable          17     13     16
Hvn't hrd enough     44     51     49
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
19. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            32%    27%    34%
Unfavorable          47     43     50
Hvn't hrd enough     20     29     16
REFUSED               1      1      1
 
 
20. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            31%    25%    29%
Unfavorable          32     33     32
Hvn't hrd enough     36     41     38
REFUSED               1      1      1
 
 
21. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            34%    24%    28%
Unfavorable          11     13     16
Hvn't hrd enough     54     62     57
REFUSED               -      1      -
 
 
22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             5%     3%     2%
Unfavorable           9      8      7
Hvn't hrd enough     86     88     90
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
23. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            14%     8%    13%
Unfavorable          38     35     31
Hvn't hrd enough     45     57     55
REFUSED               3      1      1
 
 
24. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            41%    33%    36%
Unfavorable          33     37     37
Hvn't hrd enough     25     29     26
REFUSED               1      1      1
 
 
25. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            22%    17%    22%
Unfavorable          26     19     22
Hvn't hrd enough     51     63     56
REFUSED               -      1      -
 
 
26. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            28%    55%    28%
Unfavorable          11     27     13
Hvn't hrd enough     60     17     58
REFUSED               1      1      -
 
 
27. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            12%     7%    11%
Unfavorable          20     16     22
Hvn't hrd enough     68     76     66
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
28. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            27%    22%    27%
Unfavorable          41     38     43
Hvn't hrd enough     31     38     29
REFUSED               1      2      1
 
 
29. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            28%    18%    21%
Unfavorable          39     38     41
Hvn't hrd enough     32     43     38
REFUSED               1      1      -
 
 
30. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            52%    40%    46%
Unfavorable          35     21     22
Hvn't hrd enough     12     37     32
REFUSED               1      1      -
 
 
31. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            24%    19%    34%
Unfavorable          35     35     42
Hvn't hrd enough     40     45     24
REFUSED               1      1      1
 
 
32. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            28%    21%    26%
Unfavorable          27     28     26
Hvn't hrd enough     43     51     48
REFUSED               2      -      1
 
 
33. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            44%    45%    46%
Unfavorable          43     42     43
Hvn't hrd enough     12     11     10
REFUSED               1      2      1
 
 
34. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             7%     2%     6%
Unfavorable          11     10     10
Hvn't hrd enough     81     87     83
REFUSED               1      -      -
 
 
35. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             6%     4%     9%
Unfavorable          16     13     18
Hvn't hrd enough     77     83     72
REFUSED               1      -      1
 
 
36. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            28%    30%    28%
Unfavorable          31     26     29
Hvn't hrd enough     41     43     43
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
37. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             7%     4%     8%
Unfavorable          12      9     14
Hvn't hrd enough     80     86     77
REFUSED               -      1      -
 
 
38. Thinking about the recent Republican presidential primary debate on Fox News between Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Huckabee, Kasich, Paul, Rubio, Trump and Walker; which candidate do you think did the best job, or won, the debate?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Bush                  7%     3%     5%
Carson                8      7      6
Christie              2      1      3
Cruz                  3      2      3
Huckabee              3      2      3
Kasich                7     20     10
Paul                  2      1      2
Rubio                15      7     10
Trump                14     16     17
Walker                1      1      1
DK/NA                37     40     41
 
 
39. Did you watch this debate?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  60%    58%    56%
No                   40     41     41
DK/NA                 1      1      2
 
 
46. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  32%    34%    32%
No                   64     60     63
DK/NA                 4      6      5
 
 
47. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  39%    37%    40%
No                   53     53     53
DK/NA                 8     10      7
 
 
48. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  52%    59%    61%
No                   40     33     31
DK/NA                 8      8      8
 
 
49. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  64%    54%    54%
No                   28     35     36
DK/NA                 8     11     10
 
 
50. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  40%    38%    40%
No                   23     20     23
DK/NA                37     42     37
 
 
51. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  58%    45%    49%
No                   30     24     23
DK/NA                12     31     28
 
 
52. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  52%    53%    56%
No                   46     43     42
DK/NA                 2      4      2
 
 
53. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  61%    61%    65%
No                   35     36     33
DK/NA                 4      3      2
 
 
54. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  46%    51%    50%
No                   48     42     42
DK/NA                 6      7      7
 
 
55. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  72%    58%    61%
No                   22     33     29
DK/NA                 6      9     10
 
 
56. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  34%    31%    38%
No                   29     28     26
DK/NA                37     41     35
 
 
57. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  56%    47%    47%
No                   32     24     23
DK/NA                12     29     30
 
 
58. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  42%    43%    43%
No                   55     52     53
DK/NA                 3      5      4
 
 
59. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  38%    33%    36%
No                   55     59     60
DK/NA                 6      8      4
 
 
60. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  49%    56%    60%
No                   42     37     34
DK/NA                 9      8      7
 
 
61. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  61%    47%    49%
No                   34     43     41
DK/NA                 5     10     10
 
 
62. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  40%    38%    42%
No                   28     24     25
DK/NA                31     38     33
 
 
63. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  56%    43%    46%
No                   33     29     30
DK/NA                11     28     24
 
 
64. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  45%    49%    51%
No                   51     47     44
DK/NA                 4      4      4
 
 
65. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  29%    28%    30%
No                   64     65     65
DK/NA                 7      7      5
 
 
66. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  49%    53%    57%
No                   45     40     36
DK/NA                 6      7      7
 
 
67. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  70%    57%    61%
No                   23     32     29
DK/NA                 7     11     10
 
 
68. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  32%    29%    30%
No                   30     30     30
DK/NA                38     41     40
 
 
69. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?