August 25, 2015 - Pennsylvania Voters Say Attorney General Should Quit, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds; Florida Gov Finally Breaks Even, As Ohio's Kasich Soars Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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With Democrats divided and only a small gender gap, Pennsylvania voters say 49 - 27 percent that State Attorney General Kathleen Kane should resign, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

Governors in Ohio and Pennsylvania have positive approval ratings, with Ohio Gov. John Kasich at more than 2-1, and even Florida Gov. Rick Scott gets a split job approval score, the first time in four years he did not get a negative score, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pe-ack) University Poll finds. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.

Looking at 2016 U.S. Senate races, where Democrats hope to gain seats in Florida and Ohio:
  • Florida remains cloudy as the percentage of voters who don't know enough to form an opinion of any of the many candidates whose names have been mentioned ranges from 67 percent to 93 percent;
  • Ohio - The race between Republican U.S. Sen. Rob Portman and former Gov. Ted Strickland, the Democratic challenger, is too close to call;
  • Pennsylvania - Republican U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey maintains a comfortable lead over Democratic challenger Joe Sestak.
"With control of the U.S. Senate in play in 2016, political observers will be watching Florida, where there is a pack of largely unknown contenders," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "Also in play is Ohio, where a Republican incumbent is struggling, and Pennsylvania, where the Republican is in a good position at this time."

Florida

Florida voters give Gov. Rick Scott a divided 45 - 44 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 39 - 49 percent score June 22 and the first time since one month after he took office in 2011 that he did not get a negative approval rating.

Republicans approve 75 - 18 percent, while disapproval is 69 - 20 percent among Democrats and 51 - 38 percent among independent voters. Men approve 53 - 38 percent while women disapprove 50 - 39 percent.

Voters approve 45 - 30 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson is doing and give Sen. Marco Rubio a 57 - 31 percent approval rating.

None of the possible candidates in the 2016 race for Rubio's Senate seat has achieved enough voter recognition for a valid measure of their favorability.

"With little attention on him these days, Gov. Rick Scott gets his best approval rating ever, perhaps useful for the lame-duck governor who is rumored to be interested in running for the Senate in 2018," Brown said.

Ohio

Ohio voters approve 61 - 28 percent of the job Gov. John Kasich is doing, matching his all-time high rating. Approval is 84 - 10 percent among Republicans and 60 - 28 percent among independent voters. Democrats are divided 46 - 44 percent. Men approve 62 - 25 percent and women approve 60 - 31 percent.

In the 2016 U.S. Senate race, Democratic challenger Ted Strickland gets 44 percent to 41 percent for Republican Sen. Rob Portman. Portman beats Cincinnati City Council member P.G. Sittenfeld 46 - 25 percent.

Voters approve 45 - 26 percent of the job Portman is doing and give him a 42 - 19 percent favorability rating. Strickland gets a 44 - 32 percent favorability rating while 88 percent of voters don't know enough about Sittenfeld to form an opinion of him.

U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown gets a 47 - 29 percent approval rating.

"The too-close-to-call status of the U.S. Senate race between Sen. Rob Portman and former Gov. Ted Strickland is progress for the Republican incumbent who had trailed the Democratic challenger in previous Quinnipiac University polls," said Brown.

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania voters disapprove 54 - 20 percent of the job Kathleen Kane is doing as State Attorney General and say 49 - 27 percent that she should resign.

Democrats are divided 39 - 37 percent on whether Kane should resign while Republicans say 60 - 16 percent that she should go and independent voters agree 44 - 32 percent. Men favor resignation 51 - 27 percent and women say 46 - 27 percent that Kane should quit.

Gov. Tom Wolf gets a 45 - 39 percent approval rating.

Republican U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey leads Democratic challenger Joe Sestak 48 - 33 percent. Men back Toomey 57 - 29 percent. Women are divided, with 40 percent for Toomey and 37 percent for Sestak.

Toomey leads Katie McGinty, former chief of staff to Gov. Wolf, 48 - 32 percent, with men for Toomey 56 - 26 percent. Women are divided with 40 for Toomey and 38 percent for McGinty.

Toomey gets a 49 - 26 percent job approval rating and a 46 - 23 percent favorability rating. For Sestak, 61 percent don't know enough to form an opinion and 74 percent don't know enough about McGinty.

U.S. Sen. Robert Casey Jr. gets a 51 - 25 percent approval rating.

"U.S. Senators Robert Casey and Pat Toomey and Gov. Tom Wolf all have positive approval ratings," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Not so for beleaguered Attorney General Kathleen Kane.

"Pennsylvania voters say the state's top law enforcement official needs to find another job."

From August 7 - 18 Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,093 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points;
  • 1,096 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points;
  • 1,085 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

40a. (FL only) Is your opinion of Patrick Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable            11%
Unfavorable           8
Hvn't hrd enough     81
REFUSED               -
 
 
40b. (FL only) Is your opinion of Carlos Lopez-Cantera favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable             5%
Unfavorable           9
Hvn't hrd enough     86
REFUSED               -
 
 
40c. (FL only) Is your opinion of Alan Grayson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable            10%
Unfavorable          22
Hvn't hrd enough     67
REFUSED               -
 
 
40d. (FL only) Is your opinion of Ron DeSantis favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable             5%
Unfavorable           8
Hvn't hrd enough     87
REFUSED               -
 
 
40e. (FL only) Is your opinion of Gwen Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot
 
Favorable             9%
Unfavorable           5
Hvn't hrd enough     86
REFUSED               -
 
 
40f. (FL only) Is your opinion of Bill McCollum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable            16%
Unfavorable          12
Hvn't hrd enough     71
REFUSED               1
 
 
40g. (FL only) Is your opinion of David Jolly favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable             6%
Unfavorable           7
Hvn't hrd enough     86
REFUSED               1
 
 
40h. (FL only) Is your opinion of Jeff Miller favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable             4%
Unfavorable           2
Hvn't hrd enough     93
REFUSED               -
 
 
40i. (FL only) Is your opinion of Todd Wilcox favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable             5%
Unfavorable           3
Hvn't hrd enough     92
REFUSED               -
 
 
40j. (OH only) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot
 
Strickland           44%
Portman              41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4
DK/NA                10
 
 
40k. (OH only) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were P.G. Sittenfeld the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot
 
Sittenfeld           25%
Portman              46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6
DK/NA                22
 
 
40l. (OH only) Is your opinion of Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable            44%
Unfavorable          32
Hvn't hrd enough     23
REFUSED               1
 
 
40m. (OH only) Is your opinion of Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable            42%
Unfavorable          19
Hvn't hrd enough     37
REFUSED               1
 
 
40n. (OH only) Is your opinion of P.G. Sittenfeld favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable             5%
Unfavorable           7
Hvn't hrd enough     88
REFUSED               -
 
 
40o. (PA only) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Sestak the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    
 
Sestak               33%     
Toomey               48     
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      
DK/NA                15      
 
 
40p. (PA only) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Katie McGinty the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot
 
McGinty              32%
Toomey               48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2
DK/NA                17
 
 
40q. (PA only) Is your opinion of Pat Toomey favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable            46%
Unfavorable          23
Hvn't hrd enough     30
REFUSED               1
 
 
40r. (PA only) Is your opinion of Joe Sestak favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot
 
Favorable            22%
Unfavorable          17
Hvn't hrd enough     61
REFUSED               1
 
 
40s. (PA only) Is your opinion of Katie McGinty favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot
 
Favorable            15%
Unfavorable          11
Hvn't hrd enough     74
REFUSED               1
 
 
41. Do you approve or disapprove of the way - (FL) Rick Scott / (OH) John Kasich / (PA) Tom Wolf - is handling his job as Governor?
                     FL          OH          PA
                     Scott       Kasich      Wolf
 
Approve              45%         61%         45%
Disapprove           44          28          39
DK/NA                10          11          17
 
 
42-43. Do you approve or disapprove of the way - (FL) Bill Nelson, Marco Rubio / (OH) Sherrod Brown, Rob Portman / (PA) Bob Casey Jr., Pat Toomey - is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     FL...............       OH.................     PA................
                     Nelson      Rubio       Brown       Portman     Casey Jr.   Toomey
                     FL          FL          OH          OH          PA          PA
 
Approve              45%         57%         47%         45%         51%         49%
Disapprove           30          31          29          26          25          26
DK/NA                25          12          25          30          24          24
 
 
43a. (PA only) Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kathleen Kane is handling her job as State Attorney General?
                     Tot
 
Approve              20%
Disapprove           54
DK/NA                26
 
 
43b. (PA only) Do you think Kathleen Kane should resign as State Attorney General or not?