November 3, 2014 - Malloy 47%, Foley 44% In 2-Way Connecticut Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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With independent candidate Joe Visconti out of the Connecticut governor's race, Democratic incumbent Gov. Dannel Malloy has 47 percent of likely voters to Republican challenger Tom Foley's 44 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. But 7 percent remain undecided one day before the election. .

This compares to results of an October 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University, showing Foley with 46 percent of likely voters to Malloy's 45 percent.

Republicans back Foley 89 - 7 percent as Democrats back Malloy 86 - 10 percent. Independent voters are divided with 44 percent for Malloy and 45 percent for Foley. Malloy leads Foley 53 - 38 percent among women, while Foley leads 51 - 41 percent among men.

"Contrary to conventional wisdom, independent candidate Joe Visconti's last minute exit from the governor's race doesn't look like it will help Republican Tom Foley," said Douglas Schwartz, PhD, director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

One day before the election, 89 percent of Connecticut likely voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 11 percent say they might change their mind.

Connecticut likely voters give Foley a split 42 - 44 percent favorability rating, while Malloy gets a negative 43 - 49 percent score.

From October 28 - November 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 926 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Malloy, Foley, or Visconti? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Malloy               43%     6%    83%    36%    36%    49%
Foley                42     88      9     44     48     38
Visconti              8      4      5     13     11      6
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      -      1
DK/NA                 6      1      3      6      5      6
 
TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Malloy, Foley, or Visconti? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Nov 03  Oct 29  Oct 22  Oct 08  Sep 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2014
 
Malloy               43      43      43      43      40
Foley                42      43      42      43      46
Visconti              8       7       9       9       7
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       -       1
DK/NA                 6       6       6       5       6
 
 
1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1..........
                            CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    Malloy Foley  Visconti
 
Mind made up         89%    94%    92%    46%
Might change         11      6      8     53
DK/NA                 -      -      -      1
 
TREND: (If candidate chosen) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN......................
                     Nov 03  Oct 29  Oct 22  Oct 08  Sep 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2014
 
Mind made up         89      86      81      74      69
Might change         11      13      18      25      30
DK/NA                 -       1       1       1       1
 
 
2. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q1 ASKING VISCONTI VOTERS: Who is your second choice?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     MATCHUP Q1 WITHOUT VISCONTI...........
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Malloy               47%     7%    86%    44%    41%    53%
Foley                44     89     10     45     51     38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      1      1
DK/NA                 7      3      4      8      6      8
 
TREND: RECALCULATED MATCHUP ASKING VISCONTI VOTERS: Who is your second choice?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     MATCHUP WITHOUT VISCONTI..............
                     Nov 03  Oct 29  Oct 22  Oct 08  Sep 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2014
 
Malloy               47      45      45      46      43
Foley                44      46      45      46      49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       2       1       1
DK/NA                 7       8       8       7       7
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            43%     6%    80%    40%    38%    48%
Unfavorable          49     90     15     51     55     44
Hvn't hrd enough      4      2      3      7      3      5
REFUSED               4      2      2      2      5      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Nov 03  Oct 29  Oct 22  Oct 08  Sep 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2014
 
Favorable            43      41      42      41      40
Unfavorable          49      52      50      51      53
Hvn't hrd enough      4       4       5       5       5
REFUSED               4       3       3       3       2
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            42%    82%    10%    43%    49%    35%
Unfavorable          44      9     79     40     38     50
Hvn't hrd enough     11      8     11     14      9     12
REFUSED               3      1      -      3      4      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Nov 03  Oct 29  Oct 22  Oct 08  Sep 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2014
 
Favorable            42      43      40      41      42
Unfavorable          44      43      46      39      33
Hvn't hrd enough     11      10      12      18      23
REFUSED               3       3       2       2       2
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Joe Visconti favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            12%    13%     8%    14%    15%    10%
Unfavorable          10      8     11      9     11      8
Hvn't hrd enough     75     77     79     76     71     79
REFUSED               3      2      2      1      4      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Visconti favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Nov 03  Oct 29  Oct 22  Oct 08  Sep 10
                     2014    2014    2014    2014    2014
 
Favorable            12      11      11       7       6
Unfavorable          10      11       8       7       4
Hvn't hrd enough     75      75      80      86      89
REFUSED               3       2       1       1       1
 
 

Demographic Summary