February 26, 2016 - Women Give Clinton Big Lead Among Florida Democrats, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Young Voters Go To Sanders Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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A huge lead among women propels former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to a 59 - 33 percent lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont among Florida likely Democratic primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Women back Clinton 69 - 24 percent, while men go 47 percent for Sanders and 43 percent for Clinton, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Likely Democratic primary voters 18 to 44 years old back Sanders 51 - 39 percent, while voters 45 to 64 years old back Clinton 64 - 28 percent and voters over 65 years old back her 73 - 21 percent.

Clinton leads among voters who describe themselves as "very liberal," "somewhat liberal" or "moderate to conservative."

Eight percent of Florida likely Democratic primary voters are undecided and 17 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind before the March 15 primary.

Looking at the qualities they want in a presidential nominee, 25 percent of Florida Democrats most want someone who cares about their needs and problems, while 20 percent most want someone who is honest and trustworthy and 16 percent most want someone with the right experience. Another 15 percent most want someone who shares their values.

"This has been a turbulent political year, but the Florida Democratic primary looks like a blow-out. With her 26-point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders, Secretary Hillary Clinton would have to undergo a political meltdown of historic proportions to lose this contest," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Yes, Sen. Sanders has made up ground in earlier contests, but they were smaller states," Brown added. "Florida is the third most populous state. The type of grass roots organizing that stood Sanders in good stead in Iowa and New Hampshire just isn't doable in mega-state Florida where TV commercials are the coin of the realm.

"There is other good news for Secretary Clinton other than the horserace numbers in this poll. After seeing Sanders cut into her traditional big margin among female voters in earlier contests, the sisterhood seems strongly in her corner. She defeats Sanders almost 3-1 among women likely Florida Democratic primary voters."

Among likely Democratic primary voters who most want a candidate who cares about their needs and problems, Sanders gets 48 percent to Clinton's 42 percent. He leads 49 - 37 percent among voters who most want a candidate who is honest and trustworthy.

Clinton leads 87 - 9 among Democrats who most want a candidate with the right experience and 53 - 44 percent among voters who most want someone who shares their values.

The economy and jobs is the most important issue in deciding who to support, 36 percent of Democrats say, followed by 16 percent who cite health care.

Among likely Democratic primary voters who see the economy and jobs as the most important issue, Clinton gets 48 percent to 42 percent for Sanders. Clinton leads 59 - 30 percent among those who see health care as the most important issue.

From February 21 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 476 Florida likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

5. If the Democratic primary were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Clinton or Sanders?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton              59%    56%    59%    62%    43%    69%    60%    58%
Sanders              33     41     33     29     47     24     34     34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 8      3      8      9     10      7      6      9
 
                                          MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q6
                     AGE IN YRS.......    Economy/      Health
                     18-44  45-64  65+    Jobs          Care
 
Clinton              39%    64%    73%    48%           59%
Sanders              51     28     21     42            30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -             -
DK/NA                10      8      6     10            10
 
                     MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q7....................
                     Shares                      Honest/       Right
                     Values        Cares         Trustworthy   Experience
 
Clinton              53%           42%           37%           87%
Sanders              44            48            49             9
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -             -             -             -
DK/NA                 2            10            14             4
 
 
5A. (If candidate chosen q5) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS...........
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q5.................
                                   CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q5
                     Tot           Clinton       Sanders
 
Made up              81%           81%           82%
Might change         17            18            15
DK/NA                 1             -             3
 
 
6. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Economy and jobs     36%    33%    36%    38%    36%    37%    37%    36%
Terrorism             6      6      1      9      8      5      3      7
Immigration           4      3      -      5      4      3      4      4
Federal deficit       1      -      1      2      2      1      2      1
Health care          16     14     17     16     17     14     16     15
Foreign policy        7     12      8      4      5      8      7      7
Climate change        5      9      3      4      8      3      5      5
Race relations        5      7      1      5      3      6      4      5
Abortion              3      4      9      1      2      5      1      4
Gun policy            4      1     10      3      4      4      3      4
Taxes                 4      3      3      6      5      4      5      4
DK/NA                 9      7     11      7      6     10     11      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Economy and jobs     45%    37%    26%
Terrorism             7      4      6
Immigration           1      5      5
Federal deficit       1      1      3
Health care          15     16     16
Foreign policy        4      8      9
Climate change        4      6      4
Race relations        8      2      6
Abortion              5      4      2
Gun policy            2      2      7
Taxes                 4      7      2
DK/NA                 5      7     14
 
 
7. Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning?
                     LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS............................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Shares values        15%    26%    10%    11%    15%    15%    19%    13%
Cares needs/problems 25     23     32     22     26     24     18     28
Strong leadership    15      4     22     18     15     14     17     13
Honest/trustworthy   20     22     11     21     21     18     18     20
Right experience     16     18     13     18     12     19     16     17
Best chance/winning   6      6      8      5      8      5      8      5
DK/NA                 4      2      5      4      2      4      4      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......
                     18-44  45-64  65+
 
Shares values        18%    14%    14%
Cares needs/problems 33     26     15
Strong leadership    14     15     13
Honest/trustworthy   26     15     18
Right experience      4     21     24
Best chance/winning   4      7      9
DK/NA                 2      3      7
 
 

Sample and Methodology detail