May 6, 2015 - Walker In Front Of Pack In Iowa GOP Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; At 5%, Bush Is A Distant Seventh Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is the top dog with a big early lead in the Iowa Republican Caucus, with a four-way scramble for second place and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush in seventh place with 5 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Walker is at 21 percent of likely GOP caucus participants, compared to 25 percent in a February 25 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In the scramble for second place are U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida with 13 percent each, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas with 12 percent and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee with 11 percent. Physician Ben Carson has 7 percent, with 5 percent for Bush. No other candidate is above 3 percent and 6 percent are undecided.

Bush tops the list at 25 percent, followed by New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie with 20 percent, when likely Republican Caucus participants are asked if there is any candidate they would definitely not support." Paul is next on this negative list with 10 percent.

"The first few months of the Iowa Republican caucus race show Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker as the early leader. U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, on the strength of an impressive candidacy roll out, has moved from the bottom of the pack into a tie for second," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll. "Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who has yet to formalize his candidacy while he amasses what most expect to be a massive fund-raising lead, runs seventh with just 5 percent of the vote."

Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants have a 69 - 9 percent favorable opinion of Rubio, the best score in the GOP field. The Florida senator's positions on the issues are "about right," 65 percent say, also the best in the field.

Walker gets a 59 - 11 percent favorability rating, with 62 percent of caucus participants saying his positions on issues are "about right." Scores for other leading Republican candidates are:
  • Negative 39 - 45 percent favorability rating for Bush, and 36 percent saying he's about right on issues, while 45 percent say he's not conservative enough;
  • 53 - 9 percent favorable for Carson, and 56 percent saying he's about right on the issues;
  • Negative 32 - 56 percent favorable for Christie, and 52 percent saying he's not conservative enough on issues;
  • 59 - 19 percent favorable for Cruz, and 58 percent saying he's about right;
  • 64 - 27 percent favorable for Huckabee, and 59 percent about right on the issues;
  • 59 - 23 percent favorable for Paul, and 51 percent saying he's about right.
Looking at Walker, likely Republican Caucus participants say 69 - 11 percent that he is honest and trustworthy; 72 - 10 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and 72 - 11 percent that he cares about their needs and problems.

Paul scores 77 - 13 percent for being honest and trustworthy, 70 - 19 percent for having strong leadership qualities and 75 - 15 percent for caring for voter needs and problems.

Rubio is honest and trustworthy, voters say 72 - 13 percent; with 70 - 14 percent for strong leadership qualities and 72 - 15 percent for caring for voter needs and problems.

"Walker scores very highly on a variety of matrixes - honesty, leadership, caring about the needs of average folks and his favorability among caucus-goers," Brown said.

"More of those surveyed view Bush unfavorably than favorably, compared to Walker's 5-1 positive ratio. And 45 percent say Bush is not conservative enough. It's among the GOP conservative base that Bush finds himself trailing Sen. Ted Cruz, former Gov. Mike Huckabee and Sen. Rand Paul.

"For national unknowns like Walker and Rubio, a fast start in Iowa may be critical to their chances of overall success, while supporters of national names like Bush note that fewer than half of Iowa winners wind up inhabiting the Oval Office."

From April 25 - May 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 667 likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  5%     1%     4%     2%     5%    10%     5%     6%
Carson                7      8      6      7     12      1      6      7
Christie              3      4      2      1      2      6      2      4
Cruz                 12     26     16     21      9      3     10     15
Fiorina               2      1      2      1      2      4      3      2
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee             11     10     17     12      8     11     11     10
Jindal                1      1      3      3      -      1      1      3
Kasich                2      -      1      1      3      2      2      1
Paul                 13     11     11     10     11     18     16      8
Perry                 3      2      2      2      2      3      3      2
Rubio                13      7     11     10     14     17     11     16
Santorum              2      -      2      1      3      1      1      2
Walker               21     26     18     24     27     12     24     17
DK/NA                 6      2      4      4      3     10      5      7
 
TREND: If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you support If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Bush                  5      10
Carson                7      11
Christie              3       4
Cruz                 12       5
Fiorina               2      na
Graham                -      na
Huckabee             11      11
Jindal                1       2
Kasich                2       -
Paul                 13      13
Perry                 3       3
Rubio                13       4
Santorum              2       4
Walker               21      25
DK/NA                 6       9
 
 
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Who is your second choice: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  7%     3%     9%     4%     9%    11%     7%     8%
Carson                9     16     11     13      4      9      8     11
Christie              5      1      5      4      2      8      4      5
Cruz                 10     15     11     13      9      5     12      7
Fiorina               4      5      2      2      8      3      3      5
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              6      7      7      8      5      4      5      7
Jindal                4      4      3      6      2      4      5      4
Kasich                1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
Paul                  8      7      4      7      5     10      7      8
Perry                 4      4      4      3      5      6      5      3
Rubio                15     13     15     13     23     12     16     15
Santorum              4      3      6      4      3      6      4      5
Walker               13     17     12     14     16      8     14     12
DK/NA                 9      4      8      8      8     12      9      9
 
TREND: (If candidate chosen) Who is your second choice Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Bush                  7      11
Carson                9       8
Christie              5       7
Cruz                 10       7
Fiorina               4      na
Graham                -      na
Huckabee              6       8
Jindal                4       3
Kasich                1       2
Paul                  8       9
Perry                 4       9
Rubio                15       6
Santorum              4       6
Walker               13      13
DK/NA                 9      11
 
 
1B. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker? COMBINED WITH: Who is your second choice...? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                     Q1 & Q1A COMBINED...................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 12%     4%    13%     6%    13%    20%    11%    13%
Carson               15     24     17     19     16      9     14     17
Christie              7      5      6      5      4     14      6      9
Cruz                 22     41     26     34     17      8     22     22
Fiorina               6      6      4      4     10      7      6      7
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Huckabee             16     17     24     20     12     15     16     17
Jindal                5      4      6      9      2      4      5      6
Kasich                2      1      2      1      4      2      3      1
Paul                 20     17     15     17     16     27     23     16
Perry                 7      6      6      5      8      8      7      6
Rubio                27     20     26     22     36     28     26     30
Santorum              6      3      8      5      6      7      5      7
Walker               33     43     30     37     43     19     37     28
DK/NA                15      7     12     12     11     21     14     15
 
TREND: If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsay Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker? COMBINED WITH: Who is your second choice...? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Bush                 12      20
Carson               15      19
Christie              7      11
Cruz                 22      11
Fiorina               6      na
Graham                -      na
Huckabee             16      18
Jindal                5       5
Kasich                2       2
Paul                 20      21
Perry                 7      11
Rubio                27       9
Santorum              6      10
Walker               33      37
DK/NA                15      18
 
 
2. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 25%    43%    28%    35%    22%    13%    26%    23%
Carson                4      2      4      4      2      6      2      7
Christie             20     27     20     25     19     15     19     22
Cruz                  7      1      6      3      9     13      8      6
Fiorina               5      4      5      5      2      6      3      7
Graham                8      9      9     10      8      6      8      9
Huckabee              9      9      4      6     10     13      9     10
Jindal                3      1      2      3      1      4      2      4
Kasich                4      3      4      5      1      4      2      6
Paul                 10      6     11      9     11     10      7     13
Perry                 7      4      8      5      4      9      6      7
Rubio                 5      4      7      4      7      5      5      6
Santorum              8      2      6      5      8      9      9      7
Walker                3      1      3      3      1      6      2      6
No/No one            35     26     33     29     35     44     34     36
DK/NA                10      6     13     11      8     11      9     12
 
TREND: Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Bush                 25      26
Carson                4       3
Christie             20      26
Cruz                  7       8
Fiorina               5      na
Graham                8      na
Huckabee              9      10
Jindal                3       4
Kasich                4       3
Paul                 10       7
Perry                 7       7
Rubio                 5       5
Santorum              8       8
Walker                3       3
No/No one            35      29
DK/NA                10      14
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            39%    20%    37%    28%    45%    50%    36%    43%
Unfavorable          45     66     46     61     38     29     49     41
Hvn't hrd enough     15     14     16     10     15     20     14     16
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      1      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            39      41
Unfavorable          45      40
Hvn't hrd enough     15      17
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            53%    70%    58%    70%    52%    32%    53%    54%
Unfavorable           9      7      7      7      8     11      9      8
Hvn't hrd enough     38     22     35     23     40     57     38     37
REFUSED               -      -      1      -      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            53      51
Unfavorable           9       5
Hvn't hrd enough     38      43
REFUSED               -       -
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            32%    26%    29%    25%    31%    42%    33%    29%
Unfavorable          56     68     58     66     57     39     57     55
Hvn't hrd enough     11      6     11      8     11     17      9     14
REFUSED               1      -      2      1      -      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            32      30
Unfavorable          56      54
Hvn't hrd enough     11      15
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            59%    78%    63%    72%    59%    41%    64%    53%
Unfavorable          19      6     16     11     22     29     20     19
Hvn't hrd enough     21     16     20     16     17     29     15     28
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            59      46
Unfavorable          19      19
Hvn't hrd enough     21      34
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            26%    33%    23%    30%    28%    19%    26%    26%
Unfavorable           8      8      6      9      5      7      9      6
Hvn't hrd enough     66     59     71     61     66     73     64     68
REFUSED               -      1      -      -      1      1      1      -
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            15%    10%    14%    13%    19%    15%    15%    14%
Unfavorable          37     53     35     46     39     24     42     31
Hvn't hrd enough     47     36     50     41     41     60     42     54
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      2      -      1      -
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            64%    67%    77%    72%    69%    51%    62%    68%
Unfavorable          27     25     15     22     25     36     29     25
Hvn't hrd enough      7      6      7      5      5     12      8      6
REFUSED               1      2      1      2      2      -      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            64      63
Unfavorable          27      24
Hvn't hrd enough      7      12
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            45%    55%    47%    58%    43%    30%    49%    41%
Unfavorable           9      8      9      8      5     15     10      8
Hvn't hrd enough     44     37     43     34     50     55     40     50
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      2      -      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            45      41
Unfavorable           9       9
Hvn't hrd enough     44      50
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
13. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            20%    27%    19%    25%    19%    14%    20%    19%
Unfavorable           8     10      7      8      7      8      9      6
Hvn't hrd enough     72     63     74     67     73     79     70     75
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            20      17
Unfavorable           8       6
Hvn't hrd enough     72      77
REFUSED               -       -
 
 
14. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            59%    67%    58%    61%    60%    56%    63%    52%
Unfavorable          23     17     25     23     26     22     22     26
Hvn't hrd enough     16     14     15     15     12     22     14     20
REFUSED               1      2      2      2      2      -      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            59      58
Unfavorable          23      22
Hvn't hrd enough     16      18
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
15. Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            51%    60%    54%    60%    56%    33%    52%    48%
Unfavorable          30     22     26     19     31     43     30     29
Hvn't hrd enough     18     17     18     20     11     22     15     21
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      2      2      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            51      56
Unfavorable          30      22
Hvn't hrd enough     18      21
REFUSED               2       1
 
 
16. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            69%    67%    66%    70%    75%    63%    69%    68%
Unfavorable           9     14     10      9      8     10     11      7
Hvn't hrd enough     21     18     23     20     16     26     19     24
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      1      2      2      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            69      48
Unfavorable           9      15
Hvn't hrd enough     21      34
REFUSED               1       2
 
 
17. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            56%    66%    66%    69%    57%    37%    54%    58%
Unfavorable          28     20     20     18     30     37     32     22
Hvn't hrd enough     16     14     14     12     11     26     13     20
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            56      54
Unfavorable          28      23
Hvn't hrd enough     16      22
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
18. Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            59%    70%    58%    69%    67%    39%    63%    54%
Unfavorable          11      5      9      9      6     18     11     11
Hvn't hrd enough     29     24     31     22     26     42     25     35
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            59      57
Unfavorable          11       7
Hvn't hrd enough     29      36
REFUSED               1       -
 
 
19. In general, do you think - Jeb Bush's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      6%     1%     5%     1%     3%    13%     5%     6%
Not con enough       45     73     51     68     43     15     50     40
About right          36     16     30     21     42     53     34     38
DK/NA                13     10     14     10     11     19     11     16
 
 
20. In general, do you think - Ben Carson's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      5%     3%     4%     3%     5%    10%     5%     6%
Not con enough        6      8      6      8      4      6      6      7
About right          56     71     58     68     56     37     57     54
DK/NA                32     17     32     21     36     47     32     33
 
 
21. In general, do you think - Chris Christie's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      4%     2%     2%     2%     5%     8%     4%     6%
Not con enough       52     69     58     68     54     27     54     49
About right          29     19     23     20     27     43     30     27
DK/NA                15      9     17     10     14     21     13     18
 
 
22. In general, do you think - Ted Cruz's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative     19%     7%    12%     6%    25%    30%    20%    16%
Not con enough        5      6      7      7      1      6      5      6
About right          58     77     61     74     54     38     62     52
DK/NA                19     10     21     13     19     26     13     26
 
 
23. In general, do you think - Carly Fiorina's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      2%     -      1%     -      1%     6%     2%     2%
Not con enough        7     12      9      8      7      6      7      7
About right          34     41     29     38     31     28     37     29
DK/NA                57     48     60     53     61     61     54     62
 
 
24. In general, do you think - Lindsey Graham's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      9%     3%     6%     2%    11%    17%     7%    11%
Not con enough       29     53     31     46     25      8     36     19
About right          23     16     20     19     24     27     24     21
DK/NA                40     27     43     33     40     49     33     49
 
 
25. In general, do you think - Mike Huckabee's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative     22%    11%    10%     7%    27%    38%    21%    23%
Not con enough       11     22     10     16      7      5     10     12
About right          59     60     74     71     58     45     62     56
DK/NA                 8      7      6      5      9     12      7     10
 
 
26. In general, do you think - Bobby Jindal's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      4%     2%     2%     1%     3%     8%     5%     3%
Not con enough        5     11      7      7      2      6      7      4
About right          53     63     54     63     53     41     55     51
DK/NA                37     25     37     28     42     46     33     42
 
 
27. In general, do you think - John Kasich's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      3%     -      1%     -      3%     7%     4%     2%
Not con enough        8     18      8     12      3      8      9      7
About right          28     30     26     31     30     23     32     23
DK/NA                60     52     65     56     65     62     55     68
 
 
28. In general, do you think - Rand Paul's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative     15%     4%    16%     6%    18%    27%    15%    15%
Not con enough       20     29     21     31     16      9     17     26
About right          51     58     50     53     48     50     58     40
DK/NA                14      9     14     10     18     15     10     19
 
 
29. In general, do you think - Rick Perry's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative     13%     4%     9%     3%    14%    27%    14%    12%
Not con enough        9     16     10     12      6      9      9     10
About right          61     67     65     69     67     45     65     55
DK/NA                16     12     17     16     12     20     12     23
 
 
30. In general, do you think - Marco Rubio's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      4%     1%     2%     1%     4%     7%     3%     5%
Not con enough       13     23     15     18     14      6     13     12
About right          65     61     63     63     66     66     67     62
DK/NA                18     15     20     17     15     21     17     21
 
 
31. In general, do you think - Rick Santorum's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative     23%    13%    17%     9%    26%    41%    24%    22%
Not con enough        8     10      8     10      6      5      9      6
About right          54     65     63     68     53     36     54     55
DK/NA                15     12     12     12     14     18     14     16
 
 
32. In general, do you think - Scott Walker's positions on the issues are too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Too conservative      8%     1%     6%     3%     5%    19%     9%     8%
Not con enough        6      8      6      8      5      5      6      7
About right          62     74     61     69     71     44     67     56
DK/NA                23     17     26     20     19     32     19     29
 
 
33. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  58%    45%    57%    53%    65%    62%    56%    61%
No                   30     45     30     35     24     28     34     25
DK/NA                11      9     13     12     11     10     10     14
 
 
34. Would you say that - Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  69%    79%    67%    75%    78%    55%    73%    64%
No                   11      5     10      6      9     20     14      8
DK/NA                19     16     23     19     13     24     13     28
 
 
35. Would you say that - Rand Paul is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  77%    83%    76%    79%    79%    73%    78%    75%
No                   13     10     11     11     11     15     14     11
DK/NA                10      7     13      9     10     11      8     14
 
 
36. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  72%    69%    71%    71%    77%    70%    73%    72%
No                   13     16     13     13     10     14     15      9
DK/NA                15     15     16     16     12     16     12     19
 
 
37. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  65%    54%    65%    60%    72%    68%    60%    72%
No                   24     37     23     29     18     21     29     17
DK/NA                11      9     12     11     10     11     11     11
 
 
38. Would you say that - Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  72%    78%    70%    77%    79%    61%    78%    65%
No                   10      8      8      5      6     19     10      9
DK/NA                18     13     22     19     15     20     12     26
 
 
39. Would you say that - Rand Paul has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  70%    74%    70%    70%    71%    69%    71%    67%
No                   19     19     18     18     20     21     19     20
DK/NA                11      8     12     12     10     10     10     13
 
 
40. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  70%    68%    72%    70%    73%    69%    71%    69%
No                   14     17     14     14     12     15     16     11
DK/NA                16     15     15     16     15     16     13     20
 
 
41. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  52%    39%    50%    46%    56%    58%    48%    58%
No                   37     55     39     44     34     32     42     31
DK/NA                10      6     10     10     10     11     10     11
 
 
42. Would you say that - Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  72%    79%    72%    80%    76%    57%    76%    67%
No                   11      7     10      4      8     22     12      9
DK/NA                17     15     18     16     16     21     12     25
 
 
43. Would you say that - Rand Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  75%    81%    73%    74%    80%    71%    79%    69%
No                   15     13     16     15     12     18     14     17
DK/NA                10      7     10     11      8     11      8     14
 
 
44. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  72%    69%    71%    72%    75%    68%    72%    71%
No                   15     18     15     13     14     19     16     14
DK/NA                13     13     14     15     11     13     12     15
 
 
45. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             6%     3%     2%     1%     2%    16%     6%     6%
Unfavorable          93     96     96     98     95     83     93     93
Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      1      1      3      -      1      1
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      1      1      1      -
 
 
46. Is your opinion of Ron Paul, presidential candidate in 2008 and 2012, favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            47%    51%    44%    47%    44%    48%    51%    42%
Unfavorable          37     38     41     38     42     33     36     39
Hvn't hrd enough     14     10     14     13     13     17     11     19
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      2      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ron Paul, presidential candidate in 2008 and 2012, favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            47      45
Unfavorable          37      31
Hvn't hrd enough     14      22
REFUSED               1       2
 
 
47. Is your opinion of George W. Bush, president from 2001 - 2009, favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            81%    80%    80%    81%    88%    76%    75%    89%
Unfavorable          16     17     16     16     10     21     21      9
Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      1      -      1      2      1      1
REFUSED               2      2      2      3      1      2      3      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of George W. Bush, president from 2001-2009, favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            81      80
Unfavorable          16      15
Hvn't hrd enough      1       3
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
48. Is your opinion of George H. W. Bush, president from 1989 - 1993, favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            80%    75%    79%    79%    84%    75%    76%    84%
Unfavorable          13     18     13     15     10     13     16      9
Hvn't hrd enough      7      6      8      4      5     11      7      6
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of George H. W. Bush, president from 1989-1993, favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            80      79
Unfavorable          13      11
Hvn't hrd enough      7       9
REFUSED               1       1