July 1, 2015 - It's Walker Plus Six Also-Rans In Iowa GOP Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Christie In 15th Place In Field Of 16 Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker leads the pack in the Iowa Republican Caucus, but his support is shrinking among likely Republican Caucus participants, as six other contenders battle for second place, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie is in 15th place, with 1 percent.

Walker has 18 percent of likely GOP caucus participants, compared to 25 percent in a February 25 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and 21 percent in a May 6 survey.

Jostling for second place are Donald Trump and Ben Carson, at 10 percent each, U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 9 percent each, former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida at 8 percent and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 7 percent. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee has 5 percent. No other candidate is above 4 percent and 5 percent are undecided.

Trump and Bush top the "no way" list as 28 percent say they would definitely not support Trump and 24 percent say no to Bush. Christie is next on this negative list with 18 percent.

"Those who thought the Republican race in the Iowa caucuses might begin to clarify itself better think again," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "As even more candidates toss their hats into the ring, the race has gotten even more muddled.

"Iowa front-runner Scott Walker, the governor of neighboring Wisconsin, remains in front, but his support continues to drop. Meanwhile, behind Walker are a half-dozen wannabes who are fighting for second place."

"In that second-place gaggle is newly declared candidate and billionaire businessman Donald Trump, whose early showing - he is getting one in 10 votes - worries many party leaders. They see him as a potentially disruptive force," Brown added.

"Gov. Jeb Bush's formal announcement seems to have inched up his standing, while New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie may think making his candidacy official will help him climb out of the caucus basement.

"Meanwhile, the candidate other than Walker with the best favorability rating is surgeon and political neophyte Ben Carson."

Walker has the best favorability rating, 66 - 8 percent, among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants. He also scores high on personal qualities as voters say 71 - 8 percent he is honest and trustworthy, 75 - 7 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and 71 - 10 percent that he cares about their needs and problems.

Favorability ratings for other Republican candidates are:
  • 53 - 31 percent for Paul;
  • Negative 42 - 47 percent for Trump;
  • 46 - 42 percent for Bush;
  • 63 - 7 percent for Carson;
  • 58 - 19 percent for Cruz;
  • 60 - 13 percent for Rubio;
  • 61 - 28 percent for Huckabee
  • Negative 25 - 59 percent for Christie.
If Jeb Bush is elected president he would follow different policies from his brother, President George W. Bush, likely Republican caucus participants say 69 - 20 percent.

Voters say 60 - 28 percent that Bush is honest and trustworthy, 68 - 25 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and 55 - 35 percent that he cares about their needs and problems.

From June 20 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 666 likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  8%     1%     6%     3%    10%    15%     8%     9%
Carson               10      9      9     13      8      6      8     12
Christie              1      -      -      -      1      3      1      1
Cruz                  9     19     11     16      4      2      9      7
Fiorina               3      2      3      4      2      3      3      4
Graham                1      -      2      -      3      2      1      2
Huckabee              5      1      8      6      6      5      5      5
Jindal                3      3      3      4      1      2      2      4
Kasich                2      3      1      2      3      1      2      2
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  9      9      7      7      8     15     12      4
Perry                 4      6      7      5      5      2      5      4
Rubio                 7      4      6      5     13      6      6      9
Santorum              4      7      6      4      4      3      3      5
Trump                10     10      8      7     11     15      9     12
Walker               18     22     18     21     18     12     21     14
DK/NA                 5      3      4      4      4      8      4      6
 
TREND: If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump and Scott Walker, who would you support? If undecided If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump or Walker?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Bush                  8       5      10
Carson               10       7      11
Christie              1       3       4
Cruz                  9      12       5
Fiorina               3       2      na
Graham                1       -      na
Huckabee              5      11      11
Jindal                3       1       2
Kasich                2       2       -
Pataki                -      na      na
Paul                  9      13      13
Perry                 4       3       3
Rubio                 7      13       4
Santorum              4       2       4
Trump                10      na      na
Walker               18      21      25
DK/NA                 5       6       9
 
 
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Who is your second choice: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                  9%     6%     5%     5%    12%    12%     8%    10%
Carson                8     10      9      9      8      5      5     12
Christie              3      -      3      -      6      4      2      3
Cruz                  5      8      5      7      6      1      6      3
Fiorina               3      5      5      4      2      4      4      2
Graham                1      -      -      -      -      1      1      -
Huckabee              7      3      9      6      6      9      8      6
Jindal                5      7      5      8      3      3      6      4
Kasich                1      2      1      1      2      1      1      1
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  6      5      3      5      7      6      6      4
Perry                 6      5      8      9      2      6      7      5
Rubio                11     10     10     11     11     10     11     11
Santorum              5      7      5      5      4      4      4      5
Trump                 6     10      8      9      5      3      6      6
Walker               11     14     12     13     14      6     12     10
No first choice       5      3      4      4      4      8      4      6
DK/NA                 9      5      9      5      9     16      7     13
 
 
1B. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker? COMBINED WITH: Who is your second choice ...? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                     Q1 & Q1A COMBINED...................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 17%     7%    12%     8%    22%    27%    15%    19%
Carson               17     18     18     22     16     11     13     23
Christie              4      1      3      -      7      7      3      4
Cruz                 13     28     17     23     10      2     16     10
Fiorina               7      7      8      8      4      7      7      6
Graham                2      -      2      1      3      3      2      2
Huckabee             12      4     17     11     11     14     13     11
Jindal                7     10      8     12      3      5      7      8
Kasich                3      4      2      2      6      2      3      4
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
Paul                 15     14     10     11     15     21     19      9
Perry                11     11     14     14      7      8     12      8
Rubio                18     14     16     16     25     16     17     20
Santorum              8     14     11     10      7      7      7     10
Trump                17     20     16     16     16     18     16     18
Walker               29     36     30     34     32     18     33     24
 
TREND: If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsay Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump or Walker? COMBINED WITH: Who is your second choice...? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Bush                 17      12      20
Carson               17      15      19
Christie              4       7      11
Cruz                 13      22      11
Fiorina               7       6      na
Graham                2       -      na
Huckabee             12      16      18
Jindal                7       5       5
Kasich                3       2       2
Pataki                -      na      na
Paul                 15      20      21
Perry                11       7      11
Rubio                18      27       9
Santorum              8       6      10
Trump                17      na      na
Walker               29      33      37
 
 
2. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 24%    37%    26%    32%    18%    16%    26%    22%
Carson                4      4      4      3      3      6      5      3
Christie             18     25     21     22     14     15     18     17
Cruz                  9      2      8      4     10     15      8     10
Fiorina               4      4      5      3      6      4      4      5
Graham               12     20     15     14     11      8     12     10
Huckabee             11     10      8      8     11     16     11     10
Jindal                4      2      4      1      6      7      4      4
Kasich                5      6      6      5      6      5      5      6
Pataki                6      7      8      6      7      4      6      5
Paul                 11     11      9     10     11     13      9     13
Perry                 7      5      6      4      7     14      6      9
Rubio                 4      4      5      3      4      5      3      6
Santorum              8      4      6      3     10     12      8      7
Trump                28     20     25     21     31     35     26     30
Walker                4      1      3      1      5      8      3      6
No/No one            26     22     31     29     32     15     25     28
DK/NA                 7      3      6      6      5     11      7      8
 
TREND: Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Bush                 24      25      26
Carson                4       4       3
Christie             18      20      26
Cruz                  9       7       8
Fiorina               4       5      na
Graham               12       8      na
Huckabee             11       9      10
Jindal                4       3       4
Kasich                5       4       3
Pataki                6      na      na
Paul                 11      10       7
Perry                 7       7       7
Rubio                 4       5       5
Santorum              8       8       8
Trump                28      na      na
Walker                4       3       3
No/No one            26      35      29
DK/NA                 7      10      14
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            46%    33%    45%    34%    58%    53%    46%    46%
Unfavorable          42     59     42     52     33     34     45     37
Hvn't hrd enough     12      9     12     14      9     11      9     16
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            46      39      41
Unfavorable          42      45      40
Hvn't hrd enough     12      15      17
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            63%    74%    66%    72%    68%    42%    63%    63%
Unfavorable           7      7      4      6      6      9      9      4
Hvn't hrd enough     30     19     29     22     26     48     28     34
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            63      53      51
Unfavorable           7       9       5
Hvn't hrd enough     30      38      43
REFUSED               -       -       -
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            25%    13%    22%    19%    32%    30%    26%    25%
Unfavorable          59     75     62     67     52     54     60     57
Hvn't hrd enough     15     12     16     14     17     15     13     18
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      -      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            25      32      30
Unfavorable          59      56      54
Hvn't hrd enough     15      11      15
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            58%    80%    64%    76%    52%    34%    60%    54%
Unfavorable          19      5     13      9     23     32     20     17
Hvn't hrd enough     23     14     23     16     24     33     19     29
REFUSED               -      1      -      -      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            58      59      46
Unfavorable          19      19      19
Hvn't hrd enough     23      21      34
REFUSED               -       1       1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            36%    43%    36%    42%    30%    33%    39%    32%
Unfavorable           8      7      9      7      7     10     10      6
Hvn't hrd enough     55     50     55     50     62     57     51     61
REFUSED               -      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            36      26
Unfavorable           8       8
Hvn't hrd enough     55      66
REFUSED               -       -
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            20%    17%    17%    20%    18%    22%    20%    19%
Unfavorable          38     53     38     43     33     35     43     30
Hvn't hrd enough     42     29     43     36     47     43     37     49
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      2      -      -      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Favorable            20      15
Unfavorable          38      37
Hvn't hrd enough     42      47
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            61%    63%    72%    71%    65%    40%    60%    63%
Unfavorable          28     27     19     22     23     44     31     23
Hvn't hrd enough     10      9      9      6     12     15      9     13
REFUSED               1      1      -      -      -      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            61      64      63
Unfavorable          28      27      24
Hvn't hrd enough     10       7      12
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            49%    61%    48%    66%    39%    34%    50%    48%
Unfavorable           9      5      7      3     10     18     11      8
Hvn't hrd enough     41     34     45     31     50     48     39     44
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            49      45      41
Unfavorable           9       9       9
Hvn't hrd enough     41      44      50
REFUSED               -       1       1
 
 
13. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            20%    23%    18%    21%    20%    20%    20%    20%
Unfavorable          11     15     12     13      6     12     13      7
Hvn't hrd enough     69     62     70     66     74     69     66     74
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            20      20      17
Unfavorable          11       8       6
Hvn't hrd enough     69      72      77
REFUSED               -       -       -
 
 
14. Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable             9%    11%     5%     9%     8%    12%     9%     9%
Unfavorable          20     26     20     24     15     18     24     14
Hvn't hrd enough     70     63     73     66     76     71     67     75
REFUSED               1      -      2      1      1      -      -      2
 
 
15. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            53%    66%    54%    55%    51%    53%    60%    42%
Unfavorable          31     22     29     30     32     28     27     37
Hvn't hrd enough     15      9     16     13     16     17     12     20
REFUSED               1      2      1      2      -      1      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            53      59      58
Unfavorable          31      23      22
Hvn't hrd enough     15      16      18
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
16. Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            61%    77%    68%    74%    58%    43%    64%    56%
Unfavorable          21     10     14      9     19     43     21     20
Hvn't hrd enough     17     11     17     16     20     14     13     22
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      2      1      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            61      51      56
Unfavorable          21      30      22
Hvn't hrd enough     17      18      21
REFUSED               1       2       1
 
 
17. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            60%    68%    57%    63%    63%    51%    64%    53%
Unfavorable          13     13     13     13      9     17     13     12
Hvn't hrd enough     26     18     30     23     28     30     22     33
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      -      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            60      69      48
Unfavorable          13       9      15
Hvn't hrd enough     26      21      34
REFUSED               1       1       2
 
 
18. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            55%    71%    65%    72%    52%    30%    52%    60%
Unfavorable          27     19     18     17     23     47     29     24
Hvn't hrd enough     17     10     16     11     23     21     18     15
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      2      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            55      56      54
Unfavorable          27      28      23
Hvn't hrd enough     17      16      22
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
19. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            42%    52%    45%    48%    40%    35%    44%    38%
Unfavorable          47     37     43     39     50     56     46     48
Hvn't hrd enough     10     10     10     11      9      8      8     12
REFUSED               2      1      2      3      1      1      2      2
 
 
20. Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            66%    77%    66%    77%    68%    45%    71%    57%
Unfavorable           8      5      8      3      8     16      7      8
Hvn't hrd enough     26     18     25     20     25     39     22     34
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06  Feb 25
                     2015    2015    2015
 
Favorable            66      59      57
Unfavorable           8      11       7
Hvn't hrd enough     26      29      36
REFUSED               -       1       -
 
 
21. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  60%    46%    61%    53%    70%    63%    57%    66%
No                   28     39     25     31     22     28     33     20
DK/NA                12     15     14     16      8      9     10     15
 
TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  60      58
No                   28      30
DK/NA                12      11
 
 
22. Would you say that - Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  71%    83%    72%    80%    75%    52%    75%    64%
No                    8      4      5      3      5     20      8      8
DK/NA                21     13     23     17     21     28     17     28
 
TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  71      69
No                    8      11
DK/NA                21      19
 
 
23. Would you say that - Rand Paul is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  72%    80%    71%    75%    74%    65%    77%    63%
No                   16     11     13     13     12     23     14     18
DK/NA                13      9     15     12     14     12      9     19
 
TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  72      77
No                   16      13
DK/NA                13      10
 
 
24. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  68%    73%    66%    70%    75%    58%    69%    66%
No                   10      9      9     11      6     13     11      8
DK/NA                22     18     25     19     20     29     20     26
 
TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  68      72
No                   10      13
DK/NA                22      15
 
 
25. Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  74%    85%    74%    85%    72%    60%    76%    72%
No                    4      2      3      2      4      7      5      3
DK/NA                22     13     23     13     23     34     19     25
 
 
26. Would you say that - Mike Huckabee is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  83%    86%    89%    87%    90%    67%    83%    82%
No                   11     10      7      8      6     22     13      9
DK/NA                 6      5      4      5      4     10      5      9
 
 
27. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  68%    56%    69%    61%    78%    70%    66%    72%
No                   25     36     23     29     20     24     29     19
DK/NA                 6      7      8     10      2      5      5      9
 
TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  68      65
No                   25      24
DK/NA                 6      11
 
 
28. Would you say that - Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  75%    87%    74%    82%    77%    60%    78%    69%
No                    7      3      5      3      6     16      7      7
DK/NA                18     11     21     15     18     24     14     25
 
TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  75      72
No                    7      10
DK/NA                18      18
 
 
29. Would you say that - Rand Paul has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  63%    72%    65%    68%    58%    61%    65%    59%
No                   25     20     20     21     29     27     26     23
DK/NA                12      8     15     11     13     12      9     18
 
TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  63      70
No                   25      19
DK/NA                12      11
 
 
30. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  65%    73%    64%    70%    68%    56%    66%    65%
No                   15     12     12     12     10     26     18     10
DK/NA                20     15     24     17     22     18     16     25
 
TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  65      70
No                   15      14
DK/NA                20      16
 
 
31. Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  56%    66%    60%    69%    50%    44%    57%    56%
No                   15     15     10     13     15     17     18     10
DK/NA                29     19     30     18     35     40     26     34
 
 
32. Would you say that - Mike Huckabee has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  70%    72%    78%    78%    67%    60%    68%    72%
No                   22     20     17     16     26     28     26     16
DK/NA                 8      8      6      7      7     12      6     12
 
 
33. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  55%    46%    58%    48%    69%    53%    52%    59%
No                   35     43     32     40     24     38     39     29
DK/NA                10     11     10     12      6      9      8     12
 
TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  55      52
No                   35      37
DK/NA                10      10
 
 
34. Would you say that - Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  71%    82%    71%    80%    75%    50%    74%    66%
No                   10      4      7      5      4     25     11      8
DK/NA                20     14     22     15     21     25     15     27
 
TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  71      72
No                   10      11
DK/NA                20      17
 
 
35. Would you say that - Rand Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  70%    80%    70%    73%    69%    64%    73%    64%
No                   20     12     18     17     22     23     19     22
DK/NA                10      9     12     10      9     13      8     14
 
TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  70      75
No                   20      15
DK/NA                10      10
 
 
36. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  67%    73%    67%    71%    73%    55%    68%    65%
No                   13     11      9     13      6     21     15     11
DK/NA                20     16     24     16     21     24     17     24
 
TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
                     Jul 01  May 06
                     2015    2015
 
Yes                  67      72
No                   13      15
DK/NA                20      13
 
 
37. Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  72%    82%    74%    83%    73%    54%    73%    70%
No                    7      4      3      5      3     14      9      4
DK/NA                21     14     22     12     24     32     18     26
 
 
38. Would you say that - Mike Huckabee cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  77%    84%    86%    83%    82%    60%    76%    78%
No                   17     11     10     13     13     30     19     14
DK/NA                 6      5      5      4      5     11      5      8
 
 
39. Which of these is the most important personal quality in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for president: is it someone who is honest and trustworthy or is it someone who has strong leadership qualities or is it someone who cares about the needs and problems of people like you?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Honest/Trustworthy   47%    49%    55%    51%    46%    40%    48%    45%
Strong leadership    36     35     31     35     35     36     37     34
Cares Needs/Problems 13     10      9      9     14     21     11     17
DK/NA                 4      6      5      5      4      3      4      4
 
 
57. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he'd mainly follow the same policies as his brother, George W. Bush, or come up with new policies?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Same policies        20%    30%    15%    20%    19%    20%    24%    13%
New policies         69     61     73     65     74     70     67     72
DK/NA                12      9     12     15      7      9      9     15
 
 
57 & 57A. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he'd mainly follow the same policies as his brother, George W. Bush, or come up with new policies? COMBINED WITH: (If same/new policies q57) Is that a good thing or a bad thing?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                     Q57 & Q57A COMBINED.................................
                            Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Same policies/Good    4%     6%     3%     5%     2%     4%     4%     3%
Same policies/Bad    14     22     11     13     15     15     18      9
New policies/Good    53     37     54     41     62     62     50     56
New policies/Bad     10     17     12     17      4      6     11      8
DK/NA (57 or 57A)    19     19     20     24     17     12     17     23
 
 
58. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he'd mainly follow the same policies as his father, George H.W. Bush, or come up with new policies?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Same policies        23%    34%    18%    23%    20%    25%    28%    15%
New policies         66     55     70     63     72     67     63     72
DK/NA                11     11     12     15      8      7     10     13
 
 
58 & 58A. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he'd mainly follow the same policies as his father, George H.W. Bush, or come up with new policies? COMBINED WITH: (If same/new policies q58) Is that a good thing or a bad thing?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
                     Q58 & Q58A COMBINED.................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Same policies/Good    8%    10%     5%     7%     7%    11%    10%     4%
Same policies/Bad    13     22     12     14     11     13     16      9
New policies/Good    50     33     53     39     61     59     47     57
New policies/Bad     10     16     10     16      5      7     11      9
DK/NA (58 or 58A)    18     19     20     24     16     11     16     21