September 10, 2015 - Sanders 41 To Clinton 40 In Iowa Democratic Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Dems Say Sanders Is More Honest And Caring Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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In a come-from-behind rally, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont is the choice of 41 percent of Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 40 percent picking former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 12 percent backing Vice President Joseph Biden, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to results of a July 2 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University showing Clinton at 52 percent, with 33 percent for Sanders and 7 percent for Biden.

Today, former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley gets 3 percent of Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 3 percent undecided.

There is a wide gender gap among Democrats today as Sanders leads Clinton 49 - 28 percent among men, with 16 percent for Biden, while Clinton leads Sanders 49 - 35 percent among women, with 9 percent for Biden.

Sanders and Biden have a higher net favorability rating than Clinton and higher ratings for honesty and empathy. Clinton has the best scores for leadership and temperament to handle an international crisis.

"Sen. Bernie Sanders has become the Eugene McCarthy of 2016," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "He is the candidate of the Democratic left, against his own party's bosses and their prized presidential candidate, Secretary Hillary Clinton.

"Sanders has seized the momentum by offering a message more in line with disproportionately liberal primary and caucus voters."

"But unlike the late Sen. McCarthy, who came on strong just before the 1968 primaries, Sen. Sanders has seized the momentum, five months before voting begins in Iowa. History will eventually tell us whether he has made such a large move too soon," Brown added.

"Although Vice President Joseph Biden received only 12 percent of the vote in this poll of likely Democratic Caucus-goers, he still may be a winner in the zero-sum game of presidential primary politics because it further increases questions about Clinton's electability."

Clinton has a 76 - 20 percent favorability rating among likely Democratic Caucus participants, as these voters say 64 - 30 percent that she is honest and trustworthy, and 78 - 18 percent that she cares about their needs and problems. She has strong leadership qualities, voters say 92 - 7 percent, and the right temperament and personality to handle an international crisis, voters say 89 - 9 percent.

Sanders gets a 78 - 6 percent favorability rating and likely Democratic Caucus-goers say 86 - 4 percent that he is honest and trustworthy, and 85 - 5 percent that he cares about their needs and problems. Voters say 76 - 9 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and 65 - 15 percent that he has the right temperament and personality to handle an international crisis.

Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants give Biden a 79 - 9 percent favorability rating. He is honest and trustworthy, voters say 91 - 5 percent, and cares about their needs and problems, voters say 84 - 11 percent. He has strong leadership qualities, voters say 81 - 14 percent and the right temperament and personality for an international crisis, voters say 81 - 13 percent.

Iowa Democrats support the nuclear pact with Iran 66 - 19 percent and say 68 - 17 percent that the agreement will make the world safer.

From August 27 - September 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 832 likely Iowa Democratic Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

3. If the Democratic caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Biden, Chafee, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Biden                12%     7%    13%    15%    16%     9%
Chafee                -      -      -      -      -      -
Clinton              40     29     45     44     28     49
O'Malley              3      4      3      2      4      2
Sanders              41     59     36     32     49     35
Webb                  1      -      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                 3      1      2      6      2      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Biden                12%    12%    11%    10%    13%    15%    11%    16%    13%     8%
Chafee                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Clinton              43     37     19     40     48     53     32     38     41     50
O'Malley              3      3      1      4      2      5      1      5      3      2
Sanders              37     44     66     43     31     20     51     38     39     36
Webb                  1      1      -      1      1      1      -      -      2      -
DK/NA                 3      4      2      2      5      6      4      2      2      4
 
 
3A. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q3 ASKING BIDEN VOTERS: Who is your second choice?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                     MATCHUP Q3 WITHOUT BIDEN............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Chafee                -      -      -      1%     1%     -
Clinton              47     31     53     53     36     55
O'Malley              4      5      3      3      4      3
Sanders              44     62     41     35     54     37
Webb                  1      -      1      2      2      -
DK/NA                 4      1      2      7      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Chafee                1%     -      -      1%     -      -      -      1%     -      -
Clinton              48     46     29     46     54     60     39     48     47     55
O'Malley              4      3      1      4      4      6      2      6      3      3
Sanders              42     46     67     46     37     24     55     40     44     39
Webb                  1      1      1      1      1      2      -      1      3      -
DK/NA                 4      4      2      3      5      8      4      4      3      4
 
 
4. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Biden                 5%     5%     5%     3%     4%     5%
Chafee                9     11      7      9      8     10
Clinton              11     10     10     12     17      6
O'Malley              6      5      5      7      5      7
Sanders               3      2      2      6      3      3
Webb                  6      7      7      5      6      7
No/No one            63     69     67     57     62     64
DK/NA                 9      5      8     13      7     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Biden                 3%     6%     4%     4%     5%     5%     6%     4%     5%     1%
Chafee               11      8      7      8     12     11      6      8     10     12
Clinton               6     14     20      8      9      6     19     13      7      6
O'Malley              5      7      7      4      6     10      7      8      5      5
Sanders               3      4      -      -      5     10      5      3      2      3
Webb                  6      7      6      3      8      9      7      5      6      6
No/No one            70     58     67     64     62     57     50     66     69     70
DK/NA                 7     11      9     12      7     10     16      5      7      6
 
 
Q62-67. Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable).
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS........... 
                                   Hvn't               
                     Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
Sanders              78      6     15      1     72    
Biden                79      9     10      2     70    
Clinton              76     20      3      2     56    
O'Malley             33      8     59      1     25    
Webb                 17      8     75      -      9    
Chafee               10      8     81      1      2   
 
 
62. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            79%    82%    80%    78%    83%    76%
Unfavorable           9      8      9     10      9     10
Hvn't hrd enough     10      8      8     11      7     12
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      1      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            86%    74%    68%    83%    81%    86%    66%    85%    81%    89%
Unfavorable           8     11     11     10     11      6     12      6     12      7
Hvn't hrd enough      5     13     20      5      6      6     19      7      8      3
REFUSED               1      2      1      2      2      2      2      2      -      1
 
 
63. Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            10%    15%     9%     8%    13%     8%
Unfavorable           8      8      7      8      8      7
Hvn't hrd enough     81     76     83     83     78     84
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            10%    11%     9%    12%    10%    11%     9%     5%    12%    15%
Unfavorable           7      8      6      5      9     12     11      7      6      7
Hvn't hrd enough     82     81     84     82     81     76     79     87     82     76
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -      -      1
 
 
64. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            76%    76%    82%    74%    67%    84%
Unfavorable          20     21     14     22     30     11
Hvn't hrd enough      3      3      3      2      2      3
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            82%    72%    64%    79%    80%    83%    69%    76%    80%    81%
Unfavorable          15     23     32     19     16     11     26     22     17     15
Hvn't hrd enough      2      3      2      2      2      4      2      1      3      2
REFUSED               1      2      2      -      3      2      3      1      -      2
 
 
65. Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            33%    42%    37%    25%    37%    29%
Unfavorable           8      7      5      9      9      7
Hvn't hrd enough     59     51     57     65     53     63
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            38%    28%    29%    29%    36%    37%    24%    32%    34%    42%
Unfavorable           6      9     13      6      6      6     13      9      3      5
Hvn't hrd enough     55     62     57     64     58     55     61     59     62     53
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      -      2      2      -      -      -
 
 
66. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            78%    92%    82%    66%    82%    75%
Unfavorable           6      1      3     12      5      7
Hvn't hrd enough     15      6     13     21     12     17
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            86%    72%    85%    79%    77%    69%    70%    79%    83%    83%
Unfavorable           3      8      1      6      6     13      7     10      4      5
Hvn't hrd enough     10     19     14     14     16     16     22     11     13     10
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
67. Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            17%    21%    14%    16%    20%    14%
Unfavorable           8     12      9      5      7      8
Hvn't hrd enough     75     67     78     78     72     77
REFUSED               -      -      -      1      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            22%    13%    10%    21%    15%    23%    11%    16%    20%    20%
Unfavorable           6     10     10      7      8      7     13     10      3      8
Hvn't hrd enough     72     77     80     72     76     69     76     73     77     71
REFUSED               -      1      -      -      1      1      1      -      -      -
 
 
68. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  64%    65%    68%    62%    57%    70%
No                   30     31     28     31     38     24
DK/NA                 5      4      4      7      5      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  68%    62%    47%    69%    67%    75%    57%    62%    69%    70%
No                   28     32     49     28     27     16     39     33     26     26
DK/NA                 4      7      4      3      6      9      3      5      5      4
 
 
69. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  86%    95%    90%    77%    89%    83%
No                    4      1      2      7      4      4
DK/NA                10      4      8     16      7     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  92%    81%    93%    84%    84%    84%    83%    81%    93%    89%
No                    2      5      2      3      5      5      7      4      3      1
DK/NA                 5     14      5     13     11     12     10     16      4      9
 
 
70. Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  91%    95%    92%    88%    92%    90%
No                    5      4      4      6      6      5
DK/NA                 4      1      4      6      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  93%    89%    89%    90%    90%    95%    87%    93%    93%    93%
No                    4      6      5      5      6      3      8      5      4      4
DK/NA                 3      5      6      4      3      2      5      2      3      4
 
 
71. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  92%    93%    96%    89%    88%    96%
No                    7      7      3      9     11      3
DK/NA                 1      -      1      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  95%    90%    89%    94%    93%    93%    90%    94%    93%    97%
No                    4      8      9      6      6      5      9      6      6      3
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1      2      -      -      1      1
 
 
72. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  76%    88%    83%    64%    81%    72%
No                    9      4      4     15      9      8
DK/NA                15      7     13     22     10     20
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  77%    75%    89%    80%    70%    61%    75%    76%    80%    78%
No                    8      9      7      5      9     14     13      7      8      6
DK/NA                15     16      4     15     21     24     13     17     13     16
 
 
73. Would you say that - Joe Biden has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  81%    82%    82%    82%    83%    80%
No                   14     12     16     13     15     13
DK/NA                 5      6      2      5      3      7
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  85%    78%    79%    82%    80%    85%    75%    85%    84%    83%
No                   10     16     18     12     14     10     18     13     11     11
DK/NA                 5      5      3      7      6      4      6      1      5      6
 
 
74. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  78%    79%    79%    78%    69%    85%
No                   18     17     18     18     26     11
DK/NA                 4      3      3      4      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  82%    75%    68%    77%    82%    86%    68%    80%    82%    85%
No                   14     21     29     20     13      9     28     15     14     13
DK/NA                 4      4      3      3      5      5      4      5      3      2
 
 
75. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  85%    94%    92%    75%    88%    82%
No                    5      1      2     10      6      5
DK/NA                10      4      6     15      7     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  92%    80%    91%    84%    82%    80%    76%    85%    91%    91%
No                    3      7      5      3      6      8     10      3      4      1
DK/NA                 5     13      3     13     12     12     13     11      5      8
 
 
76. Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  84%    92%    86%    79%    84%    85%
No                   11      4     11     15     13      9
DK/NA                 5      4      4      6      4      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  89%    80%    78%    87%    85%    87%    72%    92%    87%    90%
No                    6     14     16      9     11      5     21      5      8      6
DK/NA                 4      6      6      3      5      8      7      3      5      4
 
 
77. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as president, or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  89%    94%    92%    85%    83%    95%
No                    9      6      6     12     14      5
DK/NA                 2      -      2      2      3      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  95%    85%    84%    93%    90%    92%    82%    88%    93%    96%
No                    4     12     13      6     10      6     16     10      7      2
DK/NA                 1      3      4      2      -      2      1      2      -      2
 
 
78. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as president, or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  65%    80%    65%    54%    70%    60%
No                   15      7     15     21     14     15
DK/NA                21     13     20     26     16     24
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  69%    62%    81%    64%    62%    49%    67%    65%    64%    67%
No                   14     15     10     16     12     22     17     11     16     14
DK/NA                18     23      9     20     26     29     16     24     20     19
 
 
79. Would you say that - Joe Biden has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as president, or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  81%    85%    78%    81%    84%    78%
No                   13     11     16     12     13     13
DK/NA                 6      4      6      8      3      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  83%    79%    75%    84%    81%    84%    77%    85%    83%    82%
No                   11     14     18     11     13      8     13     12     12     13
DK/NA                 6      7      7      5      6      8     10      3      4      4
 
 
80. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Very satisfied        9%    11%     6%     9%     7%    10%
Smwht satisfied      51     50     62     47     47     54
Smwht dissatisfied   24     23     22     27     29     21
Very dissatisfied    15     14     10     17     17     14
DK/NA                 1      2      -      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Very satisfied        8%     9%     4%    10%    10%    10%     9%    11%     5%     9%
Smwht satisfied      60     44     50     55     52     46     41     50     53     67
Smwht dissatisfied   23     25     31     15     25     25     27     20     26     18
Very dissatisfied     9     19     14     16     13     18     21     17     14      6
DK/NA                 1      2      1      3      -      1      2      1      1      -
 
 
81. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly ever?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Almost all the time   2%     4%     2%     1%     1%     3%
Most of the time     23     25     24     23     23     24
Some of the time     51     50     57     50     50     53
Hardly ever          21     19     17     25     25     18
DK/NA                 2      2      1      1      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Almost all the time   2%     3%     2%     2%     3%     3%     4%     4%     1%     2%
Most of the time     24     23     24     24     24     21     22     20     26     26
Some of the time     59     46     50     53     52     50     46     55     53     56
Hardly ever          14     27     23     20     19     22     27     20     19     15
DK/NA                 2      1      1      1      1      3      1      1      2      1
 
 
82. If you had to choose, which type of experience do you think would better help a candidate serve effectively as president; someone who has experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
DC experience        69%    69%    75%    64%    63%    73%
DC outsider          23     24     16     28     29     19
DK/NA                 8      7      9      8      7      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
DC experience        74%    64%    59%    63%    76%    76%    62%    69%    71%    74%
DC outsider          17     29     39     25     15     13     34     23     19     18
DK/NA                 9      7      2     11      8     11      4      8     11      8
 
 
83. Would you rather have a presidential candidate whose political experience was mostly outside of Washington or mostly in the government in Washington?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Outside Washington   33%    26%    31%    41%    40%    27%
In Washington        54     59     54     49     51     57
DK/NA                13     15     15     10      9     16
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Outside Washington   27%    38%    46%    34%    28%    23%    39%    40%    31%    23%
In Washington        58     51     48     50     61     58     52     51     57     56
DK/NA                15     11      6     16     11     19      9     10     12     21
 
 
84. What do you think is the best preparation for being President; working in government or working in business?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Government           75%    86%    77%    67%    76%    74%
Business             14     10     11     19     15     14
DK/NA                11      4     12     14      9     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Government           80%    71%    81%    71%    75%    73%    71%    78%    75%    79%
Business             11     17     13     17     16     11     20     12     16      9
DK/NA                 9     12      6     12     10     16      9     10      9     11
 
 
86. In selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party, which is more important to you: a candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate or a candidate who comes closest to your views on issues?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Defeat Rep candidate 32%    33%    40%    26%    26%    36%
Closest to views     66     65     58     71     71     62
DK/NA                 3      2      2      2      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Defeat Rep candidate 39%    26%    12%    30%    42%    43%    21%    31%    34%    42%
Closest to views     58     71     85     69     55     53     79     66     63     55
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      2      4      1      3      3      2
 
 
87. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Enthusiastic          3%     5%     3%     3%     3%     3%
Sat/Not enthusiastic 34     36     38     32     32     36
Dissat/Not angry     46     36     45     54     49     43
Angry                16     23     14     12     15     17
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Enthusiastic          3%     4%     5%     2%     3%     3%     5%     3%     3%     3%
Sat/Not enthusiastic 36     33     36     33     34     34     34     37     33     32
Dissat/Not angry     46     45     44     47     49     41     41     41     50     53
Angry                14     17     14     17     13     21     19     18     14     12
DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      1      1      2      -      -      -
 
 
88. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Legal all cases      46%    68%    43%    32%    37%    53%
Legal most cases     40     29     45     45     47     35
Illegal most cases    8      2      8     13     11      6
Illegal all cases     3      1      2      4      2      3
DK/NA                 3      1      2      6      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Legal all cases      47%    45%    48%    53%    40%    41%    43%    41%    53%    42%
Legal most cases     44     37     38     36     47     39     37     39     38     49
Illegal most cases    6     10     10      7      8      8     10     14      5      6
Illegal all cases     1      4      2      3      2      5      6      2      1      2
DK/NA                 1      4      2      2      2      7      4      3      2      1
 
 
89. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest; do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Legal                93%    98%    97%    88%    93%    93%
Illegal               4      1      2      7      5      4
DK/NA                 3      1      1      4      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Legal                98%    89%    95%    93%    93%    89%    90%    93%    98%    96%
Illegal               1      7      4      4      4      7      9      3      1      2
DK/NA                 1      4      1      4      3      4      1      4      1      3
 
 
90. How about when an abortion is necessary to save the life of the mother; do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Legal                95%    98%    96%    93%    95%    95%
Illegal               2      1      -      3      1      3
DK/NA                 3      1      4      5      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Legal                98%    92%    93%    98%    95%    93%    92%    95%    99%    97%
Illegal               1      3      2      -      2      3      4      -      -      1
DK/NA                 1      5      5      2      3      3      4      5      1      2
 
 
91. If you agreed with a presidential candidate on other issues, but not on the issue of abortion, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  66%    49%    72%    75%    79%    55%
No                   30     48     25     21     19     40
DK/NA                 4      3      3      4      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Yes                  64%    67%    70%    60%    71%    63%    64%    71%    65%    66%
No                   31     30     30     37     25     29     34     25     32     30
DK/NA                 5      3      -      3      4      8      2      4      2      4
 
 
92. Is your opinion of Planned Parenthood favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            85%    98%    91%    74%    83%    87%
Unfavorable           6      1      2     10      7      5
Hvn't hrd enough      8      1      7     14      9      7
REFUSED               1      -      -      2      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Favorable            90%    81%    85%    92%    83%    82%    80%    86%    87%    93%
Unfavorable           4      7      6      3      5      9      6      4      5      5
Hvn't hrd enough      5     10      7      5     12      7     12      8      8      2
REFUSED               -      2      2      -      1      2      2      3      -      -
 
 
93. Do you support or oppose cutting off federal government funding to Planned Parenthood?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Support               9%     3%     9%    13%    10%     8%
Oppose               87     96     88     81     85     89
DK/NA                 4      -      4      6      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Support               6%    11%     8%    11%     7%    10%    13%     8%     7%     6%
Oppose               92     84     86     87     89     86     82     89     90     93
DK/NA                 2      5      5      2      4      4      5      4      3      1
 
 
94. Would you support or oppose shutting down the government over differences about federal government funding to Planned Parenthood?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Support               7%     7%     2%     9%     7%     7%
Oppose               90     92     96     87     92     89
DK/NA                 3      1      2      4      1      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Support               5%     9%     9%     8%     7%     4%    16%     1%     5%     4%
Oppose               93     88     88     91     90     93     81     99     90     96
DK/NA                 2      4      3      2      4      3      4      -      5      -
 
 
95. Who would you blame more for a government shutdown; the Republicans in Congress or Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Reps in Congress     84%    91%    86%    79%    83%    85%
Obama/Dems in Congrs  3      -      2      6      4      3
BOTH EQUALLY(VOL)     8      6     10      9     11      6
DK/NA                 4      3      2      6      3      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Reps in Congress     90%    79%    77%    84%    88%    85%    79%    84%    86%    89%
Obama/Dems in Congrs  1      5      3      3      4      4      7      1      4      1
BOTH EQUALLY(VOL)     7     10     14      9      4      8     10     11      6      7
DK/NA                 2      6      6      4      4      3      4      4      3      3
 
 
96. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S.
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
A) Stay/Citizenship  85%    97%    87%    76%    85%    85%
B) Stay/Not citizen   4      1      5      6      4      4
C) Not stay           9      1      7     16      9      9
DK/NA                 2      1      1      3      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
A) Stay/Citizenship  89%    82%    90%    86%    81%    81%    80%    86%    87%    87%
B) Stay/Not citizen   6      3      4      3      6      4      1      5      4      6
C) Not stay           4     13      5      9     11     12     17      6      8      5
DK/NA                 2      2      1      2      2      3      1      3      1      2
 
 
97. Do you support or oppose the nuclear deal with Iran?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Support              66%    79%    70%    55%    73%    60%
Oppose               19     10     13     28     16     21
DK/NA                15     11     17     17     11     19
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Support              75%    58%    53%    70%    67%    75%    51%    62%    76%    75%
Oppose               11     25     28     17     15     15     31     23     14      5
DK/NA                14     16     19     13     18      9     18     15      9     20
 
 
98. Do you think the nuclear deal with Iran would make the world safer or less safe?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Safer                68%    81%    71%    57%    76%    62%
Less safe            17      7     11     28     14     20
DK/NA                14     11     18     14     10     18
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Safer                76%    63%    61%    71%    69%    74%    54%    69%    78%    75%
Less safe            10     23     25     15     15     14     32     15     14      5
DK/NA                14     14     14     14     16     11     15     16      8     20
 
 
99. Would you support or oppose the U.S. sending ground troops to fight ISIS in Iraq and Syria?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Support              37%    32%    37%    43%    39%    36%
Oppose               57     63     59     49     57     56
DK/NA                 6      5      4      8      4      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Support              29%    43%    50%    40%    34%    24%    41%    34%    38%    37%
Oppose               66     50     47     55     61     63     51     62     56     58
DK/NA                 6      7      3      6      5     13      8      4      5      5
 
 
100. Do you think the United States and its allies are winning or losing the fight against ISIS?
                     LIKELY DEM CAUCUS-GOERS.............................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Winning              27%    29%    28%    26%    33%    22%
Losing               48     43     49     50     44     52
DK/NA                25     28     23     24     23     26
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YRS..............    ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K
 
Winning              27%    27%    27%    32%    29%    18%    27%    28%    27%    24%
Losing               44     51     52     46     47     47     49     48     49     48
DK/NA                28     22     21     21     24     35     24     24     24     27
 
 
 

Sample and Methodology detail