November 24, 2015 - Trump, Cruz On Top In Topsy-Turvy Iowa GOP Caucus, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Keep Syrian Refugees Out, Republicans Say 5-1 Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Donald Trump gets 25 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants in a too-close-to- call race with Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas who is at 23 percent, double his support from four weeks ago, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Dr. Ben Carson has 18 percent, with Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 13 percent.

This compares to the results of an October 22 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Carson at 28 percent, with 20 percent for Trump, Rubio at 13 percent and Cruz at 10 percent.

One thing that hasn't changed is the poor showing for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who goes from 5 percent October 22 to 4 percent today.

Today, Sen. Rand Paul is at 5 percent, with Carly Fiorina at 3 percent. No other candidate tops 2 percent, with 2 percent undecided.

Among Iowa Republican Caucus-goers, 26 percent say they "would definitely not support" Bush, with 23 percent saying "no way" to Trump.

"Last month, we said it was Dr. Ben Carson's turn in the spotlight. Today, the spotlight turns to Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas. The Iowa Republican Caucus has become a two-tiered contest: Businessman Donald Trump and neurosurgeon Ben Carson lead on the outsider track, and Sens. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio lead among party insiders," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"The other candidates will need miraculous comebacks to crack the top tier with slightly more than two months before the voting begins."

"Worth remembering, however, is that winning Iowa is no guarantee of success elsewhere. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee won the 2008 caucus and former Sen. Rick Santorum took the 2012 crown, yet both were quickly gone from those nomination fights as the primary calendar moved to larger states," Brown added.

Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants give Carson the best favorability rating, 79 - 15 percent, with 73 - 15 percent for Cruz, 70 - 18 percent for Rubio and 59 - 34 percent for Trump. Bush has a negative 39 - 53 percent favorability rating.

The economy and jobs are the most important issues in deciding who they will support, 24 percent of GOP caucus-goers say, with 15 percent each for terrorism and foreign policy, 11 percent for the federal deficit and 10 percent for immigration.

Trump can best handle the economy, 49 percent of Republicans say, with 11 percent picking Cruz. Carson, Rubio and Fiorina are the choice of 6 percent each.

Trump is tops handling terrorism, 30 percent of Republican Caucus-goers say, with 20 percent for Cruz, 10 percent for Rubio and 7 percent for Bush. Carson, Paul and New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie are at 5 percent each.

Cruz is best on foreign policy, 24 percent of Republicans say, with 18 percent for Trump, 15 percent for Rubio and 8 percent for Bush. Carson and Paul are at 6 percent each.

Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants oppose 81 - 15 percent allowing Syrian refugees into the U.S. and oppose 82 - 13 percent allowing them into Iowa.

Republicans support 73 - 22 percent sending U.S. ground troops to fight ISIS in Iraq and Syria and say 83 - 9 percent that the U.S. and its allies are losing the fight against ISIS.

A total of 88 percent of Republicans are "very worried" or "somewhat worried" about the possibility of a terrorist attack in the U.S. similar to the attack in Paris.

"One thing almost all Iowa Republicans agree upon is that Syrian refugees should not be allowed into the United States or into Iowa," Brown said.

From November 16 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 600 likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, who would you support? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
Bush                  4%     1%     3%     1%     1%    13%     3%     6%     6%     3%
Carson               18     18     24     18     20     15     15     23     17     18
Christie              2      -      2      1      4      3      2      3      3      2
Cruz                 23     42     27     38     17      6     21     26     20     25
Fiorina               3      2      3      2      4      4      3      4      4      3
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              2      1      2      1      3      1      2      1      1      2
Kasich                1      -      1      -      -      2      1      1      2      -
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  5      8      6      3      6      9      8      1      6      5
Rubio                13      5      8      9     16     15     13     12     18     10
Santorum              2      1      3      2      1      1      1      2      -      2
Trump                25     23     20     21     26     28     30     17     20     28
DK/NA                 2      -      1      3      1      2      1      4      3      2
 
                     MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q57...................
                     Shares        Strong        Honest/       BestChance
                     Values        Leader        Trustworthy   OfWinning
Bush                  1%            3%            4%            6%
Carson               24            10            21            19
Christie              1             1             1             4
Cruz                 37            15            27            25
Fiorina               1             7             1             6
Gilmore               -             -             -             -
Graham                -             -             -             -
Huckabee              2             -             1             -
Kasich                -             -             1             -
Pataki                -             -             -             -
Paul                  7             4             7             3
Rubio                 6            17            16            20
Santorum              2             -             3             -
Trump                18            41            18            16
DK/NA                 1             1             1             1
 
                     MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q20...............   MAKES BEST PRESIDENT Q58
                     Economy/      ForgnPlcy/                         Sen/   NvrHeld
                     Jobs          Terrorism     Immigration   Gov    House  Office
Bush                  6%            4%            1%            6%     3%     1%
Carson               18            17             4            16     12     21
Christie              1             3             -             4      1      -
Cruz                 19            27            22            26     34     15
Fiorina               5             4             3             2      -      6
Gilmore               -             -             -             -      -      -
Graham                -             -             -             -      -      -
Huckabee              1             2             2             3      -      1
Kasich                1             -             -             2      -      -
Pataki                -             -             -             -      -      -
Paul                  5             5             -             5     13      4
Rubio                15            16            10            18     18      4
Santorum              1             1             -             2      3      2
Trump                27            19            55            13     13     45
DK/NA                 -             2             2             1      3      1
 
 
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the caucus?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS......................................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1..........................................
                                   CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1.........................
                     Tot           Carson        Cruz          Rubio         Trump
 
Made up              41%           33%           44%           22%           51%
Might change         58            65            53            78            48
DK/NA                 2             1             4             -             1
 
 
2. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                 26%    39%    23%    33%    19%    22%    30%    20%    25%    26%
Carson                9      3      6      4      9     17      8     11     14      6
Christie             14     19     14     16     10     15     16     11     15     13
Cruz                  5      2      3      3      5     11      6      4      8      4
Fiorina              10     11     12     11      8     10     11      7     12      8
Gilmore              11     12     12     16      8      8     10     14     14     10
Graham               15     26     17     21     14      8     16     14     15     16
Huckabee             10      9      7      9     10     11     11      8     14      8
Kasich               19     29     24     26     16     11     21     18     20     19
Pataki               14     18     15     18     12      9     13     15     15     13
Paul                 12      7     14     13     15      8     10     16     11     13
Rubio                 7     12      5      8      5      9      9      4      6      7
Santorum              9      7      7      9      8     10     10      7     11      8
Trump                23     21     25     17     25     35     23     24     32     19
No/No one            27     27     26     28     28     24     27     27     23     29
DK/NA                 5      2      3      4      6      5      4      7      5      5
 
 
5. Compared to past presidential caucuses in Iowa, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about attending a presidential caucus in February 2016; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More                 49%    57%    56%    58%    45%    39%    50%    47%    41%    53%
Less                  7      3      5      3      8     14      8      6     11      5
About the same       43     40     39     39     46     47     41     46     47     41
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      1      1      -      1      -
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            39%    18%    38%    37%    39%    44%    33%    48%    45%    36%
Unfavorable          53     76     54     57     52     46     59     43     47     56
Hvn't hrd enough      7      5      7      4      8      8      7      6      7      7
REFUSED               2      1      -      2      1      1      1      3      1      2
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            79%    87%    85%    90%    76%    64%    80%    77%    71%    82%
Unfavorable          15      7      9      7     16     28     13     17     23     10
Hvn't hrd enough      6      6      5      3      8      7      7      4      6      6
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      -      2      1      2      -      2
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            45%    33%    44%    44%    49%    42%    46%    45%    49%    44%
Unfavorable          40     52     40     43     31     47     43     34     41     38
Hvn't hrd enough     13     15     14     11     17     11     10     18      9     16
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      3      -      1      3      1      2
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            73%    86%    77%    86%    74%    47%    73%    72%    67%    76%
Unfavorable          15      6     11      7     14     29     16     13     22     11
Hvn't hrd enough     12      8     11      7     11     23     11     14     11     13
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      -      1      -      1      -      1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            60%    60%    64%    68%    57%    48%    60%    60%    64%    58%
Unfavorable          19     23     16     16     20     26     22     16     20     19
Hvn't hrd enough     19     15     19     14     22     24     17     23     15     21
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      2      2      2      2
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable             1%     -      1%     1%     -      2%     1%     1%     2%     1%
Unfavorable          19     19     18     24     14     16     18     20     17     20
Hvn't hrd enough     79     80     80     74     84     82     79     78     80     78
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      2      -      1      1      1      1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            20%    14%    19%    18%    18%    25%    18%    23%    24%    18%
Unfavorable          45     64     46     55     37     40     50     38     48     44
Hvn't hrd enough     33     20     35     25     44     32     30     37     27     37
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      1      3      2      2      1      2
 
 
13. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            61%    64%    71%    72%    63%    38%    59%    63%    55%    64%
Unfavorable          28     28     20     21     26     42     30     24     35     24
Hvn't hrd enough     10      8      9      6     10     18     10     11      9     11
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      1      2      1      1      1      1
 
 
14. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            22%    12%    21%    22%    24%    20%    23%    22%    29%    19%
Unfavorable          39     58     43     51     32     28     43     33     37     41
Hvn't hrd enough     37     28     35     26     44     50     32     45     33     39
REFUSED               1      2      -      1      1      2      1      1      1      1
 
 
15. Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable             5%     4%     6%     7%     3%     5%     5%     6%     7%     4%
Unfavorable          36     39     32     43     32     27     38     33     38     35
Hvn't hrd enough     58     57     61     49     64     66     56     60     54     60
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
16. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            41%    53%    42%    46%    41%    33%    49%    30%    41%    41%
Unfavorable          44     37     44     42     42     52     40     52     47     43
Hvn't hrd enough     12     10     10      9     14     12     10     14     11     12
REFUSED               3      1      3      3      3      3      1      5      1      4
 
 
17. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            70%    64%    70%    75%    74%    54%    67%    74%    73%    68%
Unfavorable          18     26     17     15     14     29     21     14     17     18
Hvn't hrd enough     10      9     11      8     11     14     11     10      9     11
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      2      2      1      3      1      2
 
 
18. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            50%    56%    56%    64%    47%    28%    46%    56%    42%    54%
Unfavorable          31     30     23     21     31     50     36     23     39     27
Hvn't hrd enough     17     13     19     14     20     20     16     19     18     17
REFUSED               2      1      2      1      3      2      2      2      1      2
 
 
19. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            59%    62%    53%    65%    60%    46%    63%    54%    51%    63%
Unfavorable          34     32     37     27     33     50     32     37     46     28
Hvn't hrd enough      4      5      7      6      3      2      3      5      2      5
REFUSED               2      1      3      2      4      2      2      4      1      3
 
 
20. Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, taxes, or gun policy?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Economy and jobs     24%    20%    18%    16%    34%    24%    27%    19%    30%    20%
Terrorism            15     14     17     20     12     11     11     22     11     17
Immigration          10     13      8     11      9     11     11     10     13      9
Federal deficit      11     12     11      8     10     19     13      8     13     10
Health care           4      3      6      5      5      2      4      5      1      6
Foreign policy       15     12     16     15     15     14     14     16     12     17
Climate change        -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -
Race relations        1      -      2      -      -      3      -      2      -      1
Abortion              6      9     10     10      4      2      5      7      8      5
Taxes                 4      4      4      2      7      5      5      3      6      4
Gun policy            5      8      5      7      3      5      7      2      2      7
DK/NA                 5      6      4      6      2      4      4      6      3      6
 
 
21. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - the economy?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                  5%     1%     5%     4%     4%    11%     3%     9%     9%     3%
Carson                6      4     10      5      7      7      5      8      6      6
Christie              1      -      2      -      3      2      1      1      2      1
Cruz                 11     21     12     19      7      2     12     10      8     13
Fiorina               6      3      6      3      8     10      5      8      7      6
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              1      1      2      2      1      1      2      1      -      2
Kasich                2      -      1      1      1      4      2      2      4      1
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  5     12      7      5      5      6      8      1      7      5
Rubio                 6      3      4      6      6      7      7      6      9      5
Santorum              -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Trump                49     51     46     50     53     42     53     43     41     54
DK/NA                 5      3      5      5      4      8      2     10      6      5
 
 
22. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - foreign policy?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                  8%     1%     7%     7%     7%    14%     8%     9%    11%     7%
Carson                6      4      8      4      5     11      5      7      4      7
Christie              2      1      2      1      4      1      2      2      3      2
Cruz                 24     43     30     37     20      7     25     24     22     25
Fiorina               3      3      4      2      4      3      3      4      5      2
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                2      2      1      2      1      6      3      2      3      2
Huckabee              2      2      2      1      3      1      2      1      1      2
Kasich                2      -      1      -      2      3      1      3      2      1
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  6      9      6      4      6     10      9      2      7      6
Rubio                15     10     12     17     14     14     14     17     19     13
Santorum              1      1      1      1      1      -      -      1      1      1
Trump                18     19     15     16     20     17     21     12     12     21
DK/NA                11      6     10      8     12     13      7     17      9     12
 
 
23. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - illegal immigration?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                  4%     2%     3%     1%     4%     7%     4%     3%     5%     3%
Carson                5      3      8      4      5      8      4      7      6      5
Christie              1      -      1      1      2      1      1      2      2      1
Cruz                 20     35     24     28     18      9     18     24     18     21
Fiorina               2      1      2      1      2      3      2      2      3      1
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              1      1      2      2      1      -      1      1      -      2
Kasich                1      -      1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  3      2      2      2      3      4      4      1      3      2
Rubio                12      4     10      8     15     15     12     11     15     10
Santorum              -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Trump                45     47     41     49     44     40     49     40     37     50
DK/NA                 6      5      6      3      5     13      4      9      8      5
 
 
24. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                  3%     1%     2%     1%     3%     8%     3%     3%     5%     2%
Carson               21     19     25     22     21     21     20     24     22     20
Christie              2      -      2      -      4      3      3      1      2      2
Cruz                 20     35     25     31     13      8     19     21     16     22
Fiorina               4      3      4      2      6      4      3      5      5      4
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      1      -
Huckabee              7      8     10     10      8      -      7      7      6      8
Kasich                1      -      -      1      1      1      1      1      2      -
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  5     10      5      4      4      9      8      -      6      5
Rubio                 7      3      5      5      8      9      7      6      9      6
Santorum              4      2      7      5      5      3      5      3      3      5
Trump                12     13     10     12     12      9     13      9      8     14
DK/NA                14      6      6      7     15     24     11     18     15     13
 
 
25. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - taxes?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                  6%     -      5%     4%     5%    13%     4%     9%    10%     4%
Carson               10      9     15      8     12     13      8     15      8     12
Christie              3      1      4      2      4      2      3      3      3      3
Cruz                 18     33     18     26     14     11     20     14     15     19
Fiorina               4      2      4      3      5      4      4      3      3      4
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Huckabee              2      1      2      1      3      -      2      -      2      2
Kasich                2      1      1      1      2      3      2      2      4      -
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  7     13      7      6      6      9     10      2      9      5
Rubio                 5      3      3      5      7      5      6      4      9      4
Santorum              2      1      4      3      2      1      2      2      1      2
Trump                33     32     29     34     32     33     34     32     29     36
DK/NA                 8      4      8      8     10      7      6     13      8      9
 
 
26. Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle - terrorism?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                  7%     2%     5%     5%     6%    11%     6%     7%    10%     5%
Carson                5      3      7      3      4      9      3      7      5      5
Christie              5      3      4      3      6      5      5      4      6      4
Cruz                 20     34     25     31     17      5     20     20     17     22
Fiorina               2      2      3      1      3      2      2      2      3      2
Gilmore               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Graham                2      1      -      -      2      5      2      2      3      1
Huckabee              1      1      1      1      2      -      1      1      -      2
Kasich                1      -      1      -      -      2      -      1      1      -
Pataki                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Paul                  5      9      6      3      5     10      8      1      5      6
Rubio                10      9      9      9     10      9     10      9     13      8
Santorum              1      1      1      1      -      -      -      1      1      1
Trump                30     30     29     34     31     23     34     24     26     33
DK/NA                12      6     10      8     13     18      8     19     11     13
 
 
27. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  73%    68%    74%    75%    79%    61%    73%    73%    75%    72%
No                   19     26     17     20     12     28     22     15     18     19
DK/NA                 8      5      9      5      9     11      5     12      7      9
 
 
28. Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  88%    92%    95%    94%    88%    78%    89%    86%    84%    90%
No                   10      5      4      4     10     19      9     11     13      8
DK/NA                 2      3      1      1      2      3      2      3      3      2
 
 
29. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  59%    61%    61%    62%    58%    54%    60%    57%    52%    64%
No                   37     36     36     33     37     43     37     36     45     32
DK/NA                 4      3      3      4      5      3      3      7      3      5
 
 
30. Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  80%    90%    87%    90%    81%    60%    80%    80%    80%    80%
No                   13      9      6      5     13     29     16      9     15     13
DK/NA                 7      1      7      4      6     10      4     11      6      7
 
 
31. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  64%    52%    68%    62%    64%    70%    59%    72%    69%    62%
No                   33     47     30     36     33     28     40     23     28     35
DK/NA                 3      1      2      3      3      3      2      5      3      3
 
 
32. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  71%    69%    74%    78%    70%    62%    72%    71%    74%    71%
No                   22     26     19     17     23     31     25     18     21     22
DK/NA                 6      5      8      5      7      8      4     10      5      7
 
 
33. Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  65%    73%    76%    71%    62%    57%    65%    64%    59%    68%
No                   32     23     22     26     34     39     31     33     38     29
DK/NA                 4      3      3      3      3      4      4      3      4      3
 
 
34. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  83%    85%    82%    83%    86%    77%    81%    85%    77%    86%
No                   17     15     18     17     14     23     18     15     22     14
DK/NA                 -      1      -      1      -      1      -      -      1      -
 
 
35. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  80%    88%    83%    91%    83%    56%    81%    78%    78%    81%
No                   16     10     11      6     14     35     16     14     18     14
DK/NA                 4      2      5      3      3      9      2      8      4      5
 
 
36. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  61%    46%    62%    58%    62%    65%    58%    66%    64%    59%
No                   38     52     37     40     38     34     42     32     33     40
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      -      2      1      3      2      1
 
 
37. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  76%    69%    75%    79%    79%    66%    75%    77%    77%    75%
No                   18     27     16     17     15     27     22     13     18     19
DK/NA                 6      4      8      4      7      7      3     10      5      6
 
 
38. Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  87%    94%    95%    95%    87%    75%    89%    85%    85%    89%
No                   10      5      3      4     10     20      8     13     12      9
DK/NA                 3      2      2      1      3      5      3      2      3      3
 
 
39. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  58%    63%    55%    63%    62%    43%    61%    54%    51%    62%
No                   39     36     41     34     34     55     37     42     47     35
DK/NA                 3      1      4      2      4      2      1      5      2      3
 
 
40. Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  81%    91%    86%    89%    84%    61%    83%    78%    76%    83%
No                   14      7      9      8     11     29     14     14     20     11
DK/NA                 5      1      5      3      5      9      3      8      4      5
 
 
41. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  56%    39%    58%    52%    58%    63%    54%    60%    64%    52%
No                   39     58     35     43     38     34     44     32     32     43
DK/NA                 4      3      7      5      4      3      2      8      4      4
 
 
42. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  68%    70%    74%    72%    70%    57%    69%    67%    68%    68%
No                   27     29     21     25     25     35     29     24     28     26
DK/NA                 5      1      5      3      5      8      2      9      4      6
 
 
43. Would you say that - Ben Carson has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  49%    62%    57%    60%    46%    33%    50%    49%    46%    51%
No                   45     36     38     34     49     61     47     44     49     44
DK/NA                 5      2      5      5      4      6      4      8      4      6
 
 
44. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  62%    65%    63%    67%    61%    52%    64%    58%    54%    65%
No                   36     33     35     30     38     45     34     39     44     32
DK/NA                 2      1      2      3      1      3      2      3      2      3
 
 
45. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  75%    85%    79%    86%    76%    54%    75%    74%    72%    76%
No                   19     12     14     10     19     37     21     16     23     17
DK/NA                 6      2      7      4      5     10      3      9      5      6
 
 
46. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  75%    61%    77%    71%    78%    80%    72%    79%    81%    72%
No                   24     39     23     29     21     20     27     20     18     28
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      -      1      1      1      -
 
 
47. Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  69%    64%    69%    75%    71%    54%    67%    72%    73%    67%
No                   25     34     23     21     21     36     29     17     20     27
DK/NA                 7      2      8      4      8     10      4     11      7      6
 
 
48. Would you say that - Ben Carson shares your values or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  84%    91%    95%    95%    82%    67%    84%    83%    78%    87%
No                   13      7      3      3     15     27     13     13     18     10
DK/NA                 3      2      2      2      3      7      3      4      4      3
 
 
49. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  52%    59%    49%    52%    57%    44%    57%    45%    41%    59%
No                   44     37     49     45     37     55     40     51     56     37
DK/NA                 4      4      2      3      6      2      4      4      3      4
 
 
50. Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  75%    89%    81%    89%    76%    50%    74%    78%    72%    77%
No                   19      9     13      8     18     39     21     14     22     17
DK/NA                 6      1      5      3      6     11      5      8      6      6
 
 
51. Would you say that - Jeb Bush shares your values or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  52%    34%    49%    44%    55%    65%    51%    55%    60%    48%
No                   43     64     44     49     42     33     47     37     34     48
DK/NA                 5      2      7      7      3      2      2      9      6      4
 
 
52. Would you say that - Marco Rubio would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  67%    65%    68%    71%    74%    48%    68%    65%    69%    66%
No                   29     32     27     25     23     46     30     28     26     31
DK/NA                 4      3      4      4      3      6      3      7      6      3
 
 
53. Would you say that - Ben Carson would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  67%    79%    75%    76%    64%    55%    70%    62%    60%    71%
No                   30     20     23     21     32     42     28     33     38     25
DK/NA                 3      1      2      3      3      3      2      4      2      4
 
 
54. Would you say that - Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  70%    73%    69%    76%    70%    59%    71%    69%    61%    75%
No                   27     24     27     20     29     37     27     26     37     22
DK/NA                 3      3      4      4      1      4      2      5      2      4
 
 
55. Would you say that - Ted Cruz would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  64%    79%    72%    81%    61%    37%    64%    64%    60%    66%
No                   34     21     26     16     38     61     35     32     38     31
DK/NA                 2      1      2      3      1      3      2      4      2      3
 
 
56. Would you say that - Jeb Bush would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  31%    22%    29%    27%    36%    34%    31%    32%    34%    30%
No                   65     76     69     66     64     64     66     63     63     67
DK/NA                 4      2      2      6      -      2      3      5      3      3
 
 
57. Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Shares values        21%    35%    28%    29%    16%    13%    23%    19%    21%    21%
Cares needs/problems  8      4      9      5      8     16     11      5      5     11
Strong leadership    24     23     16     21     28     26     24     25     29     22
Honest/trustworthy   24     25     26     23     26     22     25     22     22     25
Right experience      4      1      3      3      4      5      4      4      5      3
Best chance/winning  16     10     16     15     18     16     13     21     17     16
DK/NA                 3      2      2      5      1      1      1      4      1      3
 
 
58. Generally speaking, what type of candidate makes the best president someone who has served as a Governor of a state, someone who has served in the U.S. Senate or House of Representatives, or someone who has never held an elected office?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Governor             42%    35%    45%    42%    45%    37%    41%    42%    50%    38%
U.S. Senate/House    15     15     15     12     16     19     14     16     15     15
Never held office    31     35     27     29     31     32     34     26     23     35
DK/NA                13     15     12     17      8     12     10     16     12     13
 
 
82. Do you support or oppose accepting Syrian refugees into the U.S.?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Support              15%     6%    12%     7%    16%    28%    15%    13%    22%    10%
Oppose               81     93     82     90     79     67     82     79     73     86
DK/NA                 5      1      5      4      5      5      2      8      5      3
 
 
83. Do you support or oppose accepting Syrian refugees into Iowa?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Support              13%     4%    11%     6%    13%    27%    14%    12%    22%     8%
Oppose               82     95     84     91     81     67     84     80     73     88
DK/NA                 5      1      5      3      6      5      2      8      5      4
 
 
84. Would you support or oppose the U.S. sending ground troops to fight ISIS in Iraq and Syria?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Support              73%    78%    77%    78%    72%    68%    76%    69%    70%    75%
Oppose               22     17     19     18     23     28     21     25     24     22
DK/NA                 4      5      3      4      4      4      3      6      6      3
 
                     Mltry
                     HsHld
 
Support              72%
Oppose               20
DK/NA                 8
 
 
85. Do you think the United States and its allies are winning or losing the fight against ISIS?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Winning               9%     7%     8%     8%    10%    12%    10%     9%     8%    10%
Losing               83     88     86     88     83     76     83     83     82     84
DK/NA                 7      5      6      5      7     12      7      8      9      6
 
                     Mltry
                     HsHld
 
Winning               9%
Losing               83
DK/NA                 8
 
 
86. How worried are you about the possibility of a terrorist attack in the United States, like the ones that happened recently in Paris; very worried, somewhat worried, not so worried, or not worried at all?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very worried         53%    59%    55%    59%    55%    39%    53%    53%    51%    55%
Somewhat worried     35     31     35     31     35     43     32     39     34     35
Not so worried        8      5      7      7      9     11     10      5     12      5
Not worried at all    3      5      3      2      1      7      4      1      2      4
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      -      -      -      1      -      1
 
 
87. Do the terrorist attacks in Paris make you more likely to support stricter gun laws, less likely to support stricter gun laws, or don't they make a difference?
                     LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More likely           7%     2%     8%     5%     7%     9%     4%    12%     7%     7%
Less likely          48     64     55     60     48     27     52     42     40     53
No difference        43     31     36     31     44     63     43     43     52     38
DK/NA                 2      4      1      3      1      1      1      3      1      2
 

Sample and Methodology detail