March 5, 2015 - Walker, Bush In Tight Race Among U.S. Republicans, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Clinton Sweeps Dem Field, With Biden In The Wings Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, with 18 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 16 percent, top the list of possible 2016 presidential nominees among Republican or Republican leaning voters nationwide, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee are at 8 percent each, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Physician Ben Carson has 7 percent, with 6 percent each for U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and 5 percent for U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. No other Republican contender tops 2 percent. Another 17 percent are undecided.

If Walker does not run, Bush gets 18 percent, with 10 percent for Carson, 9 percent each for Christie and Huckabee, 8 percent each for Cruz and Paul and 7 percent for Rubio.

If Bush is out of the race, Walker gets 20 percent, with 10 percent for Christie, 9 percent for Huckabee and 8 percent each for Carson and Rubio.

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is the 2016 presidential choice of 56 percent of Democratic or Democratic leaning voters nationwide, with 14 percent for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, 10 percent for Vice President Joseph Biden and 4 percent for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont. Another 14 percent are undecided.

If Secretary Clinton does not run, Vice President Biden gets 35 percent, with 25 percent for Sen. Warren and 7 percent for Sen. Sanders, with 25 percent undecided.

"It's Gov. Scott Walker and former Gov. Jeb Bush head to head for the GOP and Hillary Clinton virtually unchallenged among Democrats. Her 4-1 margin over Sen. Elizabeth Warren and 5-1 lead over Vice President Joseph Biden say it's hers if she wants it," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Christie and Bush lead the "no" list, as each candidate gets 16 percent when Republicans are asked if there is any candidate, they "would definitely not support."

Biden leads the Democratic "no" list with 10 percent, followed by former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley with 8 percent.

The biggest winner on the "no" list is Donald Trump, as 51 percent of all voters say they definitely would not vote for him and 25 percent say they probably would not vote for him.

"Donald Trump gets a rousing 'you're fired' before he even declares his intentions," Malloy added.

Only 30 percent of all American voters want the next president to continue with President Barack Obama's policies, while 59 percent want the next president to "change direction."

In a general election match-up, Clinton gets 45 percent to Bush's 42 percent. The Democrat tops other Republicans:
  • 46 - 39 percent over Christie;
  • 47 - 41 percent over Paul;
  • 47 - 40 percent over Huckabee;
  • 46 - 41 percent over Rubio;
  • 48 - 39 percent over Walker;
  • 48 - 38 percent over Cruz.
With a divided 48 - 45 percent, Clinton has the highest favorability rating among all American voters. Favorability ratings for Republican contenders are:
  • Negative 32 - 39 percent for Christie;
  • 31 - 31 percent for Paul;
  • 34 - 32 percent for Huckabee;
  • Negative 34 - 40 percent for Bush;
  • 30 - 22 percent for Rubio, with 48 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion;
  • 23 - 24 percent for Walker, with 52 percent who don't know enough about him;
  • Negative 23 - 29 percent for Cruz, with 46 percent who don't know enough about him.
From February 26 - March 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,286 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. The survey includes 554 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points and 493 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 16%     5%    15%    10%    19%    19%    14%    18%
Carson                7     10      9     10      7      5      7      7
Christie              8      4      5      3      9     12      8      7
Cruz                  6     12      7      8      6      5      7      6
Graham                1      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
Huckabee              8     14     12     10      7      7      7      9
Jindal                2      1      2      1      1      5      1      3
Kasich                1      1      1      1      2      1      2      1
Paul                  6      9      4      5      6      6      8      3
Perry                 1      2      2      1      2      2      2      1
Rubio                 5      4      4      3      5      6      5      5
Santorum              2      -      -      1      2      2      1      2
Walker               18     26     18     34     15      5     22     14
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      -      -      2      2      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      2      2      -      3      -      3
DK/NA                17     11     20     11     18     19     13     20
 
TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........................
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Oct 02  Apr 03
                     2015    2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Bush                 16      11      10      11      11      11      10
Carson                7       8      na      na      na      na      na
Christie              8       8      10      12      17      13      14
Cruz                  6       5       8       9      13      10      na
Graham                1      na      na      na      na      na      na
Huckabee              8       5      10      na      na      na      na
Jindal                2       2       1       3       3       3       3
Kasich                1       2       2       2       2      na      na
Paul                  6       6      11      13      14      17      15
Perry                 1       2       3      na      na      na      na
Rubio                 5       2       6       8       7      12      19
Santorum              2       1       2      na      na      na      na
Walker               18       5       8       6       5       4       2
McDonnell            na      na      na      na      na      na       1
Portman              na       -      na      na      na      na      na
Romney               na      19      na      na      na      na      na
Ryan                 na       5       8      13       9      10      17
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       -       -       2       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1       2       1       1       1       -
DK/NA                17      16      20      22      17      19      18
 
 
2a. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q1 ASKING BUSH VOTERS: Who is your second choice?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
                     MATCHUP Q1 WITHOUT BUSH.............................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Carson                8%    10%    10%    10%     9%     5%     9%     7%
Christie             10      4      7      4     10     19     10     11
Cruz                  6     12      7      8      6      5      7      6
Graham                1      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
Huckabee              9     15     13     11     10      7      7     11
Jindal                3      1      2      1      1      6      1      4
Kasich                1      1      1      1      2      2      2      1
Paul                  6      9      4      5      6      8      9      3
Perry                 1      2      2      1      2      2      2      1
Rubio                 8      4      8      7      7     10      8      9
Santorum              2      -      -      1      2      2      1      2
Walker               20     26     19     35     18      6     25     15
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      -      -      3      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      2      2      -      4      -      4
DK/NA                20     13     24     12     24     23     16     25
 
 
2b. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q1 ASKING WALKER VOTERS: Who is your second choice?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
                     MATCHUP Q1 WITHOUT WALKER...........................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 18%     7%    18%    13%    20%    21%    17%    20%
Carson               10     15     12     16      8      6     10     10
Christie              9      4      5      4     10     13     10      8
Cruz                  8     14      8     11      6      5      8      7
Graham                1      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
Huckabee              9     14     12     12      8      7      9      9
Jindal                4      3      5      4      3      5      4      5
Kasich                2      1      1      2      3      1      3      1
Paul                  8     15      7     10      7      7     11      4
Perry                 2      4      3      3      2      2      3      1
Rubio                 7      5      5      6      8      6      8      6
Santorum              2      2      1      3      2      2      2      2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      -      1      2      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      2      2      1      3      1      3
DK/NA                18     13     20     13     20     19     14     21
 
 
3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, or Walker? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS......................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom
 
Bush                 16%    32%    16%    24%    15%    10%    18%    14%
Carson                2      -      1      1      1      3      2      2
Christie             16     17     15     20     16     14     20     12
Cruz                  6      1      1      2      6     12      7      5
Graham                6      9      5      8      5      6      7      5
Huckabee              6      6      3      6      5      8      8      4
Jindal                3      2      1      1      3      4      3      3
Kasich                2      2      2      3      1      3      2      2
Paul                  9      5      6      9      8     11      9      8
Perry                 6      4      5      4      5     10      7      6
Rubio                 3      3      1      1      3      7      4      3
Santorum              4      1      2      3      3      5      4      3
Walker                2      -      1      1      1      5      1      3
No/No one            36     24     40     36     36     35     32     40
DK/NA                19     23     22     17     19     18     16     22
 
 
4. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Biden                10%     6%     8%    12%    11%     9%
Clinton              56     60     50     57     50     60
O'Malley              -      -      -      -      -      -
Sanders               4      9      6      1      8      1
Warren               14     23     20      9     14     13
Webb                  1      -      1      1      1      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      1      1      1
DK/NA                14      2     13     19     15     14
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........................
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Oct 02  May 02
                     2015    2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Biden                10       9       9       8       8      11      13
Clinton              56      57      58      65      66      61      65
O'Malley              -       1       1       1       -       -       1
Sanders               4       4      na      na      na      na      na
Warren               14      13      11       7       7       7      na
Webb                  1       1      na      na      na      na      na
Cuomo                na      na       4       3       3       2       4
Schweitzer           na      na       1       1       1      na      na
Dean                 na      na      na       2       1      na      na
Patrick              na      na      na      na      na      na       1
Warner               na      na      na      na      na       1       1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       1       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       1       1       -       1       2       -
DK/NA                14      14      15      13      12      15      14
 
 
5. RECALCULATED MATCHUP Q4 ASKING CLINTON VOTERS: Who is your second choice?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
                     MATCHUP Q4 WITHOUT CLINTON............
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Biden                35%    32%    28%    40%    35%    35%
O'Malley              1      -      -      1      1      1
Sanders               7     13     12      2     12      3
Warren               25     43     29     19     23     28
Webb                  3      1      3      3      4      2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2      2      3      1
DK/NA                25      7     24     31     21     29
 
TREND: RECALCULATED MATCHUP ASKING CLINTON VOTERS: Who is your second choice?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
                     MATCHUP WITHOUT CLINTON
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  May 02
                     2015    2014    2013
 
Biden                35      34      45
O'Malley              1       2       3
Sanders               7       6      na
Warren               25      25      na
Webb                  3       2      na
Cuomo                na      na      15
Patrick              na      na       6
Warner               na      na       2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       1       2
DK/NA                25      28      26
 
 
6. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Clinton, O'Malley, Sanders, Warren, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom
 
Biden                10%     5%    11%    12%     8%    12%
Clinton               5      2      1      8      3      6
O'Malley              8     10      5     10      9      8
Sanders               5      2      4      7      5      5
Warren                4      3      3      5      4      4
Webb                  7     10      3      8      6      8
No/No one            50     54     59     45     54     48
DK/NA                24     22     20     26     24     24
 
 
8. Would you like to see the next President generally; continue with Barack Obama's policies or change direction from Barack Obama's policies?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Continue policies    30%     2%    64%    28%    29%    30%    27%    32%    30%
Change direction     59     94     26     57     64     55     51     60     62
DK/NA                11      4     10     14      7     15     22      8      8
 
 
12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              46%    10%    87%    47%    43%    48%    44%    48%    45%
Christie             39     79      7     36     41     38     38     39     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      -      3      3      2      6      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      7      -      5      8      3      4      6      6
DK/NA                 7      3      6      8      5      9      9      5      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through Mar 2013)
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Nov 13  Oct 02
                     2015    2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Clinton              46      43      47      46      41      42      49
Christie             39      42      38      38      42      43      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       3       2       3       4       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5       4       6       5       3       4       3
DK/NA                 7       8       7       9       9       9       9
 
 
13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              47%    10%    90%    48%    41%    51%    50%    47%    44%
Paul                 41     81      4     39     45     38     39     41     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      3      3      1      4      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      1      5      5      3      3      4      4
DK/NA                 6      4      5      5      5      7      4      7      6
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Trend information is available upon request back through May 2013)
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Nov 13  Oct 02
                     2015    2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Clinton              47      46      49      49      48      49      53
Paul                 41      41      40      39      41      40      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2       1       2       2       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       2       4       3       2       3       3
DK/NA                 6       8       6       8       6       7       6
 
 
14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              47%     9%    90%    50%    44%    49%    47%    49%    44%
Huckabee             40     83      5     33     42     38     34     39     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      -      2      4      2      6      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      1      7      6      3      4      5      3
DK/NA                 7      3      5      8      5      8      8      6      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08
                     2015    2014    2014
 
Clinton              47      46      49
Huckabee             40      41      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       3       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       3       4
DK/NA                 7       8       6
 
 
15. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              45%     9%    90%    43%    41%    49%    50%    47%    41%
Bush                 42     81      4     41     44     40     36     40     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      -      2      3      2      6      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      5      1      6      6      3      4      6      4
DK/NA                 6      3      5      8      6      7      4      6      8
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  May 31
                     2015    2014    2014    2014    2013    2013
 
Clinton              45      46      48      49      48      48
Bush                 42      41      41      38      39      40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       3       2       3       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       3       5       3       3       3
DK/NA                 6       7       5       7       6       7
 
 
16. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              46%     9%    91%    46%    42%    50%    47%    48%    44%
Rubio                41     85      4     37     45     38     35     40     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      2      2      2      6      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      6      5      2      4      4      3
DK/NA                 7      4      4      9      6      9      9      7      7
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Mar 05  Mar 07
                     2015    2013
 
Clinton              46      50
Rubio                41      34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       3
DK/NA                 7      11
 
 
17. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Scott Walker the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              48%    10%    91%    51%    44%    51%    53%    49%    44%
Walker               39     80      3     34     42     35     32     38     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      2      3      2      5      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      1      4      4      3      3      4      3
DK/NA                 8      6      6      8      6      9      7      8      9
 
 
18. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              48%    10%    93%    49%    45%    51%    52%    49%    45%
Cruz                 38     80      2     34     41     35     36     36     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      -      3      2      3      4      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      1      5      5      3      2      4      4
DK/NA                 7      6      5      8      6      9      5      9      8
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jan 21  Dec 11  Nov 13  Oct 02
                     2015    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Clinton              48      48      50      50      51      54
Cruz                 38      37      35      37      36      31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2       2       3       3       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       4       4       3       3       3
DK/NA                 7       9      10       7       7       9
 
 
19. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            48%    13%    88%    49%    43%    52%    54%    48%    45%
Unfavorable          45     80      6     45     50     40     35     45     50
Hvn't hrd enough      6      6      5      5      5      7     11      6      4
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      -      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Feb 08  May 03
                     2015    2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2007
 
Favorable            48      50      48      51      53      61      44
Unfavorable          45      45      43      40      42      34      46
Hvn't hrd enough      6       3       8       7       4       4       7
REFUSED               1       2       2       2       1       1       3
 
 
20. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            32%    49%    19%    33%    36%    29%    28%    36%    33%
Unfavorable          39     25     54     42     42     37     28     42     43
Hvn't hrd enough     26     25     27     23     20     32     42     22     21
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      2      1      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Jan 21  Dec 11  Dec 11  Oct 05
                     2015    2014    2014    2014    2013    2013    2011
 
Favorable            32      38      37      33      47      47      23
Unfavorable          39      33      38      30      23      23      17
Hvn't hrd enough     26      27      23      34      28      28      59
REFUSED               2       2       1       3       2       2       1
 
 
21. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            31%    49%    10%    34%    36%    26%    31%    34%    29%
Unfavorable          31     14     52     31     32     30     24     30     35
Hvn't hrd enough     37     36     36     33     29     43     45     34     34
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      2      1      -      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Dec 11  Oct 02  Jul 12  May 31
                     2015    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            31      35      32      34      30      31      32
Unfavorable          31      26      32      31      33      28      24
Hvn't hrd enough     37      37      36      33      37      39      42
REFUSED               2       2       1       2       1       1       1
 
 
22. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            34%    62%     9%    32%    39%    29%    22%    37%    38%
Unfavorable          32     10     52     36     33     32     29     38     30
Hvn't hrd enough     33     27     39     32     27     39     49     25     31
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Nov 22  Oct 31
                     2015    2014    2014    2010    2007
 
Favorable            34      36      38      41      15
Unfavorable          32      29      34      25      13
Hvn't hrd enough     33      34      28      33      70
REFUSED               1       2       1       2       2
 
 
23. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            34%    54%    14%    37%    38%    31%    24%    34%    40%
Unfavorable          40     19     64     36     39     41     41     44     36
Hvn't hrd enough     24     24     21     26     22     26     35     19     22
REFUSED               2      2      1      1      1      2      -      2      2
 
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Dec 11  May 31  Feb 08
                     2015    2014    2014    2013    2013    2013
 
Favorable            34      33      32      31      29      25
Unfavorable          40      32      37      38      29      29
Hvn't hrd enough     24      33      29      30      42      45
REFUSED               2       1       1       1       1       2
 
 
24. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            30%    54%     8%    29%    35%    25%    27%    29%    32%
Unfavorable          22      4     42     19     23     20     15     23     24
Hvn't hrd enough     48     42     48     52     42     53     58     47     43
REFUSED               1      -      2      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Mar 05  Jul 08  Dec 11  Feb 08
                     2015    2014    2013    2013
 
Favorable            30      27      26      27
Unfavorable          22      25      25      15
Hvn't hrd enough     48      47      47      57
REFUSED               1       1       1       1
 
 
25. Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            23%    44%     5%    22%    30%    17%    14%    23%    28%
Unfavorable          24      2     45     25     25     23     26     24     23
Hvn't hrd enough     52     54     49     52     44     60     60     52     48
REFUSED               1      -      1      -      1      1      -      -      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Mar 05  Jul 08  Dec 11
                     2015    2014    2013
 
Favorable            23      18      21
Unfavorable          24      17      16
Hvn't hrd enough     52      64      62
REFUSED               1       -       1
 
 
26. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            23%    45%     5%    20%    28%    19%    26%    22%    23%
Unfavorable          29      8     45     36     33     26     27     30     29
Hvn't hrd enough     46     45     49     44     38     54     47     46     47
REFUSED               1      1      -      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Mar 05  Nov 26  Jul 08  Dec 11  Oct 02
                     2015    2014    2014    2013    2013
 
Favorable            23      21      23      27      16
Unfavorable          29      29      26      27      25
Hvn't hrd enough     46      49      50      44      58
REFUSED               1       1       1       1       1
 
 
27. If Donald Trump runs for President, how likely is it that you would vote for him; would you definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Definitely            5%    10%     1%     5%     6%     4%     4%     4%     6%
Probably             14     22      6     16     13     15     13     17     14
Probably not         25     33     16     21     26     24     33     24     22
Definitely not       51     27     76     54     50     52     44     53     54
DK/NA                 5      8      2      4      5      5      6      3      5