April 27, 2015 - American Voters Back Iran Deal By Wide Margin, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Voters Oppose Faith Exclusion To Serve Gays Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Sample and Methodology detail

American voters support 58 - 33 percent the preliminary agreement with Iran to restrict that country's nuclear program, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today.

At the same time, only 35 percent of voters are "very confident" or "somewhat confident" the agreement would prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, while 62 percent are "not so confident" or "not confident at all," the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Supporting the agreement are Democrats 76 - 15 percent and independent voters 60 - 33 percent, with Republicans opposed 56 - 37 percent.

The letter from Republican senators to Iranian leaders was not appropriate, American voters say 53 - 40 percent. It will hurt rather than help negotiations, voters say 37 - 8 percent, while 48 percent say it will make no difference.

Voters support 65 - 24 percent making any Iran agreement subject to congressional approval.

Voters back 77 - 13 percent a negotiated settlement rather than military intervention to limit Iran's nuclear program.

"Better to sit down and negotiate than to flex muscle and isolate. Americans are worried about Iran, but not enough to send in the troops," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

American voters are divided on whether they will vote Democratic or Republican in the 2016 elections for the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives:
  • In House races, 40 percent would vote Republican, while 37 percent would vote Democratic;
  • Voters in states where there is a U.S. Senate election are divided 39 - 39 percent on whether they would vote for a Democrat or a Republican.
Voters disapprove of Democrats in Congress less than they disapprove of Republicans, giving Democrats a negative 30 - 61 percent score, compared to a negative 22 - 69 percent for Republicans.

President Barack Obama gets a negative 44 - 49 percent job approval rating, continuing an upward climb from a negative 39 - 54 percent score in a November 25 Quinnipiac University poll.

Same-Sex Marriage

American voters support same-sex marriage 58 - 34 percent, with strong support from every party, gender and age group except Republicans, who are opposed 59 - 33 percent, and voters over 55 years old, who support same-sex marriage by a narrow 48 - 43 percent.

By a 69 - 26 percent margin, including a 50 - 44 percent margin among Republicans, voters say businesses should not be allowed to refuse service to gays and lesbians.

By a smaller 58 - 35 percent margin, voters say businesses should not be allowed to refuse service to gays and lesbians, even if it violates a business owner's religious beliefs.

Again, there is strong agreement among all groups except Republicans, who say 56 - 37 percent a business owner should be allowed to deny service based on religious belief.

"Americans support same-sex marriage by nearly 2-1, and by an even larger margin say businesses should not be allowed to discriminate against gays and lesbians," Malloy said.

From April 16 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,353 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Republican           40%    90%     3%    37%    42%    37%    35%    39%    43%
Democratic           37      2     81     29     32     42     41     37     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      2      1      1      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      1      3      2      2      4      1      2
DK/NA                20      7     15     30     22     18     19     20     18
 
TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?
                                                             DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Jul 08  Apr 02  Jan 21  Jan 08  Oct 01  Apr 27
                     2015    2014    2014    2014    2014    2013    2015
 
Republican           40      39      38      38      38      34      40
Democratic           37      41      40      37      37      43      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       2       2       2       4       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       2       3       2       2       2
DK/NA                20      17      18      21      21      17      20
 
 
2. If an election for the U.S. Senate were being held in your state today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Republican           40%    90%     3%    39%    45%    36%    34%    40%    44%
Democratic           39      2     82     32     33     45     46     40     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      2      3      1      1      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      2      1      2      4      1      1
DK/NA                17      7     14     25     18     16     15     16     17
 
                     STATES WITH SENATE ELECTION IN 2016........................
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Republican           39%    90%     4%    39%    44%    35%    32%    38%    46%
Democratic           39      3     82     31     35     44     45     42     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      2      3      2      1      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      1      2      2      1      4      1      1
DK/NA                18      7     13     26     17     18     18     16     16
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              44%     6%    84%    40%    39%    48%    49%    48%    39%
Disapprove           49     91     13     51     55     44     41     45     57
DK/NA                 7      3      3      9      5      8     11      6      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (* High also 59% Mar 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Mar 04  Nov 25  Jul 02  Apr 02  Jun 04  Dec 10
                     2015    2015    2014    2014    2014    2009*   2013
 
Approve              44      41      39      40      42      59      38
Disapprove           49      52      54      53      50      31      57
DK/NA                 7       7       8       7       8      10       6
 
 
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              22%    43%    10%    20%    20%    24%    25%    23%    21%
Disapprove           69     48     86     71     72     66     65     68     72
DK/NA                 9      9      4      9      7     10     10      9      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (* High also 34% Mar 3 2011, Mar 2010, ** Low also 17% Oct 2013)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Mar 04  Nov 26  Jul 08  Apr 02  Mar 31  Jan 21
                     2015    2015    2014    2014    2014    2011*   2014**
 
Approve              22      22      23      18      18      34      17
Disapprove           69      69      69      73      73      55      76
DK/NA                 9       9       8       9       9      11       7
 
 
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              30%     7%    64%    21%    27%    33%    32%    34%    28%
Disapprove           61     89     28     69     66     56     54     57     66
DK/NA                 9      4      8     10      7     11     13     10      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (* Low also 24% Nov 2011, Oct 2011, Sep 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Mar 04  Nov 26  Jul 08  Apr 02  Mar 04  Nov 26
                     2015    2015    2014    2014    2014    2009    2014*
 
Approve              30      28      24      29      30      45      24
Disapprove           61      62      67      63      60      45      67
DK/NA                 9      10       9       8      10      10       9
 
 
8. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very satisfied        2%     -      3%     2%     2%     2%     1%     3%     2%
Smwht satisfied      28     11     48     25     26     30     35     30     22
Smwht dissatisfied   32     33     32     34     32     33     37     33     31
Very dissatisfied    37     55     16     40     39     34     26     33     45
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      2      1      2      2      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Mar 04  Nov 25  Jul 08  Apr 02  Dec 11  Nov 13
                     2015    2015    2014    2014    2014    2001    2008
 
Very satisfied        2       2       2       2       2      21       2
Smwht satisfied      28      29      23      24      24      47      14
Smwht dissatisfied   32      33      32      31      33      19      38
Very dissatisfied    37      35      42      43      40      10      44
DK/NA                 1       1       1       -       1       3       2
 
 
24. Who do you trust more to make decisions that are good for the country, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                45%     4%    87%    40%    40%    49%    50%    49%    40%
Reps in Congress     43     91      6     42     45     40     35     39     49
DK/NA                13      5      7     17     15     11     14     12     11
 
TREND: Who do you trust more to make decisions that are good for the country, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Apr 27  Mar 04  Nov 25
                     2015    2015    2014
 
Obama                45      42      42
Reps in Congress     43      47      47
DK/NA                13      11      12
 
 
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              45%    12%    80%    43%    42%    47%    49%    51%    40%
Disapprove           50     86     17     52     54     47     44     46     57
DK/NA                 5      2      3      6      4      6      7      3      3
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (* Low also 32% Sep 2011)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Mar 04  Jul 02  Apr 02  Jan 22  Mar 04  Oct 06
                     2015    2015    2014    2014    2014    2009    2011*
 
Approve              45      44      40      40      39      57      32
Disapprove           50      50      55      55      56      33      64
DK/NA                 5       6       4       4       5      10       4
 
 
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              39%     7%    75%    34%    37%    42%    39%    44%    36%
Disapprove           53     89     19     57     58     48     47     49     59
DK/NA                 8      4      6      9      5     10     13      8      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Mar 04  Jul 02  Apr 02  Jan 22  Apr 29  Mar 04
                     2015    2015    2014    2014    2014    2009    2015
 
Approve              39      35      37      39      40      57      35
Disapprove           53      55      57      55      49      32      55
DK/NA                 8      10       6       6      11      11      10
 
 
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - terrorism?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              43%    10%    77%    41%    41%    45%    47%    48%    38%
Disapprove           50     87     18     52     54     46     46     45     56
DK/NA                 7      4      5      8      5      8      8      7      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling terrorism?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 27  Mar 04  Jul 02  Jan 22  Jan 08  May 05  Mar 04
                     2015    2015    2014    2014    2014    2011    2015
 
Approve              43      39      44      48      52      67      39
Disapprove           50      54      51      41      41      27      54
DK/NA                 7       7       5      10       6       7       7
 
 
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation between Israel and the Palestinians?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              31%     6%    59%    28%    30%    32%    26%    35%    30%
Disapprove           53     88     23     55     58     49     54     47     59
DK/NA                15      6     19     17     12     19     20     18     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation between Israel and the Palestinians?
                     Apr 27  Oct 06  Jun 09  Apr 22
                     2015    2011    2011    2010
 
Approve              31      34      35      35
Disapprove           53      48      47      44
DK/NA                15      17      17      21
 
 
29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in Iran?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              37%    10%    69%    33%    37%    38%    35%    42%    35%
Disapprove           52     86     21     56     56     49     48     48     59
DK/NA                10      4     10     12      7     13     17     10      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Iran?
                     Apr 27  Jan 22  Dec 10  Oct 01  Nov 23  Apr 22  Oct 07
                     2015    2014    2013    2013    2011    2010    2009
 
Approve              37      39      40      48      46      44      45
Disapprove           52      47      48      40      38      43      39
DK/NA                10      14      12      12      16      13      17
 
 
51. Is your opinion of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            38%    68%    14%    38%    48%    29%    21%    37%    46%
Unfavorable          22      5     33     26     23     22     25     26     19
Hvn't hrd enough     37     25     50     34     27     46     51     35     32
REFUSED               3      1      3      3      2      3      3      2      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 27  Jun 09  Apr 22
                     2015    2011    2010
 
Favorable            38      34      30
Unfavorable          22      15      14
Hvn't hrd enough     37      49      54
REFUSED               3       3       3
 
 
52. Do you think the President of the United States should be a strong supporter of Israel or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes/Should           67%    87%    56%    67%    74%    61%    57%    61%    77%
No/Should not        20      7     27     22     19     21     32     22     13
DK/NA                13      6     17     11      7     18     10     17     10
 
TREND: Do you think the President of the United States should be a strong supporter of Israel or not?
                     Apr 27  Oct 06  Jun 09  Apr 22
                     2015    2011    2011    2010
 
Yes/Should           67      63      66      66
No/Should not        20      20      18      19
DK/NA                13      17      16      15
 
 
53. Do you think President Obama is a strong supporter of Israel or not?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes/Strong           38%     9%    65%    38%    39%    37%    44%    40%    34%
No                   48     83     17     48     52     44     39     42     56
DK/NA                15      7     17     15      9     19     17     18     10
 
TREND: Do you think President Obama is a strong supporter of Israel or not?
                     Apr 27  Oct 06  Jun 09  Apr 22
                     2015    2011    2011    2010
 
Yes/Strong           38      39      40      34
No/Not strong        48      40      39      42
DK/NA                15      21      22      24
                       
 
54. Do you think that Iran's nuclear program is a major threat, a minor threat, or not a threat to the well-being of the United States?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Major threat         63%    84%    54%    59%    64%    63%    45%    59%    74%
Minor threat         26     12     34     31     26     26     42     28     18
Not a threat          7      1      8      9      8      5      9      9      4
DK/NA                 4      3      5      2      2      6      3      4      4
 
 
55. As you may know a preliminary agreement was reached in which the United States and other countries would lift major economic sanctions against Iran, in exchange for Iran restricting its nuclear program in a way that makes it harder for it to produce nuclear weapons. Do you support or oppose this agreement?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              58%    37%    76%    60%    55%    61%    66%    60%    54%
Oppose               33     56     15     33     39     28     24     33     37
DK/NA                 9      7      8      7      6     11     11      7      9
 
 
56. How confident are you that this agreement would prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons; very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident, or not confident at all?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very confident        4%     2%     9%     3%     6%     3%     4%     3%     6%
Somewhat confident   31     13     48     32     29     32     36     35     26
Not so confident     23     21     23     24     21     24     33     22     19
Not confident at all 39     63     17     40     42     36     23     37     46
DK/NA                 3      2      4      2      2      5      4      4      3
 
 
57. As you may know, 47 Republican senators sent an open letter to the leaders of Iran warning that any agreement they make with President Obama will only be an "executive agreement" that could be revoked unless it gets congressional approval. Do you think it was or was not appropriate for Republicans to send this letter?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Appropriate          40%    72%    14%    38%    42%    37%    41%    34%    43%
Not appropriate      53     23     79     56     53     54     53     57     50
DK/NA                 7      5      7      6      5      9      7      8      6
 
 
58. Do you think that letter will help or hurt White House efforts to peacefully reduce Iran's nuclear capabilities, or won't it make a difference?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Help                  8%    12%     3%    10%     6%     9%     5%     7%     9%
Hurt                 37     18     56     35     36     39     46     37     33
No difference        48     65     32     50     53     42     41     49     50
DK/NA                 7      6      8      6      5      9      8      6      8
 
 
59. Would you prefer military intervention against Iran's nuclear program or a negotiated settlement to reduce its nuclear potential?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Military interventn  13%    21%     6%    11%    18%     9%     9%    13%    15%
Negotiated settlemnt 77     69     85     81     75     79     85     78     73
DK/NA                10     10      9      7      7     12      6      8     12
 
 
60. Would you support or oppose legislation that would make any Iran agreement subject to congressional approval?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              65%    88%    49%    66%    70%    61%    63%    64%    69%
Oppose               24      6     40     25     23     25     25     29     20
DK/NA                10      7     11      9      6     14     13      7     11
 
 
61. Do you support or oppose allowing same-sex couples to get married?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              58%    33%    74%    66%    56%    61%    74%    64%    48%
Oppose               34     59     22     26     35     33     21     30     43
DK/NA                 8      8      4      9      9      7      5      6      9
 
 
62. Do you think businesses should or should not be allowed to refuse service to gays and lesbians?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Should be allowed    26%    44%     9%    25%    28%    23%    22%    23%    30%
Should not           69     50     88     70     65     73     75     72     65
DK/NA                 5      6      3      5      7      4      3      5      6
 
 
63. What if the business says homosexuality violates its owners' religious beliefs; in that case do you think the business should or should not be allowed to refuse service to gays and lesbians?
                                                               AGE IN YRS.......
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-54  55+
 
Should be allowed    35%    56%    17%    33%    38%    32%    31%    33%    38%
Should not           58     37     79     59     57     60     64     61     54
DK/NA                 7      7      3      7      6      8      6      5      8