February 17, 2016 - Trump Surges To 2-1 Lead Among Republicans Nationwide, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Clinton, Sanders Locked In A Tie Among Democrats Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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The Donald Trump juggernaut rolls to a 2-1 lead among Republican voters nationwide, with 39 percent, his highest total so far, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida with 19 percent and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas with 18 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. Ohio Gov. John Kasich has 6 percent with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Dr. Ben Carson at 4 percent each. Nine percent are undecided.

This compares to the results of a February 5 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Trump with 31 percent, Cruz with 22 percent and Rubio with 19 percent.

In the Democratic race nationwide, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has 44 percent, with Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont at 42 percent, and 11 percent undecided, unchanged from February 5.

The top three Republicans are closely matched in terms of voter opinion as Trump gets a 62 - 31 percent favorability among Republicans, with 64 - 17 percent for Rubio and 62 - 23 percent for Cruz.

"Reports of Donald Trump's imminent demise as a candidate are clearly and greatly exaggerated. Like a freight train barreling through signals with his horn on full blast, Trump heads down the track towards a possible nomination," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"There is a 'but.' Trump's raw numbers are formidable, but he trails the pack on some 'from the gut' character measurements. And the kind of bright spot that Jeb Bush supporters, few as they be, may grab ahold of. The former Florida governor polls best in the pack on 'experience.'"

"Sen. Bernie Sanders and Secretary Hillary Clinton are neck and neck. But while Bernie has the trust, Hillary has the experience. Two different measurements of two dissimilar candidates," Malloy added.

Trump has a good chance of winning in November, 77 percent of Republican voters nationwide say, while 61 percent say Rubio has a good chance of winning and 60 percent say Cruz has a good chance.

Looking at key characteristics, Bush leads in one area as 74 percent of Republicans say he has the right kind of experience to be president, with Cruz at 68 percent, Trump at 60 percent, Kasich at 59 percent and Rubio at 54 percent. On other qualities, Republican voters say:
  • 72 percent that Rubio is honest and trustworthy, with 70 percent for Bush, 65 percent for Kasich, 62 percent for Cruz and 60 percent for Trump;
  • 80 percent that Trump has strong leadership qualities, with 69 percent for Cruz, 63 percent for Rubio, 60 percent for Bush and 58 percent for Kasich;
  • 73 percent that Rubio cares about their needs and problems, with 67 percent for Cruz, 66 percent for Bush and 62 percent each for Trump and Kasich;
  • 70 percent say Rubio shares their values, with 69 percent for Bush, 67 percent for Cruz, 60 percent for Trump and 57 percent for Kasich. Clinton - Sanders
The Democratic gender gap is shrinking as women back Clinton over Sanders 47 - 41 percent while men back Sanders 44 - 40 percent. Clinton would have a good chance of winning in November, 83 percent of Democrats say, compared to 69 percent who say Sanders has a good chance. Looking at key characteristics among Democratic voters:
  • 93 percent say Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, compared to 74 percent for Sanders;
  • 87 percent say Sanders is honest and trustworthy, compared to 61 percent for Clinton;
  • 87 percent say Clinton has strong leadership qualities, with 79 percent for Sanders;
  • 86 percent say Sanders cares about their needs and problems, compared to 78 percent for Clinton;
  • 82 percent say Sanders shares their values, compared to 75 percent for Clinton.
From February 10 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,342 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 602 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points and 563 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                  4%     1%     4%     2%     2%     6%     2%     5%     5%     3%
Carson                4      4      8      5      1      5      2      5      3      4
Cruz                 18     44     25     38     10      9     21     16     16     19
Kasich                6      3      6      4      9      6      6      6     11      4
Rubio                19     11     16     13     25     19     15     22     24     16
Trump                39     34     30     27     45     44     45     34     30     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      -      -      1      -      1      -      1
DK/NA                 9      3     11     11      8      9      6     12     10      8
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Bush                  4%     3%     1%     3%     7%
Carson                2      9      4      4      3
Cruz                 20     13     16     23     12
Kasich                6      7      4      6     10
Rubio                20     15     26     18     14
Trump                38     43     41     36     39
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      1      1
DK/NA                 9      7      6      9     13
 
 
1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1............................
                                   CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1...........
                     Tot           Cruz          Rubio         Trump
 
Made up              53%           60%           33%           64%
Might change         45            38            67            33
DK/NA                 2             3             -             3
 
 
2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Cruz, Kasich, Rubio, or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Bush                 20%    23%    18%    19%    17%    23%    21%    19%    17%    22%
Carson                8      2      7      3      6     13      9      8     11      7
Cruz                 17      2     11      6     21     22     18     16     17     17
Kasich               10     16      8     11      6     13     12      9      6     11
Rubio                13     12      9      7     11     17     13     13      7     15
Trump                28     24     27     30     21     32     19     35     26     27
No/No one            30     39     39     35     36     21     35     26     33     30
DK/NA                 5      2      6      6      5      3      3      7      5      4
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Bush                 19%    27%    16%    21%    21%
Carson                9      7      8      7     11
Cruz                 17     17     16     16     20
Kasich               10     10      7     13      7
Rubio                12     13     13     13     12
Trump                28     25     32     26     25
No/No one            30     30     30     30     29
DK/NA                 5      3      1      6      7
 
 
3. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton              44%    30%    47%    48%    40%    47%    41%    45%
Sanders              42     64     38     34     44     41     46     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1      1      1      -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      2      2      3      1      1      3
DK/NA                11      3     13     14     12     11     11     11
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Clinton              47%    33%    33%    49%    61%    38%    55%
Sanders              39     53     58     35     24     50     30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      -      2      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      -      1      3      3      2      1
DK/NA                11     12      8     14     11      9     14
 
 
3A. (If candidate chosen q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3................
                            CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q3......
                     Tot           Clinton       Sanders
 
Made up              67%           66%           67%
Might change         32            34            30
DK/NA                 2             -             3
 
 
16a. (Summary tables from ques 16-23) Is your opinion of [Rotate Democratic Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her/him?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    UnFav  Hrd    Ref
 
Hillary Clinton      74%    21      3      2
Bernie Sanders       82%     6     11      -
 
 
16b. (Summary tables from ques 16-23) Is your opinion of [Rotate Republican Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS
                                   Hvn't
                     Fav    UnFav  Hrd    Ref
 
Jeb Bush             55%    32     10      2
Ted Cruz             62%    23     13      2
John Kasich          49%    11     38      2
Marco Rubio          64%    17     17      2
Donald Trump         62%    31      3      4
 
 
16. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            74%    70%    78%    72%    67%    79%    75%    73%
Unfavorable          21     24     18     22     29     15     20     22
Hvn't hrd enough      3      1      3      5      1      5      3      4
REFUSED               2      5      1      1      3      1      2      2
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Favorable            76%    66%    68%    74%    83%    68%    83%
Unfavorable          20     23     26     19     15     27     11
Hvn't hrd enough      2      8      3      5      1      3      5
REFUSED               2      2      2      2      1      3      1
 
 
17. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            62%    70%    59%    61%    66%    58%    71%    54%    55%    66%
Unfavorable          31     27     31     30     28     36     24     37     37     28
Hvn't hrd enough      3      1      5      1      4      5      3      3      5      3
REFUSED               4      3      5      8      2      2      2      6      4      3
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            62%    62%    57%    65%    60%
Unfavorable          31     29     38     30     28
Hvn't hrd enough      3      5      2      2      6
REFUSED               4      4      3      3      6
 
 
18. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            62%    89%    72%    82%    59%    48%    62%    62%    61%    62%
Unfavorable          23      1     16     12     24     31     21     25     27     21
Hvn't hrd enough     13     10     11      5     14     19     15     12      9     15
REFUSED               2      -      1      1      2      1      2      2      3      2
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            64%    56%    57%    60%    69%
Unfavorable          23     21     23     26     20
Hvn't hrd enough     11     22     17     12     10
REFUSED               2      2      2      2      1
 
 
19. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            64%    66%    69%    82%    65%    49%    63%    66%    75%    59%
Unfavorable          17     16     14     11     14     24     17     17     15     18
Hvn't hrd enough     17     17     16      6     18     26     17     17      9     21
REFUSED               2      -      1      -      3      1      3      1      1      2
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            66%    60%    56%    67%    70%
Unfavorable          16     19     20     15     16
Hvn't hrd enough     17     20     21     17     13
REFUSED               2      1      3      1      1
 
 
20. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            82%    95%    93%    71%    85%    80%    90%    78%
Unfavorable           6      3      4      9      6      6      6      7
Hvn't hrd enough     11      3      3     19      9     13      4     15
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Favorable            82%    82%    92%    76%    74%    84%    80%
Unfavorable           7      6      2      9     10      7      6
Hvn't hrd enough     11     12      6     15     15      9     14
REFUSED               -      1      -      -      1      -      -
 
 
22. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            55%    52%    57%    60%    56%    52%    51%    59%    65%    51%
Unfavorable          32     30     28     30     27     37     35     30     28     35
Hvn't hrd enough     10     15     11      5     15     10     13      8      5     13
REFUSED               2      3      3      4      1      2      2      3      2      2
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            57%    49%    55%    53%    61%
Unfavorable          31     36     30     36     26
Hvn't hrd enough     10     13     12     10     10
REFUSED               2      3      2      1      3
 
 
23. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            49%    42%    53%    53%    53%    42%    48%    50%    62%    43%
Unfavorable          11     19     11     16      8     11     16      7      9     13
Hvn't hrd enough     38     36     35     25     39     48     35     41     28     43
REFUSED               2      2      -      5      -      -      1      2      1      1
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            47%    55%    39%    45%    67%
Unfavorable          12     10     10     17      5
Hvn't hrd enough     40     32     49     37     28
REFUSED               1      3      2      1      1
 
 
24. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            77%    86%    84%    89%    81%    63%    77%    77%    81%    76%
Unfavorable          18     11     13      8     14     30     19     18     15     20
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      2      -      2      2      1      2      2      1
REFUSED               3      2      -      2      2      4      3      3      1      3
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Favorable            82%    60%    73%    80%    82%
Unfavorable          15     31     22     17     14
Hvn't hrd enough      1      3      1      2      1
REFUSED               3      6      5      2      3
 
 
25. Is your opinion of Bill Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                    DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            83%    79%    82%    86%    87%    80%    85%    83%
Unfavorable          10     12     10      9      9     11     10     10
Hvn't hrd enough      5      7      8      4      3      7      3      6
REFUSED               1      3      -      1      1      2      1      1
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Favorable            85%    79%    81%    83%    90%    80%    90%
Unfavorable          10     10     10     11      8     13      5
Hvn't hrd enough      4      9      8      4      2      6      5
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      1      1      -
 
 
26. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            84%    93%    92%    76%    79%    88%    91%    80%
Unfavorable          12      6      7     19     15     10      8     15
Hvn't hrd enough      2      -      -      3      2      2      -      3
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      4      -      1      2
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Favorable            86%    79%    83%    85%    84%    82%    87%
Unfavorable          12     14     14     12     10     16      7
Hvn't hrd enough      1      3      1      1      4      1      3
REFUSED               1      3      1      2      2      1      3
 
 
35. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  61%    58%    67%    59%    59%    62%    62%    60%
No                   34     33     28     37     38     31     33     34
DK/NA                 5      8      5      4      3      7      4      6
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  65%    46%    51%    62%    79%    55%    71%
No                   30     47     40     35     19     40     24
DK/NA                 5      7      9      3      2      5      5
 
 
36. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  60%    57%    60%    56%    66%    58%    63%    56%    59%    60%
No                   36     37     33     38     30     41     34     38     38     34
DK/NA                 4      6      6      6      4      2      3      6      3      5
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  62%    52%    57%    60%    62%
No                   33     46     39     38     29
DK/NA                 5      3      4      2      9
 
 
37. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  87%    95%    95%    82%    92%    82%    92%    84%
No                   10      5      5     13      6     14      7     12
DK/NA                 3      -      1      5      2      4      2      4
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  87%    85%    92%    84%    82%    88%    85%
No                    9     13      7     12     12     10     10
DK/NA                 4      2      2      4      6      2      5
 
 
38. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  70%    74%    74%    82%    65%    66%    68%    72%    79%    66%
No                   25     22     20     16     29     30     25     26     18     29
DK/NA                 5      4      6      2      5      4      7      2      3      5
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  74%    54%    63%    72%    78%
No                   23     34     29     27     16
DK/NA                 3     11      8      1      6
 
 
39. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  72%    77%    76%    87%    72%    63%    70%    75%    77%    70%
No                   21     19     16     12     19     29     23     18     17     22
DK/NA                 7      3      8      1      9      8      7      7      6      8
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  75%    62%    68%    73%    77%
No                   18     29     26     20     14
DK/NA                 7      9      6      7      9
 
 
40. Would you say that - Ted Cruz is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  62%    84%    71%    79%    61%    49%    63%    62%    61%    62%
No                   31     13     23     16     31     44     31     30     32     30
DK/NA                 7      3      6      5      7      7      6      8      6      8
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  65%    53%    59%    60%    68%
No                   28     39     36     34     19
DK/NA                 7      8      5      6     12
 
 
41. Would you say that - John Kasich is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  65%    63%    70%    73%    62%    61%    65%    64%    77%    60%
No                   18     16     13     15     18     20     21     14      9     21
DK/NA                18     20     16     13     19     19     14     22     14     19
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  65%    62%    60%    66%    71%
No                   18     16     21     18     13
DK/NA                17     22     20     16     16
 
 
42. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  87%    89%    94%    82%    82%    91%    91%    85%
No                   12     11      6     16     17      8      8     14
DK/NA                 1      -      -      2      1      1      -      1
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  89%    80%    83%    89%    90%    86%    89%
No                   10     20     16     10      9     14     10
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
43. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  80%    81%    82%    78%    79%    81%    82%    78%    81%    80%
No                   18     16     16     20     19     17     16     20     18     18
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      1      2      2      2      1      2
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  81%    75%    83%    79%    74%
No                   18     21     16     20     20
DK/NA                 2      4      -      2      6
 
 
44. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  79%    97%    79%    71%    77%    81%    80%    79%
No                   15      2     16     21     17     14     16     14
DK/NA                 6      1      5      8      6      6      4      7
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  81%    73%    86%    78%    69%    81%    77%
No                   14     19     10     16     21     14     17
DK/NA                 5      9      4      5     10      5      6
 
 
45. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  60%    69%    59%    68%    58%    54%    59%    60%    68%    56%
No                   37     29     38     28     38     43     37     37     30     40
DK/NA                 4      1      4      4      4      3      4      3      2      4
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  62%    52%    62%    59%    60%
No                   36     39     36     39     33
DK/NA                 2      9      2      2      7
 
 
46. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  63%    79%    66%    75%    65%    53%    61%    66%    70%    61%
No                   29     17     26     18     29     38     32     25     25     31
DK/NA                 8      4      8      7      6      9      6      9      5      8
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  66%    54%    67%    62%    60%
No                   27     35     29     32     23
DK/NA                 7     11      4      6     16
 
 
47. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  69%    90%    79%    82%    66%    61%    71%    67%    64%    71%
No                   26     10     17     14     28     35     26     26     32     24
DK/NA                 5      1      5      5      6      4      3      7      4      6
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  70%    67%    70%    67%    69%
No                   26     26     27     29     20
DK/NA                 4      7      3      4     10
 
 
48. Would you say that - John Kasich has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  58%    64%    65%    67%    52%    55%    61%    55%    72%    53%
No                   26     20     22     23     28     26     28     24     17     30
DK/NA                16     16     14     10     20     19     12     21     11     17
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  58%    59%    58%    51%    71%
No                   28     17     24     34     14
DK/NA                14     24     18     15     15
 
 
49. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  78%    81%    81%    73%    76%    79%    83%    75%
No                   20     17     17     24     21     19     16     22
DK/NA                 3      2      1      4      3      3      1      3
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  81%    66%    75%    74%    87%    74%    83%
No                   16     31     24     22     10     24     13
DK/NA                 2      3      1      4      3      2      4
 
 
50. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  62%    66%    66%    64%    62%    59%    66%    59%    65%    62%
No                   34     32     31     33     34     37     32     36     33     33
DK/NA                 4      3      3      3      5      4      2      5      1      5
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  65%    54%    58%    63%    63%
No                   31     43     41     34     29
DK/NA                 4      3      2      4      8
 
 
51. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  86%    99%    93%    76%    88%    84%    94%    81%
No                   11      1      6     18     10     12      6     14
DK/NA                 3      -      -      6      2      4      1      5
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  85%    89%    90%    84%    78%    89%    80%
No                   12      9      6     13     18     10     13
DK/NA                 4      2      3      2      4      2      6
 
 
52. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  66%    71%    69%    74%    66%    58%    63%    68%    76%    61%
No                   31     29     28     24     32     37     31     31     21     36
DK/NA                 3      -      3      2      2      4      6      1      3      3
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  68%    56%    65%    62%    74%
No                   29     37     30     36     22
DK/NA                 2      7      5      2      4
 
 
53. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  73%    82%    76%    83%    75%    62%    72%    74%    79%    70%
No                   22     18     19     14     21     31     24     20     17     24
DK/NA                 5      -      5      4      4      8      4      6      4      6
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  76%    63%    74%    72%    72%
No                   20     28     22     24     19
DK/NA                 4      9      4      4     10
 
 
54. Would you say that - Ted Cruz cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  67%    88%    73%    79%    67%    55%    65%    68%    67%    67%
No                   28     12     22     16     28     38     30     26     29     27
DK/NA                 6      -      5      5      5      6      5      6      4      7
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  70%    53%    64%    65%    71%
No                   25     39     33     29     23
DK/NA                 5      8      3      7      7
 
 
55. Would you say that - John Kasich cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  62%    69%    62%    65%    60%    61%    63%    62%    79%    56%
No                   23     19     23     21     25     22     28     18     11     28
DK/NA                15     13     15     14     15     17     10     20     10     16
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  63%    62%    62%    59%    69%
No                   24     18     23     27     14
DK/NA                14     20     15     15     17
 
 
56. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  93%    91%    97%    92%    92%    94%    96%    92%
No                    6      8      3      7      7      5      3      8
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  93%    93%    97%    89%    92%    91%    97%
No                    6      6      2     10      8      8      3
DK/NA                 1      1      1      2      -      1      1
 
 
57. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  60%    70%    58%    58%    61%    60%    62%    58%    60%    61%
No                   37     25     41     38     37     38     34     40     38     36
DK/NA                 3      5      2      3      2      2      4      2      1      4
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  61%    55%    58%    61%    58%
No                   35     43     40     37     37
DK/NA                 3      2      2      2      5
 
 
58. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  74%    82%    75%    71%    79%    71%    74%    75%
No                   18     12     17     22     17     20     21     17
DK/NA                 7      6      8      8      4      9      5      9
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  75%    71%    84%    70%    64%    75%    74%
No                   18     20      8     25     29     19     18
DK/NA                 7      9      8      5      7      6      8
 
 
59. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  74%    79%    71%    81%    73%    71%    75%    73%    82%    70%
No                   23     15     23     15     24     28     22     24     17     26
DK/NA                 3      7      6      4      3      1      3      3      1      4
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  75%    67%    77%    72%    72%
No                   22     29     19     26     24
DK/NA                 3      4      4      3      4
 
 
60. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  54%    58%    59%    66%    53%    45%    51%    56%    61%    51%
No                   39     36     35     27     38     51     43     36     33     42
DK/NA                 7      6      7      7      9      4      5      9      6      7
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  55%    50%    55%    54%    54%
No                   39     39     41     40     36
DK/NA                 6     11      5      6     10
 
 
61. Would you say that - Ted Cruz has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  68%    94%    75%    82%    64%    62%    68%    68%    68%    67%
No                   26      2     19     13     29     35     26     25     30     25
DK/NA                 6      4      6      5      7      4      6      6      2      8
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  71%    58%    69%    69%    64%
No                   23     35     26     24     28
DK/NA                 6      7      5      7      8
 
 
62. Would you say that - John Kasich has the right kind of experience to be President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  59%    63%    61%    65%    58%    56%    62%    56%    73%    54%
No                   25     20     25     22     27     25     27     23     16     29
DK/NA                16     17     14     13     15     19     12     21     11     17
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  58%    62%    62%    56%    65%
No                   26     21     23     26     22
DK/NA                16     17     16     18     13
 
 
63. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton shares your values or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  75%    75%    81%    72%    69%    80%    81%    72%
No                   21     22     19     23     26     17     16     25
DK/NA                 4      3      -      5      5      3      3      4
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  76%    72%    70%    76%    82%    71%    82%
No                   20     24     26     21     14     26     13
DK/NA                 4      4      4      3      4      3      5
 
 
64. Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  60%    68%    61%    57%    68%    54%    67%    53%    58%    61%
No                   34     25     34     37     28     39     30     39     39     32
DK/NA                 6      7      5      6      4      7      3      8      3      7
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  62%    50%    60%    59%    59%
No                   31     44     36     35     34
DK/NA                 6      5      4      6      7
 
 
65. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders shares your values or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  82%    98%    90%    71%    82%    83%    91%    78%
No                   13      2      8     21     13     13      8     17
DK/NA                 4      -      2      7      5      4      2      6
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  83%    79%    90%    79%    71%    85%    78%
No                   13     16      8     16     21     13     15
DK/NA                 4      5      2      5      8      2      8
 
 
66. Would you say that - Jeb Bush shares your values or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  69%    72%    74%    75%    67%    67%    66%    73%    76%    66%
No                   25     23     21     21     28     27     29     22     20     28
DK/NA                 5      5      5      4      5      6      5      5      4      6
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  72%    62%    73%    66%    72%
No                   24     31     22     29     22
DK/NA                 4      8      4      5      7
 
 
67. Would you say that - Marco Rubio shares your values or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  70%    77%    75%    84%    67%    59%    68%    71%    78%    66%
No                   23     22     21     14     24     30     25     21     17     25
DK/NA                 8      2      5      2      9     11      7      9      5      9
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  72%    60%    65%    71%    74%
No                   21     29     25     24     18
DK/NA                 7     11      9      5      8
 
 
68. Would you say that - Ted Cruz shares your values or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  67%    92%    76%    81%    69%    52%    69%    64%    66%    67%
No                   27      6     20     14     26     40     28     27     30     26
DK/NA                 6      2      3      5      4      8      3      9      5      7
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  70%    53%    62%    68%    71%
No                   24     38     32     28     22
DK/NA                 5      9      7      4      6
 
 
69. Would you say that - John Kasich shares your values or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  57%    59%    62%    60%    58%    52%    58%    55%    73%    51%
No                   23     20     21     20     25     22     28     18     14     26
DK/NA                21     21     17     20     16     25     14     27     13     23
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  56%    61%    57%    52%    68%
No                   25     16     23     26     14
DK/NA                20     23     20     22     18
 
 
70. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton would have a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  83%    85%    88%    79%    86%    81%    86%    81%
No                   13      8      9     17     12     13      9     15
DK/NA                 4      7      3      4      2      6      5      4
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  85%    76%    83%    81%    86%    79%    88%
No                   10     23     13     15      9     16      8
DK/NA                 5      1      4      4      5      5      3
 
 
71. Would you say that - Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  77%    72%    77%    78%    81%    74%    77%    77%    79%    77%
No                   18     18     20     14     14     25     17     18     18     17
DK/NA                 5     10      4      8      5      2      6      5      2      6
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  78%    73%    74%    79%    77%
No                   17     20     21     17     16
DK/NA                 5      7      5      4      7
 
 
72. Would you say that - Bernie Sanders would have a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  69%    77%    70%    63%    73%    65%    60%    73%
No                   22     14     22     26     21     22     33     16
DK/NA                10      9      8     10      5     13      7     11
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  69%    68%    78%    59%    67%    64%    76%
No                   22     22     14     30     22     25     16
DK/NA                10     10      8     11     11     11      8
 
 
73. Would you say that - Jeb Bush would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  32%    36%    35%    37%    32%    30%    36%    29%    37%    30%
No                   60     53     57     53     60     67     57     63     56     62
DK/NA                 8     11      8     10      7      4      7      8      7      8
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  33%    28%    31%    30%    36%
No                   59     65     61     63     56
DK/NA                 8      7      8      7      9
 
 
74. Would you say that - Marco Rubio would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  61%    71%    68%    74%    57%    52%    61%    60%    65%    60%
No                   30     23     24     17     32     41     32     28     29     31
DK/NA                 9      6      7      8     11      7      7     11      7     10
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  63%    53%    58%    63%    62%
No                   29     34     33     31     27
DK/NA                 8     13      9      6     11
 
 
75. Would you say that - Ted Cruz would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  60%    84%    67%    78%    55%    48%    64%    57%    53%    63%
No                   32      8     25     14     34     47     30     33     38     29
DK/NA                 8      8      8      8     11      6      7     10      8      9
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  64%    45%    57%    61%    60%
No                   29     43     37     30     31
DK/NA                 7     12      6      9      9
 
 
76. Would you say that - John Kasich would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  35%    41%    36%    39%    33%    33%    34%    35%    42%    32%
No                   53     53     51     50     55     55     58     49     46     56
DK/NA                12      6     13     11     12     12      8     16     12     12
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes                  34%    37%    29%    32%    49%
No                   55     48     63     56     38
DK/NA                11     15      8     12     13
 
 
77. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Shares values        14%    18%    18%    10%    14%    14%    21%    11%
Cares needs/problems 30     38     30     27     30     30     21     35
Strong leadership    15     14      9     18     13     17     16     15
Honest/trustworthy   16     10     11     23     18     15     14     17
Right experience     14      9     16     16     13     14     14     14
Best chance/winning   8     11     10      5      8      7     12      5
DK/NA                 3      -      6      2      4      2      2      3
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Shares values        13%    19%    17%    12%    12%    16%    11%
Cares needs/problems 31     29     34     30     22     29     34
Strong leadership    14     18      9     20     22     16     13
Honest/trustworthy   17     13     18     14     18     16     18
Right experience     14     12     13     14     13     12     15
Best chance/winning   8      5      7      9      6      9      5
DK/NA                 3      3      2      1      7      2      4
 
 
78. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Shares values        22%    23%    25%    29%    20%    18%    23%    21%    23%    21%
Cares needs/problems 14     15     10      7     17     17     13     14     12     15
Strong leadership    26     25     19     20     30     28     22     30     23     28
Honest/trustworthy   23     22     28     29     19     23     24     22     18     25
Right experience      4      3      3      1      3      6      3      5      5      2
Best chance/winning   9      9     11     10      8      6     11      7     16      6
DK/NA                 3      3      3      3      2      2      4      2      2      3
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Shares values        20%    27%    24%    24%    14%
Cares needs/problems 13     18     28      8      7
Strong leadership    27     23     21     28     26
Honest/trustworthy   25     17     16     27     29
Right experience      3      7      2      6      3
Best chance/winning   9      6      9      6     13
DK/NA                 3      2      1      2      8
 
 
79. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Economy and jobs     45%    36%    45%    50%    49%    42%    47%    44%
Terrorism             5      4      6      5      5      5      3      6
Immigration           3      2      -      5      3      2      1      4
Federal deficit       2      3      1      3      3      2      3      2
Health care          13     14      7     15      7     18      9     16
Foreign policy        7      6      9      7      8      6     11      5
Climate change        8     11     13      4     10      6      9      7
Race relations        4      6      5      2      4      4      6      3
Abortion              2      6      2      1      -      4      5      -
Gun policy            3      4      7      2      4      3      3      4
Taxes                 3      3      1      3      2      3      1      3
DK/NA                 5      4      4      4      3      6      3      6
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Dem    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+    Wht    NonWht
 
Economy and jobs     43%    52%    46%    51%    34%    46%    45%
Terrorism             6      2      4      3     10      3      8
Immigration           2      5      4      3      -      2      4
Federal deficit       3      1      2      4      2      3      1
Health care          14     11     10     16     16     13     14
Foreign policy        8      5      4      9      9      8      6
Climate change        7     10     10      4      9     10      3
Race relations        5      1      5      1      6      2      5
Abortion              3      -      3      2      1      3      1
Gun policy            3      4      4      2      6      4      2
Taxes                 3      -      4      1      2      2      4
DK/NA                 3      9      4      4      5      3      6
 
 
80. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes?
                     REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.....................................
                                   Wht    POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            Tea    BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE  Mod/                 COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Party  Evang  Very   Smwht  Lib    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Economy and jobs     36%    27%    26%    26%    37%    43%    38%    33%    42%    32%
Terrorism            18     21     21     25     14     16     16     21     14     20
Immigration           7     13      9     10     10      3      8      6      4      8
Federal deficit       7      9      8      6     10      6      9      6     11      6
Health care           3      3      5      3      4      2      2      4      2      4
Foreign policy       10      2     14      8     10     13      6     14     10     10
Climate change        -      -      -      -      -      1      1      -      1      -
Race relations        1      2      -      -      1      1      1      -      1      1
Abortion              4      5      6      8      2      3      2      6      5      4
Gun policy            6     13      5      5      6      4      8      3      2      7
Taxes                 2      2      1      1      3      3      3      2      5      1
DK/NA                 6      3      6      7      3      5      6      5      2      7
 
                     PARTYID...    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Rep    Ind    18-44  45-64  65+
 
Economy and jobs     35%    37%    40%    37%    27%
Terrorism            19     15     11     21     21
Immigration           7      6      6      9      6
Federal deficit       7      7      6      8      8
Health care           3      2      1      4      7
Foreign policy        9     14     15      7     11
Climate change        -      1      1      -      1
Race relations        1      1      2      -      -
Abortion              5      2      4      3      7
Gun policy            6      6      9      4      3
Taxes                 2      3      4      1      2
DK/NA                 5      6      2      7      7
 
 

Sample and Methodology detail