September 11, 2014 - Wolf Devours Corbett In Pennsylvania Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say Democrat Is Better On Economy, Education Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Pennsylvania likely voters say businessman Tom Wolf, the Democratic challenger for governor, is better than Republican Gov. Tom Corbett on every measure, especially handling the top issues of the economy/jobs and education, and give him an overwhelming 59 - 35 percent lead eight weeks before Election Day, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Wolf leads 91 - 7 percent among Democrats and 53 - 39 percent among independent voters, while Gov. Corbett has a lackluster 66 - 28 percent lead among Republicans, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. This survey of likely voters can not be compared to prior surveys of registered voters.

Among voters who name a candidate, 84 percent say their mind is made up, while 15 percent say they might change their mind.

Corbett is the bigger issue in the campaign, as 51 percent of Wolf backers say their vote is mainly against the incumbent while 39 percent say they are voting mainly for the Democrat. Among Corbett backers, 62 percent say their vote is mainly pro-Corbett, while 30 percent say they are mainly anti-Wolf.

"A stunningly bad showing for Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett who is clobbered across the board on issues, leadership and other character traits by a candidate who was unknown to most voters earlier this year," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"What's Tom Corbett's biggest problem?

"Tom Corbett."

Pennsylvania likely voters give Wolf a 50 - 22 percent favorability rating, with 26 percent who haven't heard enough about him to form an opinion. Corbett gets a negative 33 - 55 percent favorability rating.

Looking at the most important issue in the governor's race, 32 percent of likely voters point to the economy/jobs, with 25 percent listing education, 17 percent citing government spending and 15 percent listing taxes.

Wolf would do a better job than Corbett on any of these issues, voters say:
  • 58 - 34 percent on the economy/jobs;
  • 61 - 29 percent on education;
  • 54 - 38 percent on government spending;
  • 50 - 41 percent on taxes.
Wolf also outscores Corbett on character traits as voters say:
  • 54 - 21 percent that Wolf is honest and trustworthy, compared to a 43 - 43 percent split for Corbett;
  • 58 - 27 percent that Wolf cares about their needs and problems, while voters say 56 - 35 percent that Corbett does not care;
  • 61 - 18 percent that Wolf has strong leadership qualities, compared to 50 - 42 percent for Corbett.
"Handling the important issues, honesty, caring, leadership, the Democrat leads on every measure. The Wolf is at the door, and Gov. Corbett is running out of time," Malloy said.

From September 3 - 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,161 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Tom Wolf the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Wolf or Corbett? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Wolf                 59%    28%    91%    53%    52%    64%
Corbett              35     66      7     39     42     28
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)     2      3      -      2      3      2
DK/NA                 4      4      2      7      3      6
 
 
1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS...........
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1.....
                            CAND OF CHOICE Q1
                     Tot    Wolf   Corbett
 
Mind made up         84%    85%    82%
Might change         15     14     17
DK/NA                 1      1      1
 
 
2a. (If Wolf voter q1) Is your vote for governor mainly for Wolf or against Corbett?
                     LIKELY WOLF VOTERS Q1
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
For Wolf             39%    38%    40%
Against Corbett      51     52     51
DK/NA                10     10      9
 
 
2b. (If Corbett voter q1) Is your vote for governor mainly for Corbett or against Wolf?
                     LIKELY CORBETT VOTERS Q1
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
For Corbett          62%    53%    73%
Against Wolf         30     38     19
DK/NA                 8      8      8
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Tom Wolf favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            50%    28%    75%    43%    45%    54%
Unfavorable          22     39      4     28     30     15
Hvn't hrd enough     26     30     21     28     23     29
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2
 
 
3a. Is your opinion of Tom Wolf favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable q3) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly favorable   28%    14%    48%    19%    25%    31%
Somewhat favorable   21     14     27     23     20     23
Somewhat unfavorable  6      9      2      6      6      5
Strongly unfavorable 17     30      2     21     24     10
Hvn't hrd enough     26     30     21     28     23     29
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      2      1      2      2      2
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            33%    62%     9%    34%    39%    28%
Unfavorable          55     28     78     56     52     58
Hvn't hrd enough     11      9     12      9      8     13
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      2
 
 
4a. Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable q4) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Strongly favorable   17%    30%     6%    17%    20%    14%
Somewhat favorable   16     32      3     16     19     14
Somewhat unfavorable 11      9      8     17     11     11
Strongly unfavorable 44     19     70     39     41     47
Hvn't hrd enough     11      9     12      9      8     13
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      1      1      2      1      2
 
 
5. Which one of these five issues matters most in deciding how you vote for Governor: the economy and jobs, government spending, taxes, energy and the environment, or education?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Economy/Jobs         32%    34%    31%    33%    30%    34%
Government spending  17     22     10     20     18     16
Taxes                15     22      8     16     18     12
Energy/Environment    8      3     11      9      8      7
Education            25     15     39     18     23     28
DK/NA                 3      3      1      4      3      2
 
 
6. Would you say that Tom Wolf - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  54%    42%    74%    42%    51%    57%
No                   21     32      7     26     28     16
DK/NA                25     26     19     32     21     28
 
 
7. Would you say that Tom Wolf - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  58%    43%    80%    45%    54%    62%
No                   27     40      8     36     32     22
DK/NA                15     16     12     19     14     16
 
 
8. Would you say that Tom Wolf - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  61%    46%    79%    55%    56%    66%
No                   18     30      5     21     23     13
DK/NA                21     24     16     25     21     21
 
 
9. Would you say that Tom Wolf - has the right kind of experience to be governor of Pennsylvania or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  65%    51%    80%    64%    63%    67%
No                   22     33      7     28     28     17
DK/NA                13     16     13      9      9     16
 
 
10. Do you think Tom Wolf is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Liberal              32%    57%     6%    35%    39%    25%
Conservative          3      3      3      3      3      2
About right          55     31     83     47     50     61
DK/NA                10      9      8     16      8     12
 
 
11. Would you say that Tom Corbett - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  43%    64%    26%    42%    49%    37%
No                   43     24     59     45     40     47
DK/NA                14     12     15     13     12     16
 
 
12. Would you say that Tom Corbett - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  35%    62%    15%    32%    41%    30%
No                   56     33     76     56     52     61
DK/NA                 8      5      9     12      7      9
 
 
13. Would you say that Tom Corbett - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  50%    69%    33%    54%    51%    50%
No                   42     26     57     40     42     42
DK/NA                 8      5     10      7      7      8
 
 
14. Do you think Tom Corbett is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Liberal              12%    13%    14%     8%    11%    14%
Conservative         39     14     61     40     41     38
About right          38     65     14     41     41     35
DK/NA                10      8     11     11      7     13
 
 
15. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - the economy and jobs, Wolf or Corbett?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Wolf                 58%    31%    86%    51%    53%    63%
Corbett              34     61      9     38     43     27
DK/NA                 8      9      5     11      5     11
 
 
16. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - taxes, Wolf or Corbett?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Wolf                 50%    26%    78%    40%    43%    55%
Corbett              41     65     13     49     51     31
DK/NA                10      9     10     11      6     13
 
 
17. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - education, Wolf or Corbett?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Wolf                 61%    37%    86%    57%    56%    65%
Corbett              29     51      9     31     36     23
DK/NA                10     12      6     12      8     11
 
 
18. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job handling - energy and the environment, Wolf or Corbett?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Wolf                 61%    39%    84%    57%    56%    66%
Corbett              31     53     10     32     39     23
DK/NA                 8      8      6     11      5     11
 
 
19. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job when it comes to finding the right balance between cutting government spending that is not needed and continuing government spending that is needed, Wolf or Corbett?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Wolf                 54%    29%    79%    50%    49%    58%
Corbett              38     64     11     42     45     30
DK/NA                 9      6     10      9      6     11
 
 

Demographic Summary