October 7, 2015 - Biden, Carson Are Hot In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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  • FLORIDA: Biden 45 - Carson 42
  • OHIO: Carson 46 - Biden 42
  • PENNSYLVANIA: Carson 47 - Biden 42
Donald Trump is ahead among Republicans in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, while former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton holds her leads but loses ground among Democrats in all three states, but Vice President Joseph Biden and Dr. Ben Carson are the best general election candidates in these key swing states, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

Clinton and Trump continue to have the worst overall favorability ratings among all voters of any of the leading candidates, and the lowest scores for being honest and trustworthy, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Ohio Gov. John Kasich both are losing their native son support among Republicans, while the leading contenders for the Republican nomination in these swing states are non-government candidates Trump and Carson and to a lesser degree Carly Fiorina.

Looking past the nominations to the top general election vote-getters:
  • Biden gets 45 percent to Carson's 42 percent in Florida;
  • Carson gets 46 percent to Biden's 42 percent in Ohio;
  • Carson tops Biden 47 - 42 percent in Pennsylvania.
"Those who were waiting for Donald Trump's campaign to collapse will need to wait longer - at least in the three key states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Carly Fiorina and Ben Carson, the other two 'outsider' candidates in the GOP race, seem to be making progress. But Bush, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas seem to be treading water," Brown added.

"In the Democratic race, former Secretary Clinton enjoys greater leads than Trump over her declared opponent, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and potential opponent, Vice President Joseph Biden, but the vice president is gaining, while she is losing support.

"When we get past the playoffs to the World Series, the general election face-off, Biden does better against leading Republicans than does Clinton or Sanders. Trump, despite his strong showing in mock Republican primaries, fares worst among the GOP candidates matched against the three Democratic aspirants - giving some credence to pundits who say the billionaire could be every Democrats' favorite GOP nominee."

Florida

Trump tops the Republican primary list in Florida with 28 percent, up from 21 percent in Quinnipiac University's August 20 Swing State Poll. Carson has 16 percent with 14 percent for Rubio, 12 percent for Bush, 7 percent for Fiorina and 6 percent for Cruz. No other candidate is over 2 percent and 10 percent are undecided.

Among Republicans, 29 percent say they would "definitely not support" Trump.

Clinton leads the Democratic field in Florida with 43 percent, with Sanders and Biden tied at 19 percent each and 13 percent undecided. Only 13 percent would not vote for Clinton.

In general election matchups:
  • Biden gets 45 percent to 42 percent for Carson and edges Bush 46 - 42 percent. He tops Fiorina 49 - 38 percent and gets 46 percent to 43 percent for Rubio. Biden beats Trump 52 - 38 percent.
  • Clinton gets 43 percent to 44 percent for Bush and gets 45 percent to Carson's 43 percent. She gets 44 percent to 42 percent for Fiorina and 44 percent to Rubio's 45 percent. Clinton tops Trump 46 - 41 percent.
  • Sanders slips behind Bush 45 - 41 percent and loses to Carson 46 - 40 percent. He gets 41 percent to 42 percent for Fiorina. He trails Rubio 46 - 41 percent and beats Trump 46 - 41 percent.
Florida voters give Clinton a negative 44 - 51 percent favorability rating and say 59 - 35 percent that she is not honest and trustworthy.

Trump gets a negative 35 - 57 percent favorability rating as Florida voters say 54 - 37 percent he is not honest and trustworthy.

"The generally more energized Republican party members, who backed former Gov. Bush and Sen. Rubio when they ran for office in the Sunshine State, are deserting the establishment candidates for the outsiders - specifically Trump and Carson," Brown said.

Ohio

Ohio Republicans go 23 percent for Trump, compared to 21 percent in August. Carson gets 18 percent, with 13 percent for Kasich, 11 percent for Cruz, 10 percent for Fiorina, 7 percent for Rubio and 4 percent for Bush. No other candidate tops 3 percent and 6 percent are undecided. Among Republicans, 29 percent say they would "definitely not support" Trump.

Clinton leads the Democratic field in Ohio with 40 percent. Biden has 21 percent with 19 percent for Sanders and 11 percent undecided. Only 14 percent would not vote for Clinton.

In general election matchups:
  • Biden gets 42 percent to 46 percent for Carson and beats Bush 46 - 37 percent. He gets 44 percent to Fiorina's 42 percent. Biden beats Rubio 46 - 41 percent and thumps Trump 49 - 38 percent.
  • Clinton gets 41 percent to 43 percent for Bush and loses to Carson 49 - 40 percent. She gets 41 percent to 43 percent for Fiorina and trails Rubio 41 - 45 percent. Clinton gets 43 percent to Trump's 42 percent.
  • Sanders gets 40 percent to 42 percent for Bush and loses to Carson 48 - 36 percent. He trails Fiorina 43 - 39 percent and gets 40 percent to 43 percent for Rubio. Sanders gets 44 percent to Trump's 41 percent.
Ohio voters give Clinton a negative 38 - 56 percent favorability rating and say 61 - 33 percent she is not honest and trustworthy.

Trump gets a negative 34 - 58 percent favorability and voters say 54 - 38 percent he is not honest and trustworthy.

"Gov. John Kasich's big card was his enormous popularity in Ohio, generally considered the most important swing state in the November election," Brown said. "But with Trump zooming well past him in the Buckeye State and Kasich's numbers in Florida and Pennsylvania in low single digits, the Ohio governor's campaign is going in the wrong direction."

Pennsylvania

Trump's 23 percent standing among Republicans in Pennsylvania compares to 24 percent August 20. Carson is close with 17 percent, with 12 percent for Rubio, 8 percent for Fiorina, 6 percent for Cruz, 5 percent for New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie and 4 percent each for Bush and Huckabee. No other candidate tops 3 percent and 12 percent are undecided.

Among Republicans, 31 percent say they would "definitely not support" Trump.

Clinton drops among Pennsylvania Democrats, from 45 percent August 20 to 36 percent today. Biden is closing in with 25 percent, with Sanders at 19 percent and 10 percent undecided. Among these Democrats, 18 percent would not vote for Clinton.

In general election matchups:
  • Biden trails Carson 47 - 42 percent and gets 45 percent to 42 percent for Bush. He gets 44 percent to Fiorina's 43 percent. Biden gets 45 percent to Rubio's 43 percent and beats Trump 50 - 40 percent.
  • Clinton trails Bush 46 - 40 percent and loses to Carson 49 - 40 percent. She trails Fiorina 45 - 41 percent and gets 42 percent to 45 percent for Rubio. Clinton gets 44 percent to 42 percent for Trump.
  • Sanders gets 42 percent to 44 percent for Bush and loses to Carson 47 - 37 percent. He slips behind Fiorina 44 - 40 percent and trails Rubio 45 - 39 percent. Sanders beats Trump 46 - 41 percent.
Pennsylvania voters give Clinton a negative 41 - 54 percent favorability rating and say 61 - 34 percent she is not honest and trustworthy.

Trump gets a negative 36 - 56 percent favorability and voters say 54 - 37 percent he is not honest and trustworthy.

"Biden rumbles as Clinton stumbles. Undeclared but not underrated in his home state of Pennsylvania, Vice President Joe Biden makes a move on Secretary Hillary Clinton and U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "In tight races with Gov. Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina and Sen. Marco Rubio, and crushing Trump, Biden makes a home state statement. And in a matchup with Hillary Clinton he's riding high marks on trust and honesty and closing fast."

From September 25 - October 5 Quinnipiac University surveyed:
  • 1,173 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. The survey includes 461 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points and 411 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points.
  • 1,180 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. The survey includes 433 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points and 396 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points.
  • 1,049 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. The survey includes 427 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points and 442 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percentage points.
Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Bush                 12%     4%     4%
Carson               16     18     17
Christie              1      1      5
Cruz                  6     11      6
Fiorina               7     10      8
Gilmore               -      -      -
Graham                -      -      -
Huckabee              1      2      4
Jindal                -      -      1
Kasich                2     13      3
Pataki                -      -      1
Paul                  2      3      1
Rubio                14      7     12
Santorum              -      -      2
Trump                28     23     23
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      1
DK/NA                10      6     12
 
 
2. (If Registered Republican) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Bush                 18%    19%    19%
Carson                7      4      3
Christie             14     13     12
Cruz                 11      6      7
Fiorina              11      6      4
Gilmore              11      7      7
Graham               13     11      6
Huckabee             13      8      8
Jindal               11      6      7
Kasich               11      7      6
Pataki               12     11      8
Paul                 18     12      9
Rubio                 9      5      3
Santorum             12      7     10
Trump                29     29     31
No/No one            28     25     26
DK/NA                 6      8     10
 
 
3. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Lincoln Chafee, Hillary Clinton, Larry Lessig, Martin O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, and Jim Webb, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                19%    21%    25%
Chafee                -      -      -
Clinton              43     40     36
Lessig                -      1      1
O'Malley              -      -      1
Sanders              19     19     19
Webb                  -      -      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      5      5
DK/NA                13     11     10
 
                     WITHOUT BIDEN...
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Chafee                -      -      -
Clinton              54     52     51
Lessig                -      1      1
O'Malley              -      -      1
Sanders              23     26     25
Webb                  1      1      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      5      6
DK/NA                17     13     13
Recalculated matchup includes the second choice of Biden voters
 
 
4. (If Registered Democrat) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Biden, Chafee, Clinton, Lessig, O'Malley, Sanders, or Webb? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed)
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                 7%     8%    10%
Chafee                9     11      8
Clinton              13     14     18
Lessig                9     10      7
O'Malley             11     12      8
Sanders               9      9     10
Webb                 10     11      9
No/No one            56     50     47
DK/NA                15     16     15
 
 
5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              43%    41%    40%
Bush                 44     43     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      7     10      6
DK/NA                 4      3      5
 
 
6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              45%    40%    40%
Carson               43     49     49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      6      3
DK/NA                 5      4      6
 
 
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Carly Fiorina the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              44%    41%    41%
Fiorina              42     43     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      7      4
DK/NA                 6      6      6
 
 
8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              44%    41%    42%
Rubio                45     45     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      6      5
DK/NA                 4      5      6
 
 
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Clinton              46%    43%    44%
Trump                41     42     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      8      7
DK/NA                 4      4      3
 
 
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                46%    46%    45%
Bush                 42     37     42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      8      5
DK/NA                 4      6      6
 
 
11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                45%    42%    42%
Carson               42     46     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      5      3
DK/NA                 6      5      6
 
 
12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Carly Fiorina the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                49%    44%    44%
Fiorina              38     42     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      6      3
DK/NA                 6      6      7
 
 
13. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                46%    46%    45%
Rubio                43     41     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      5      3
DK/NA                 4      5      7
 
 
14. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Biden                52%    49%    50%
Trump                38     38     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      6      5
DK/NA                 4      5      4
 
 
15. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Sanders              41%    40%    42%
Bush                 45     42     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      9      5
DK/NA                 6      7      7
 
 
16. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Sanders              40%    36%    37%
Carson               46     48     47
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      5      3
DK/NA                 8      9     10
 
 
17. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Carly Fiorina the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Sanders              41%    39%    40%
Fiorina              42     43     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      7      4
DK/NA                 9      9     10
 
 
18. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Sanders              41%    40%    39%
Rubio                46     43     45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      6      7      4
DK/NA                 5      9      9
 
 
19. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Sanders              46%    44%    46%
Trump                41     41     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      7      7      6
DK/NA                 5      5      5
 
 
20. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            44%    38%    41%
Unfavorable          51     56     54
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      4
REFUSED               2      2      1
 
 
21. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            44%    45%    46%
Unfavorable          23     22     20
Hvn't hrd enough     32     33     33
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
22. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            47%    32%    38%
Unfavorable          44     50     46
Hvn't hrd enough      7     17     15
REFUSED               1      1      2
 
 
23. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            35%    34%    36%
Unfavorable          57     58     56
Hvn't hrd enough      6      7      4
REFUSED               2      1      3
 
 
24. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            55%    47%    52%
Unfavorable          32     40     35
Hvn't hrd enough     11     12     12
REFUSED               1      1      1
 
 
25. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            36%    34%    34%
Unfavorable          29     31     32
Hvn't hrd enough     34     35     33
REFUSED               1      1      1
 
 
26. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            35%    35%    38%
Unfavorable          26     25     23
Hvn't hrd enough     38     39     38
REFUSED               1      1      1
 
 
27. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            46%    37%    38%
Unfavorable          36     27     25
Hvn't hrd enough     17     36     36
REFUSED               1      -      -
 
 
28. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            31%    32%    34%
Unfavorable          42     46     45
Hvn't hrd enough     26     21     19
REFUSED               1      1      2
 
 
29. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            24%    27%    25%
Unfavorable          40     37     34
Hvn't hrd enough     35     35     41
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
30. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             3%     2%     2%
Unfavorable          12     11      8
Hvn't hrd enough     85     87     90
REFUSED               -      -      -
 
 
31. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            13%    11%    13%
Unfavorable          37     40     38
Hvn't hrd enough     50     49     49
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
32. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            32%    30%    30%
Unfavorable          39     42     44
Hvn't hrd enough     28     27     25
REFUSED               -      -      1
 
 
33. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            23%    19%    23%
Unfavorable          27     25     23
Hvn't hrd enough     50     55     54
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
34. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            22%    52%    25%
Unfavorable          19     31     16
Hvn't hrd enough     58     16     58
REFUSED               1      1      -
 
 
35. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            10%     6%    11%
Unfavorable          30     24     28
Hvn't hrd enough     60     70     60
REFUSED               1      1      1
 
 
36. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            23%    27%    29%
Unfavorable          48     46     38
Hvn't hrd enough     29     26     32
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
37. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable            19%    21%    31%
Unfavorable          34     40     49
Hvn't hrd enough     47     38     20
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
38. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Lincoln Chafee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             5%     3%     4%
Unfavorable          13     13     15
Hvn't hrd enough     81     83     80
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
39. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Larry Lessig favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             2%     1%     2%
Unfavorable           8      8     12
Hvn't hrd enough     91     89     86
REFUSED               -      1      -
 
 
40. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             7%     7%     8%
Unfavorable          20     15     18
Hvn't hrd enough     73     77     74
REFUSED               1      1      -
 
 
41. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jim Webb favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Favorable             8%     6%     4%
Unfavorable          16     13     11
Hvn't hrd enough     75     81     84
REFUSED               1      -      1
 
 
47. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  35%    33%    34%
No                   59     61     61
DK/NA                 7      7      4
 
 
48. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  37%    38%    37%
No                   54     54     54
DK/NA                 9      7      9
 
 
49. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  71%    62%    64%
No                   19     31     27
DK/NA                11      7      9
 
 
50. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  53%    52%    51%
No                   18     18     19
DK/NA                30     30     30
 
 
51. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  54%    49%    53%
No                   38     37     38
DK/NA                 8     14      9
 
 
52. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  60%    58%    57%
No                   17     20     19
DK/NA                23     23     25
 
 
53. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Carly Fiorina is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  38%    42%    48%
No                   28     27     23
DK/NA                34     31     29
 
 
54. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  54%    49%    48%
No                   32     25     25
DK/NA                14     26     27
 
 
55. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  56%    52%    57%
No                   41     46     41
DK/NA                 2      3      2
 
 
56. Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  59%    62%    61%
No                   37     34     37
DK/NA                 4      4      2
 
 
57. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  60%    57%    56%
No                   34     38     41
DK/NA                 5      5      3
 
 
58. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  39%    40%    45%
No                   28     32     30
DK/NA                33     29     25
 
 
59. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  66%    46%    55%
No                   31     45     38
DK/NA                 4      9      8
 
 
60. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  41%    48%    53%
No                   33     26     28
DK/NA                27     26     19
 
 
61. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Carly Fiorina has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  47%    47%    53%
No                   29     25     24
DK/NA                25     28     23
 
 
62. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  55%    47%    54%
No                   34     29     24
DK/NA                11     24     22
 
 
63. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  47%    44%    44%
No                   51     54     54
DK/NA                 3      2      2
 
 
64. Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  35%    34%    36%
No                   60     61     59
DK/NA                 5      5      5
 
 
65. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  67%    65%    61%
No                   26     29     34
DK/NA                 7      6      5
 
 
66. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  48%    46%    50%
No                   29     30     30
DK/NA                23     23     20
 
 
67. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  50%    41%    44%
No                   44     50     48
DK/NA                 6      9      7
 
 
68. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  55%    51%    59%
No                   24     30     23
DK/NA                21     19     18
 
 
69. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Carly Fiorina cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  40%    44%    41%
No                   31     32     32
DK/NA                29     24     27
 
 
70. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  54%    49%    52%
No                   35     31     27
DK/NA                11     21     21
 
 
71. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  54%    50%    52%
No                   44     47     44
DK/NA                 2      2      4
 
 
72. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  29%    31%    29%
No                   66     65     66
DK/NA                 6      4      5
 
 
73. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  55%    57%    61%
No                   36     36     32
DK/NA                10      7      7
 
 
74. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  34%    36%    33%
No                   41     35     39
DK/NA                25     28     28
 
 
75. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  59%    52%    57%
No                   35     38     34
DK/NA                 6     10      9
 
 
76. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Ben Carson has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  42%    45%    46%
No                   34     33     33
DK/NA                24     22     21
 
 
77. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Carly Fiorina has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  40%    40%    45%
No                   36     32     31
DK/NA                24     28     24
 
 
78. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of temperament and personality to handle an international crisis as President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  50%    44%    43%
No                   39     32     31
DK/NA                11     23     25
 
 
79. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  64%    63%    66%
No                   36     36     33
DK/NA                 1      1      1
 
 
80. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  34%    35%    37%
No                   62     60     59
DK/NA                 5      4      4
 
 
81. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Joe Biden has the right kind of experience to be President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  74%    72%    75%
No                   23     25     23
DK/NA                 3      2      2
 
 
82. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Bernie Sanders has the right kind of experience to be President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  32%    39%    37%
No                   45     39     40
DK/NA                24     22     23
 
 
83. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Jeb Bush has the right kind of experience to be President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  66%    60%    67%
No                   31     34     26
DK/NA                 3      6      8
 
 
84. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Ben Carson has the right kind of experience to be President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  25%    32%    31%
No                   54     46     49
DK/NA                21     21     20
 
 
85. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Carly Fiorina has the right kind of experience to be President, or not?
                     FL     OH     PA
 
Yes                  31%    33%    35%
No                   45     44     44
DK/NA                23     23     20
 
 
86. (Split Sample) Would you say that - Marco Rubio has the right kind of experience to be President, or not?