Quinnipiac Poll: An election winner
November 09, 2017
November 09, 2017
The day before Virginia’s gubernatorial election, the poll conducted a likely voter survey showing Democratic candidate Lt. Governor Ralph Northam leading Republican Ed Gillespie, 51-42, a margin of 9 percentage points. The following day, Northam defeated Gillespie 54-45, also a 9-point margin. While the other 11 polls conducted in Virginia by other organizations indicated that the race would be close — ranging anywhere from a tie to a 6-point difference, Quinnipiac’s was the only to show Northam winning comfortably.
The Quinnipiac Poll also surveyed likely voters in New Jersey ahead of the state’s own gubernatorial election. The poll showed Democratic candidate Phil Murphy ahead of Republican candidate Lt. Governor Kim Guadagno in the race, 53-41, a margin of 12 percentage points. The final result was a Murphy victory by 12 points, 55-43. Polls by all other polling organizations in New Jersey indicated that Murphy would win by 14-16 percentage points.
In 25 years of conducting public opinion surveys, the Quinnipiac Poll has established a reputation for accuracy, with large sample sizes, calls to land lines and cell phones by live interviewers and adherence to best polling practices — including random digit dialing. Many of those conducting the surveys are current undergraduate and graduate Quinnipiac students.
The Quinnipiac Poll conducts public opinion surveys nationwide, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa and Colorado as a public service and for research.
Quinnipiac Today is your source for what's happening throughout #BobcatNation. Sign up for our weekly email newsletter to be among the first to know about news, events and members of our Bobcat family who are making a positive difference in our world.Sign Up Now